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Intelligence: Hussein Warned Iraqis to Beware Outside Fighters, Document Says

 

January 14, 2004
  By JAMES RISEN
WASHINGTON, Jan. 13 - Saddam Hussein warned his Iraqi
supporters to be wary of joining forces with foreign Arab
fighters entering Iraq to battle American troops, according
to a document found with the former Iraqi leader when he
was captured, Bush administration officials said Tuesday.
The document appears to be a directive, written after he
lost power, from Mr. Hussein to leaders of the Iraqi
resistance, counseling caution against getting too close to
Islamic jihadists and other foreign Arabs coming into
occupied Iraq, according to American officials.
It provides a second piece of evidence challenging the Bush
administration contention of close cooperation between Mr.
Hussein's government and terrorists from Al Qaeda. C.I.A.
interrogators have already elicited from the top Qaeda
officials in custody that, before the American-led
invasion, Osama bin Laden had rejected entreaties from some
of his lieutenants to work jointly with Mr. Hussein.
Officials said Mr. Hussein apparently believed that the
foreign Arabs, eager for a holy war against the West, had a
different agenda from the Baathists, who were eager for
their own return to power in Baghdad. As a result, he
wanted his supporters to be careful about becoming close
allies with the jihadists, officials familiar with the
document said.
A new, classified intelligence report circulating within
the United States government describes the document and its
contents, according to administration officials who asked
not to be identified. The officials said they had no
evidence that the document found with Mr. Hussein was a
fabrication.
The role of foreign Arab fighters in the Iraqi resistance
to the American-led occupation has been a source of debate
within the American government ever since the fall of
Baghdad in April. Initially, American analysts feared that
thousands of fighters would flood into Iraq, seeking an
Islamic jihad in much the same way an earlier generation of
Arabs traveled to Afghanistan in the 1980's to fight the
Soviet occupation.
Military and intelligence officials now believe that the
number of foreign fighters who have entered Iraq is
relatively small. American military units posted along the
border to screen against such an influx have reported that
they have seen few signs of foreign fighters trying to
cross the border.
In December, American military officials in Iraq estimated
that foreign fighters accounted for no more than 10 percent
of the insurgency, and some officials now believe that even
that figure may be too high. Only 200 to 300 people holding
non-Iraqi passports are being detained in Iraq by American
forces, Brig. Gen. Mark Kimmitt, a military spokesman, told
reporters in Baghdad in December.
"They're a threat, but the vast majority of the personnel
that we have in detention for activities against the
coalition, for activities against Iraqi citizens, remain
personnel from this country," General Kimmitt said then.
But several officials said American forces were not certain
of the accuracy of the American intelligence on the issue
and acknowledge that there could be more foreigners inside
the country than they currently think. "I've seen numbers
from a couple hundred to a couple thousand," said one
United States military official.
Another unresolved issue has been the level of coordination
between foreign fighters and Iraqi insurgents, many of whom
are former members of Mr. Hussein's security apparatus.
Military and intelligence officials say they have detected
cooperation at the tactical level, on individual attacks,
but have less evidence of any coordination at a broader
strategic level. Asked whether it appeared that Iraqi
insurgent leaders had heeded Mr. Hussein's advice to keep
foreign fighters at arm's length, officials said it was
difficult to tell without more information on the full
extent of the cooperation between the sides.
The use of suicide car bombings as a weapon in the
insurgency has made American officials wonder whether
Islamic militant fighters are behind some crucial attacks.
The secular Iraqis who were members of Mr. Hussein's
government are unlikely recruits for martyrdom, American
officials said.
"There is no question that some foreign fighters have
crossed into Iraq," observed Judith Yaphe, a senior
research fellow at the National Defense University in
Washington and a former Middle East analyst at the C.I.A.
"How many? I don't think there are more than a couple
hundred. Are they significant in the insurgency? I don't
think they are. There are too many Iraqis who know how to
do these things. The real question is the suicide bombers,
that's not strictly speaking an Iraqi thing."
In addition to its value in understanding the nature of the
enemy that American and allied troops now confront in Iraq,
the document found with Mr. Hussein could also be grist for
further debate about his relationship with Islamic
fundamentalists.
As President Bush sought to build a case for war with Iraq,
one of the most hotly debated issues was whether Mr.
Hussein was in league with Mr. bin Laden and Al Qaeda.
Senior officials at the Pentagon who were certain that the
evidence of connections between Iraq and Al Qaeda were
strong and compelling found themselves at war with analysts
at the C.I.A. who believed that the evidence showed some
contacts between Baghdad and the terrorist organization,
but not an operational alliance.
At the Pentagon, several officials believed that Iraq and
Al Qaeda had found common ground in their hatred of the
United States, while at the C.I.A., many analysts believed
that Mr. bin Laden saw Mr. Hussein as one of the corrupt
secular Arab leaders who should be toppled.
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/01/14/international/middleeast/14INTE.html?ex=1075112871&ei=1&en=96355adf165d8951
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