FBI's spreadsheet puts a stake through the heart of Steele's dossier

By John Solomon, opinion contributor — 07/17/19 07:00 PM EDT 

Some in the news media have tried in recent days to rekindle their long-lost
love affair with former MI6 agent
<https://thehill.com/person/christopher-steele> Christopher Steele and his
now
<https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3259984-Trump-Intelligence-Allegati
ons.html> infamous dossier.

The main trigger was a lengthy interview in June with the Department of
Justice (DOJ) inspector general, which
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia/trump-dossier-author-gr
illed-by-justice-department-watchdogs-sources-idUSKCN1U410I> some news
outlets suggested meant U.S. officials have found Steele, the former Hillary
Clinton-backed political muckraker, to be believable. 

“Investigators ultimately found Steele’s testimony credible and even
surprising,”
<https://www.politico.com/story/2019/07/09/christopher-steele-trump-dossier-
doj-1403318> Politico crowed. The Washington Post
<https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/07/09/william-barrs-shilling-t
rump-may-have-just-hit-snag/?utm_term=.7a04cd57be7d> went even further,
suggesting Steele’s assistance to the inspector general might “undermine
Trumpworld’s alt-narrative” that the Russia-collusion investigation was
flawed.

For sure, Steele may have valuable information to aid Justice’s internal
affairs probe into misconduct during the 2016 Russia election probe. His
dossier alleging a conspiracy between the Trump campaign and Moscow
ultimately  <https://www.justice.gov/storage/report.pdf> was disproven, but
not before his intelligence was used to secure a surveillance warrant
targeting the Trump campaign in the final days of the 2016 election.  

Investigators are trying to ascertain what the British intelligence
operative told the FBI about his sources, his relation to the Democratic
Party and Clinton campaign, his hatred for
<https://thehill.com/people/donald-trump> Donald Trump, his
<https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/442592-steeles-stunning-pre-fisa-co
nfession-informant-needed-to-air-trump-dirt> Election Day deadline to get
his information public and his leaking to media outlets before agents used
his dossier to justify a Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA)
warrant to spy on ex-Trump campaign adviser
<https://thehill.com/person/carter-page> Carter Page.

There is evidence Steele told the DOJ in July, and the State Department in
October, about all of these flaws in his work, and that State officials even
detected blatant inaccuracies in his intelligence. If so, all of that
information should have been flagged by the FBI as potentially derogatory
information weighing against Steele’s use as a source for the FISA warrant.

But lest anyone be tempted to think Steele’s 2016 dossier is about to be
mysteriously revived as credible, consider this: Over months of work, FBI
agents painstakingly researched every claim Steele made about Trump’s
possible collusion with Russia, and assembled their findings into a
spreadsheet-like document.

The over-under isn’t flattering to Steele.

Multiple sources familiar with the FBI spreadsheet tell me the vast majority
of Steele’s claims were deemed to be wrong, or could not be corroborated
even with the most awesome tools available to the U.S. intelligence
community. One source estimated the spreadsheet found upward of 90 percent
of the dossier’s claims to be either wrong, nonverifiable or open-source
intelligence found with a Google search.

In other words, it was mostly useless.

“The spreadsheet was a sea of blanks, meaning most claims couldn’t be
corroborated, and those things that were found in classified intelligence
suggested Steele’s intelligence was partly or totally inaccurate on several
claims,” one source told me.

The FBI declined comment when asked about the spreadsheet.

The FBI’s final assessment was driven by many findings contained in
classified footnotes at the bottom of the spreadsheet. But it was also
informed by an agent’s interview, in early 2017, with a Russian that Steele
claimed was one of his main providers of intelligence, according to my
sources.

The FBI came to suspect that the Russian misled Steele, either intentionally
or through exaggeration, the sources said.

The spreadsheet and a subsequent report by special prosecutor
<https://thehill.com/people/robert-mueller> Robert Mueller show just how far
off the seminal claims in the Steele dossier turned out to be.

For example, U.S. intelligence found no evidence that Carter Page, during a
trip to Moscow in July 2016, secretly met with two associates of
<https://thehill.com/people/vladimir-putin> Vladimir Putin Igor Sechin and
senior government official Igor Divyekin — as part of the effort to collude
with the Trump campaign, as Steele reported.

Page did meet with a lower-level Rosneft official, and shook hands with a
Russian deputy prime minister, the FBI found, but it was a far cry from the
tale that Steele’s dossier spun. 

Likewise,
<https://www.businessinsider.com/carter-page-trump-russia-igor-sechin-dossie
r-2017-1> Steele claimed that Sechin had offered Page a hefty finder’s fee
if he could get Trump to help lift sanctions on Moscow: “a 19 percent
(privatized) stake in Rosneft in return.”

That offer, worth billions of dollars, was never substantiated and was
deemed by some in U.S. intelligence to be preposterous.

The inaccuracy of Steele’s intelligence on Page is at the heart of the
inspector general investigation specifically because the
<https://www.lawfareblog.com/document-justice-department-releases-carter-pag
e-fisa-application> FBI represented to the FISA court that the intelligence
on Page was verified and strong enough to support the FISA warrant. It was,
in the end, not verified.

Another knockdown of the dossier occurred when U.S. intelligence determined
former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen
<https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/investigations/article229424084.html> was
not in Prague in the summer of 2016 when Steele claimed he was meeting with
Russians to coordinate a hijacking of the election, the sources said.

Steele’s theory about who in the Trump campaign might be conspiring with
Russia kept evolving from Page to Cohen to former campaign chairman Paul
Manafort. None of those theories checked out in the end, as the Mueller
report showed.

Again, Steele’s intelligence was wrong or unverifiable.

The salacious, headline-grabbing claim that Russians had
<https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/pee-tape-trump-mueller-
report-823755/> incriminating sex tapes showing Trump engaged in depraved
acts with prostitutes also met a factual dead end when the FBI interviewed
the Georgian-American businessman who claimed to know about them. Giorgi
Rtskhiladze told investigators “he was told the tapes were fake,” according
to a footnote in the Mueller report. Rtskhiladze’s lawyer subsequently
<https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5977239/Modified-ASB-Letter-to-W
PB-Re-Mueller-Report-Docx.pdf> issued a letter taking issue with some of
Mueller’s characterizations. 

Steele had some general things right, of course, including that the Russians
were behind
<https://techcrunch.com/2019/04/18/mueller-clinton-arizona-hack/> the
hacking of the Democratic National Committee’s emails. Of course, there were
public reports saying so when Steele reported this.

But even then, his dossier’s theory of how the hackers worked, who paid them
and how they communicated with Trump was determined in the FBI spreadsheet
and subsequent Mueller investigation to be far from accurate.

Even State officials, who
<https://thehill.com/opinion/white-house/442944-fbis-steele-story-falls-apar
t-false-intel-and-media-contacts-were-flagged> listened to Steele’s theories
in October 2016 — less than two weeks before his dossier was used to support
the FISA request — instantly determined he was grossly wrong on some points.

Any effort to use Steele’s belated cooperation with the inspector general's
investigation to prop up the credibility of his 2016 anti-Trump dossier or
the FBI’s reliance on it for the FISA warrant is deeply misguided.

Rep. Mark Meadows (R-N.C.), a key defender of Trump, said he talked with DOJ
officials after the most recent stories surfaced about Steele and was told
the reporting is wrong. “Based on my conversations with DOJ officials,
recent reports which suggest Christopher Steele’s dossier and allegations
are somehow deemed credible by DOJ, are simply false and not based on any
confirmation from sources with direct knowledge of ongoing investigations,”
Meadows told me.

The FBI’s own spreadsheet was so conclusive that it prompted then-FBI
Director  <https://thehill.com/people/james-comey> James Comey (no fan of
Trump, mind you) to dismiss the document as “
<https://www.apnews.com/bdb6fde269f59430cfb8a03dd846e092> salacious and
unverified” and for lead FBI agent Peter Strzok to text, “
<https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/397902-opinion-one-fbi-text-message-in-ru
ssia-probe-should-alarm-every-american> There’s no big there there.” FBI
lawyer Lisa Page
<https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/406881-lisa-page-bombshell-fbi-couldnt-pr
ove-trump-russia-collusion-before-mueller> testified that nine months into
reviewing Steele’s dossier they had not found evidence of the collusion that
Steele alleged.

Two years later, Mueller came to the same conclusion: Steele’s intelligence
alleging a conspiracy was never verified. 

The next time you hear a pundit suggesting Steele’s dossier is credible or
that the FBI’s reliance on it as FISA evidence was justified, just picture
all those blanks in that FBI spreadsheet.

They speak volumes as to what went wrong in the Russia investigation.

 <https://thehill.com/person/john-solomon> John Solomon is an award-winning
investigative journalist whose work over the years has exposed U.S. and FBI
intelligence failures before the Sept. 11 attacks, federal scientists’
misuse of foster children and veterans in drug experiments, and numerous
cases of political corruption. He serves as an investigative columnist and
executive vice president for video at The Hill. Follow him on Twitter
<https://twitter.com/jsolomonReports> @jsolomonReports. 

EM         -> { Trump for 2020 }

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