>
>>When you apply Bayes rule, you are assuming that future outcomes will be
>>drawn from the same distribution as past outcomes, i.e. you are assuming
>>that induction works.
>
>Not true! ALL I am assuming is basic, timeless Bayes Rule.
~~~~~~~~
But isn't it strange to reason about causes and effects without
the notion of time? Isn't it a major gap in Bayesian (causal!)
networks that the notion of time is not the part of the formalism?
Irina Rish
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability David Wolpert
- Hume, induction, and probability Robert P. Goldman
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability irinar
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Kevin S. Van Horn
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Tim Wilkin
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Kathryn Blackmond Laskey
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability David Wolpert
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Kathryn Blackmond Laskey
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Ronald E. Parr
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Kathryn Blackmond Laskey
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability irinar
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability David Poole
- RE: Hume, induction, and probability Clark Carrington
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Ronald E. Parr
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Kathryn Blackmond Laskey
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Ronald E. Parr
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability irinar
- Hume was *wrong* in certain crucial respects... David Wolpert
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Ronald E. Parr
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Kevin S. Van Horn
- Re: Hume, induction, and probability Ronald E. Parr
