And yet we have tried and very hard all along to isolate ourselves from
tribal sentiments, and if there is any one to stand in witness stand for me
to testify that I confuse tribal sentiments it is Acholis.
Yet we have failed all way through to this
EM
On the 49th Parallel
Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko"
From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Allan
Sent: Monday, September 29, 2014 8:12 PM
To: ug at
Subject: RE: {UAH} The fall of Mbabazi
EM,
Without risking invoking the tribal sentiment, check out the next all
powerful NRM's SG. Unfortunately the inflated power is just air.
Sent from my LG G2 android smartphone device
On Sep 29, 2014 8:07 PM, "Herrn Edward Mulindwa" <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:
Barigye
What is happening in Uganda is fruits of those that decided to go to
Tanzania and attack Uganda. There is no end to The Movement. And trust me
one hopes you can see through the gimmicks.
You have not known yet how Acholis screwed up this country till you see
what is very eminent.
EM
On the 49th Parallel
Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko"
From: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
[mailto:[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> ] On Behalf Of Allan
Sent: Monday, September 29, 2014 7:28 PM
To: ug at
Subject: RE: {UAH} The fall of Mbabazi
EM,
Pray that they, NRM , tear themselves up and we trash NRM into a dust bin of
Uganda's bad history.
Sent from my LG G2 android smartphone device
On Sep 29, 2014 7:25 PM, "Herrn Edward Mulindwa" <[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> > wrote:
Ugandans
And at just what point does one realize the stupidity in even discussing
Mbabazi? Every single country discusses politics based on what people have
achieved, this man was in Uganda politics since the days of state research,
yet no one has stood up to even point out why he is an issue to be
discussed. None absolutely none. And that is where many of us get so bogged
up with Ugandans that always see a solution in Samson Mande, Tinyefunza,
Mbabazi, Besigye Montonyera Mao Mbabazi Obote. Are you really stupid to
expecting a democratic government in Uganda built by Mbabazi?
At what point do you ignore this silliness? Do you ever?
EM
On the 49th Parallel
Thé Mulindwas Communication Group
"With Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja and Dr. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda is in
anarchy"
Kuungana Mulindwa Mawasiliano Kikundi
"Pamoja na Yoweri Museveni, Ssabassajja na Dk. Kiiza Besigye, Uganda ni
katika machafuko"
From: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
[mailto:[email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]> ] On Behalf Of
[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
Sent: Monday, September 29, 2014 7:04 PM
To: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
Subject: Re: {UAH} The fall of Mbabazi
Ndugu Allan;
If I am reading Mbabazi's true character right, he must have some kind of
"Insurance policy " that will ensure the safety of his immediate person and
family.
If you have been doing all the dirty work for 'Jogoo,' it means you know
where all the 'Skeletons' are.
'Skeletons' and politics do not mix.
Ocen
Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.
From: Allan
Sent: Monday, September 29, 2014 18:55
To: ug at
Reply To: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
Subject: Re: {UAH} The fall of Mbabazi
Ndugu Ocen,
I would never be surprised.
That's how adui works.
I am still amazed. Mbabazi winked first, M7 went for the kill. But he can
still the fight bloody.
Unfortunately the flames will consume both.
See,what is missing is a spark to ignite the fire. And like I always say,it
will set off a chain of irreversible events and NRM will be history. They
both know it.
Sent from my LG G2 android smartphone device
On Sep 29, 2014 6:39 PM, <[email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
> wrote:
WBK;
I concur.
The one curious thing I have learnt is that during the Namboole Soccer game,
the Youth who donned pro-Mbabazi T-Shirts were induced by Intelligence
sources to discredit Mbabazi.
That is extremely and effectively devious if true.
Ocen
Ocen
Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.
From: WB
Sent: Monday, September 29, 2014 18:00
To: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
Reply To: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
Subject: RE: {UAH} The fall of Mbabazi
Mr Nekyon:
Andrew Mujuni Mwenda tells YKM's version of events. The rest have been
merely speculating.
WBK
_____
Date: Mon, 29 Sep 2014 16:54:25 -0400
Subject: {UAH} The fall of Mbabazi
From: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]>
To: [email protected]
<mailto:[email protected]>
http://www.independent.co.ug/cover-story/9363-the-fall-of-mbabazi
The fall of Mbabazi
President Yoweri talks to NRM MPs at Kyankwanzi last year. FILE PHOTOInside
look at how Museveni launched fight with former PM
The first indication that something unusual was happening at State House
Entebbe was when President Yoweri Museveni on Wednesday Sept. 17 ended his
meetings unusually early. The President retired for a quiet dinner with the
First Lady, Mrs Janet Museveni. Sources tell The Independent that as they
sat over a meal of beef, bananas, vegetables, and yoghurt, the President
broke the silence: I have decided to end all this confusion about Mbabazi,
the president reportedly said. The First Lady nodded in agreement. She was
the first person to know of this development.
Mbabazi (or at least his wife Jacqueline Mbabazi) and his sister-in-law,
Hope Mwesigye, have had a frosty relationship with Janet Museveni, a matter
made worse by postings by Mbabazis daughter, Nina Rukikaire, on her
Facebook page.
Since The Independent broke the story of a major rift between Museveni and
Mbabazi on December 14, 2013, rumours have been rife of what it is all
about.
Conspiracy theorists argued that there was a hidden plan by the President
and the prime minister to fool the public. Even after Mbabazi was ambushed
and humiliated in Kyankwazi; even after his wife gave an interview to Sunday
Monitor newspaper where she criticized the NRM as being full of fascists,
people wondered why the president was not firing Mbabazi.
Museveni had now decided he needed to tackle Mbabazi early in his search for
a seventh term of office, the fifth elective one.
For almost a year, police and intelligence services have been providing
information to the President that Mbabazi, who is also secretary general of
the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM), has been mobilising members
at the grassroots in order to run for president as well. Equally, many NRM
mobilisers and sympathisers have been telling the president to come clear on
Mbabazi because they are confused. They claim that Mbabazis people tell
them that this mobilisation is sanctioned and supported by Museveni.
Those who know him well say that whenever Museveni faces an opponent, his
immediate weapon of first choice is not to confront them directly. The
President prefers to go around them first in a vast pincer movement a kind
of double envelopment strategy as military strategists could call it.
Thus since reports of Mbabazis 2016 presidential ambitions began, initially
as a trickle and later as a flood, Museveni began a long strategy of
neutralising them even before deciding to fire the prime minister. Since
January, the president has been moving from district to district, getting a
feel of the group, meeting old friends, and distributing favours.
Mbabazi had been alleged to have accumulated and hoarded a lot of money for
his alleged presidential bid. So the first task of the president was to
neutralise him economically. First, his bank, National Bank of Commerce, was
closed by the central bank under conditions many say were irregular. Then
every company that was alleged to be associated with Mbabazi and/or people
associated with the prime minister began losing government tenders.
Businessmen began lining up at State House to clear the air that they were
not having any business links with Mbabazi.
With the economic stranglehold over Mbabazis alleged businesses tightened,
Museveni moved to counter-mobilise youth across the country. In this
endeavor, he has been greatly helped by the Inspector General of Police,
Kale Kayihura, and the Permanent Secretary in the ministry of Gender and
Labour, the tireless Pius Bigirimana. Across the country, programs to find
jobs for youth were created through a massive mobilisation agenda. Then the
president went on a diplomatic offensive to demonstrate (but not explain)
that Mbabazi was not his chosen successor among close allies of the NRM.
With the army secured after the escape of former coordinator of intelligence
services, Gen. David Sejusa aka Tinyefuza, and now after the veterans had
been secured under Saleh, it was time for Museveni to make his final move on
Mbabazi.
Early the next morning, Thursday Sept.18, the president read his security
briefs, had a few meetings and prepared fly to Gulu to preside over the
re-burial of former Inspector General of Police, Erinayo Oryema, who was
allegedly murdered by former president Idi Amin in 1977.
The President, who had donned his generals uniform, held a scheduled
meeting with Uganda Peoples Defense Forces (UPDF) veterans led by his
brother, Gen. Caleb Akandwanaho aka Salim Saleh.
The official aim of the meeting was to hand over a significant share of the
work currently being done by the National Agricultural Advisory Services
(NAADS) to the veterans. The veterans, the president said, were not
necessarily going to do agricultural advisory work. Rather their job was to
help farmers increase household incomes by assisting them to get involved in
commercial agriculture. The effort was going to be nationwide.
Unofficially, by mandating UPDF veterans with the task of helping increase
farmers incomes, Museveni hits several birds with one stone. First, he
creates activities to keep the veterans busy and therefore helping them out
of boredom that could easily been exploited by his opponents seeking
political advantage like Mbabazi and others.
Secondly, he creates a source of income for many of his soldiers who have
not been gainfully employed and he organises a disciplined force to
politically mobilise peasants (who constitute nearly 70 percent of the
electorate) on his side by distributing to them state largesse.
And finally, he has a nationwide army of ex-servicemen and women, directly
under the command and control of his trusted brother, to do the work.
Therefore, although it looked routine and ordinary, the meeting of Museveni
and UPDF veterans was in effect the official launch of President Musevenis
bid for reelection in 2016.
In all this, Museveni is convinced that the UPDF is the most reformed and
therefore the most effective state institution in Uganda today, a view he
had shared with Western diplomats who had earlier called on him at his
country home in Rwakitura on Sept.14. It was also the day he had a family
function to celebrate his 70th birthday.
After the meeting with the veterans, the President met with the acting NRM
Secretary General also Minister without Portfolio, Richard Todwong; the
Minister for the Presidency, Frank Tumwebaze; the Minister for Information,
Rose Namayanja and senior political advisors, Moses Byaruhanga and David
Mafabi. From all these people and many others, the president has been
hearing but keeping quiet about stories of Mbabazis alleged ambitions to
run for the presidency in 2016.
Sacking letter
Finally, before departure, the President moved to tackle the final hitch
Amama Mbabazi. He personally wrote, using a pen, the draft of his now famous
letter firing Mbabazi as Prime Minister and appointing Mbabazis best friend
and Minister of Health, Dr. Ruhakana Rugunda, in his stead. Although the
letter was phrased in a language not consistent with the constitution, NRM
insiders were to call the decision to replace Mbabazi with Rugunda, a
stroke of political genius.
The letter was brief and did not pass through the hands of the legal
department and for a reason: the president needed to sign it urgently
because after the ceremony in Gulu he was flying to the United States
first to Texas and later to New York for the United Nations General
Assembly.
The letter informed the Speaker of Parliament, Rebecca Kadaga, that the
President had decided to appoint Rugunda Prime Minister with immediate
effect but adding that: I hereby forward the names and curriculum vitae of
Dr. Ruhakana Rugunda to you for the required parliamentary approval. But
how could Rugundas appointment be with immediate effect before
parliamentary approval? Legally, the president is supposed to nominate
someone who is then approved by parliament after which his appointment would
take effect.
Legal niceties aside, Mbabazis fall brought to an end speculation of what
was actually happening inside the NRM.
Mbabazis firing came at the end of a long process in which Museveni secured
his flank as they say in military strategy. But it also came at the
tail-end of many accumulated accusations against the prime minister. For
example, he was accused of retaining control over the secretariat staff
while undermining Todwong in order to promote his presidential ambitions.
Todwong had even recommended a complete overhaul of the secretariat if the
President were to have effective control over the party. He had told the
President that nearly all staff at the party headquarters had been appointed
by and were therefore loyal to Mbabazi, a factor that made his (Tadwongs)
work difficult.
It is possible that the president did not believe many of the allegations
against Mbabazi. However, he could not continue to deflect pressure from his
supporters to take action against his erstwhile ally. Take for example
youthful Members of Parliament (MPs) who moved a motion to have Museveni as
the sole presidential candidate at at the ruling party retreat in Kyankwazi
in March. Many of them alleged that Mbabazi was funding rivals to run
against them come party primaries only ten months away. They appealed to the
president for help saying Mbabazi was seeking to destroy them politically
because of their open support for his (the Presidents) candidature.
Some ministers were constantly going to the president complaining that
Mbabazi was using his position as prime minister to disfavor colleagues in
cabinet whom he suspected of being loyal to the President. They claimed that
during cabinet meetings chaired by the prime minister, ministers suspected
of not supporting Mbabazi would not be picked to speak and their ministerial
statements would be shelved. The president rarely attends cabinet as does
the vice president, a situation that had given Mbabazi legroom to
consolidate his position. Perhaps the last straw that broke the camels back
was the appearance of T-shirts and posters of Mbabazis presidential bid. On
September 8th, the president personally called Mbabazi and asked him about
the posters and T-shirts to which, sources say, the prime minister denied
involvement. According to reliable sources, Mbabazi told Museveni that the
posters doing the rounds on social media had been photo-shopped.
Later, when some youths were seen wearing the T-Shirts at Namboole Stadium
where Mbabazi was the chief guest during the Uganda-Guinea match on Sept.
10, Mbabazi claimed they had been printed by some of his overzealous
supporters without his encouragement, consent or knowledge. Mbabazi also
reasoned that the T-shirts may have been printed by his adversaries to put
him at loggerheads with President Museveni. When the president shared
Mbabazis defense with the First Lady, Mrs. Museveni is said to have asked:
Why doesnt he distance himself from them.
The Kigezi solution
Some NRM insiders say Museveni delayed to fire Mbabazi because he did not
want to be predictable. At a time when everyone expected the President to
fire his prime minister, some close associates of the President say that is
when Museveni was less likely to take such action. But, as the President
procrastination to fire Mbabazi went from three months to nine, people began
speculating and developing conspiracy theories that there may be a deal
between the two NRM leaders. The alleged rift, some conspiracy theorists
argued, was a smokescreen. It is at this point when everyone least expected
the president to fire his prime minister that Museveni actually fired
Mbabazi.
But there was concern within Musevenis circles that firing Mbabazi may
create for him sympathy among the Bakiga, the prime ministers ethnic group
which is also the fifth largest tribe in Uganda and a core of Museveni
support in the West. To overcome such an eventuality, the president
appointed Mbabazis close friend and senior politician from Kigezi, Ruhakana
Rugunda. This political choice, analysts say, has the potential to keep
Bakiga firmly in Musevenis corner (because what they lost with the right
hand has been given back to them using the left hand). This also denies
Mbabazi any sympathy in Kigezi that would have been vital for an ethnic
support base for him.
Now that Mbabazi is out of cabinet, what is he likely to do? This will be
the first time Mbabazi has been out of a government job since the NRM came
to power in 1986. Were his alleged presidential ambitions real? If yes,
wont throwing him out of cabinet now leave him free to pursue them with a
free hand? If Mbabazi announced that he wants to seek the chairmanship of
the NRM, what would Museveni do? And regardless of Musevenis reaction, what
would be its political ramifications?
Comments
(2)
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The fall of Mbabazi
http://www.independent.co.ug/cover-story/9363-the-fall-of-mbabazi
Sent from my BlackBerry 10 smartphone.
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<mailto:[email protected]> or Abbey Semuwemba
at: [email protected] <mailto:[email protected]> .
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