in the meantime it became clear that the problem is related to the
interaction between the gdm (wayland) and xfce desktop (x11). if the
xfce packages are not installed, the boot behavior is normal, gdm
greeter appears. with xfce installed, some kind of a race condition is
created so that the gdm greeter appears on the first and maybe second
boot but then fails on consecutive boots. choosing another kernel in
grub then can potentially make the gdm login appear again.

this behavior is fully reproducible and not limited to only one machine.
in the following posts i will add some more journalctl outputs so that
journal examples will be given for 4 different thinkpads in total.

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/2150621

Title:
  regression: booting instability and large variance in booting success

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