Zim neighbours, awed by history, tread softly            Michael Georgy 
and Shapi Shacinda | Lusaka, Zambia                  20 August 2007 09:13       
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  Zambian Finance Minister Ng'andu Magande thinks there may be only one way to 
influence defiant Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe -- enlist the help of 
African liberation giants like Nelson Mandela.

"Perhaps with a bit of pressure from President Mugabe's good friends like 
Kenneth Kaunda [Zambia's founding father] or old people like Mandela, perhaps 
you can see that things can be done differently without anybody losing out," he 
told Reuters.

Magande's comments were tacit recognition that Southern African Development 
Community (SADC) leaders failed during their meeting last week to pressure 
Zimbabwe's long-time leader into enacting political and economic reforms.

Critics say that inaction has tainted regional leaders, raising questions about 
their commitment to democracy and easing the suffering of millions of 
Zimbabweans struggling to survive the world's worst economic crisis outside a 
war zone.

"SADC has a credibility problem because of its failure to adhere to democratic 
rules," said Chileshe Mulenga, head of the Institute for Economic and Social 
Reseach, a Lusaka think-tank.

"It is a club of presidents who support each other regardless of the suffering 
of the people because they all behave like monarchs. There are no real 
principles which guide SADC and this is why they are showing solidarity for 
Mugabe, because of a lack of free and fair elections."

The group, experts say, is also awed into silence by Mugabe's place in history.

To the Western world, Mugabe is a ruthless dictator whose people are victims of 
his mismanagement of what had been Southern Africa's breadbasket.

But Southern African leaders look up to him as a respected liberation hero who 
still takes on the United States and former coloniser Britain, even though he 
is accused of bringing Zimbabwe to its knees in the process.

His past is one reason Mugabe received the loudest applause when he stood up at 
the SADC summit, and it insulates him from criticism by leaders who grew up 
regarding him as a legend.

"Mugabe is far more experienced than this younger generation of leaders and he 
knows exactly what he is doing," Zambian Information Minister Mike Mlongoti 
told Reuters.

"What can they do? They can't pressure Zimbabwe because it is a sovereign 
state. Sanctions have not achieved anything and only hurt Zimbabweans," 
Mlongoti added.

'He is isolated'
As the new chair of SADC, Zambia will be under more international pressure to 
face up to Mugabe.

President Levy Mwanawasa was the first African leader to speak out against 
Mugabe, saying Zimbabwe was a "sinking Titanic" earlier this year.

But he has since toned down his position. Western diplomats say he is deeply 
worried about the turmoil in Zimbabwe and is seeking the help of SADC countries 
to resolve the issue.

But it didn't take Mwanawasa long to realise how difficult that may be.

"He raised the subject of Zimbabwe at the summit and got no support at all. He 
is isolated," said a Western diplomat. "All of this proves that SADC can't 
work."

Asked if SADC had confronted Mugabe on human rights, Mwanawasa suggested it's a 
taboo subject, as a nearby Zimbabwean official looked on at a news conference: 
"We have discussed them and we are satisfied with the answers which were given."

Mugabe has succeeded in mixing emotionally charged political issues with 
economics, making it more difficult for Southern African leaders to criticise 
his policies.

His argument that Western sanctions are in retaliation for his controversial 
policy of seizing of white-owned farms for redistribution to landless black 
Zimbabweans stirs emotions in a region scarred by colonialism.

Zimbabwe Justice Minister Patrick Chinamasa spent two hours at the summit 
explaining how all of the country's problems -- the world's highest inflation 
and severe food and fuel shortages -- were linked to land stolen by Britain 
since the late 1800s.

Few SADC leaders could argue with him. To do so would be a betrayal of the 
collective suffering of the region.

Mbeki
Magande is seen as one of the region's best economic managers. But he, like 
others, argues that a hands-on approach by SADC in Zimbabwe would only 
backfire. It's up to Mugabe and opposition groups to resolve their differences, 
he says.

That is unlikely to happen anytime soon.

Analysts say the more Mugabe is pressured, especially in public, the more he 
digs in. Even South Africa, credited with breaking decades of apartheid and 
introducing a successful democracy, seems to have little sway over Mugabe.

South African President Thabo Mbeki, who has been mediating between Mugabe and 
the opposition, delivered a report on his efforts to the summit, which ended on 
Friday. Heads of state described it as positive and encouraged both sides to 
accelerate talks, language used several times before.

"The only one that can influence Mugabe is Mbeki," said the Western diplomat. 
"But he can't do a thing."

Mugabe, who is known as a great speaker, is likely to keep getting loud 
applauses at summits.

"I have heard him speak. It doesn't take him long to get people eating out of 
his hands," said another Western diplomat. -- Reuters

       
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