Lotfi and everyone --

> 
>             The problem is that causality is not a bivalent concept'as 
> it is commonly assumed to be in attempts at formalization. Causality is 
> a matter of degree.  


I am not sure I agree at all with the four claims you make in these two 
sentences.  Moreover, your examples do not support them.   If one and 
only one event A always and inexorably leads to another event Z we may 
say that:

                A causes Z.

However, if there are multiple events A, B, C, etc, which singly or 
together lead to Z, as in your raincoat example, then it's not 
necessarily the case that the concept of causality is not bivalent. 
Rather, it may be the case that (for example):

                A and B and C together cause Z.

The relationship between A, B, C and Z may be any sort of linear or 
nonlinear relationship, while the notion of causality in the middle can 
still be bivalent:  When all the inputs A, B and C have the appropriate 
levels, then Z results; when all the inputs A, B and C do not have these 
levels, then Z does not.     Multiple inputs or relevant non-linear 
interactions between inputs are not the same as multi-valence in a 
mechanism connecting inputs to outputs.

-- Peter

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