Why Youll Soon Be Paying Rent to the Chinese
Posted on October 4, 2013 <http://sorendreier.com/why-youll-soon-be-paying-rent-to-the-chinese/> by Soren Dreier <http://sorendreier.com/author/soren-dreier/> Author: Porter Stansberry Description: uschina Today, I want to talk about something easy and basic, something that every American should understand. When you borrow money, you eventually have to pay it back plus interest. Thats all you need to know to understand the financial crisis and the terrible consequences we face if we dont stop borrowing money from foreign creditors. Before the financial crisis of 2008/2009, America was caught up in a huge debt-financed spending boom. Our trade deficits were soaring out of control simply because we continued to consume more than we produced. The debt to finance this consumption piled up in the form of mortgages and the federal deficit. It enabled the housing boom, which in turn created the structured-finance debacle that wrecked AIG and wiped out Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers. What fewer people realize about the boom and bust is that foreigners continued to pile up more and more U.S. assets. In a short period of time, foreigners received $2.5 trillion worth of net U.S. assets. The following chart, made with data from the St. Louis branch of the Federal Reserve, shows the current account balance from 1980 through 2006. As you can see, the balance of trade and finance between America and the rest of the world got completely out of whack beginning in the mid-1990s and accelerating into the 2000s. This occurred because Americans began to consume far more than they produced, financing the deficit using the cheap credit enabled by the dollars world reserve currency status. No less a person than legendary investor Warren Buffett warned in 2003 that our national preference for consumption rather than thrift would eventually ruin our currency and spark a financial crisis. He was particularly worried that we were now borrowing and spending so much that we had become dependent on foreign creditors. He described the situation in an article he wrote for Fortune magazine reducing the problem to Squanderville vs. Thriftville. Buffett warned that we would inevitably grow poorer relative to the rest of the world and our creditors would grow wealthier. As he wrote: Im about to deliver a warning. Our countrys net worth is now being transferred abroad at an alarming rate. A perpetuation of this transfer will lead to major trouble. And so it did. We borrowed so much money that during 2004, 2005 and 2006, finance companies earned more than 40 percent of all the profits in the S&P 500! When 40 percent of all the profits in our economy relate to finance charges, we have a society that has gone mad. We turned our country into a kind of giant ATM, dispensing the savings of foreign investors. It was this borrowing and spending, this constant consumption far, far above our ability to produce, that was the root cause of our financial problems. There is no other, more basic and accurate way to understand the real fundamentals of what happened. Buffett explained in his Fortune piece what was happening: In effect, our country has been behaving like an extraordinarily rich family that possesses an immense farm. In order to consume four percent more than we produce thats the trade deficit we have, day by day, been both selling pieces of the farm and increasing the mortgage on what we still own. Plenty of people (especially U.S. politicians) constantly say these deficits dont matter, that we owe it to ourselves. Thats simply not true, as Buffett pointed out 10 years ago: The rest of the world owns a staggering $2.5 trillion more of the U.S. than we own of other countries. To put the $2.5 trillion of net foreign ownership in perspective, contrast it with the $12 trillion value of publicly owned U.S. stocks. Paying foreigners rent (or interest) on these assets will undermine our wealth and our standard of living. As foreign ownership grows, so will the annual net investment income flowing out of this country, Buffett explained. That will leave us paying ever-increasing dividends and interest to the world rather than being a net receiver of them, as in the past. We have entered the world of negative compounding goodbye pleasure, hello pain. Now, Im going to give you some data points below. But you dont really need any facts to answer the following key questions: Over the last five years, has anything material changed about the way of life and the nature of our economy in the United States? Have we begun to actually produce more than we consume? Have we stopped being a society obsessed with consumption? Have we stopped the madness of our debt-fueled spending binge? Have we learned anything from the crisis and changed our financial, cultural or moral excesses? A few facts: Since the fourth quarter of 2009, the U.S. current account deficit has been more than $100 billion per quarter. As a result, foreigners now own $4.2 trillion more U.S. investment assets than we own abroad. Thats $1.7 trillion more than when Buffett first warned about this huge problem in 2003. Said another way, the problem is 68 percent bigger now. And heres a number no one else will tell you not even Buffett. Foreigners now own $25 trillion in U.S. assets. And yet, we continue to consume far more than we produce, and we borrow massively to finance our deficits. Read More: <http://www.wnd.com/2013/10/why-youll-soon-be-paying-rent-to-the-chinese/> Here Thé Mulindwas Communication Group "With Yoweri Museveni and Dr. Kiiza Besigye Uganda is in anarchy" Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi "Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni na Dk. Kiiza Besigye Uganda ni katika machafuko"
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