http://www.pattoomey.org/

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AP: Toomey May Knock Out Specter 
By Lara Jordan, AP Writer 

Press Release 

Thursday, April 22, 2004 

WYOMISSING, Pa. - Fourteen months ago, a conservative
congressman set out on a seemingly quixotic quest to
retire four-term Sen. Arlen Specter. The challenger
had little money, scant name recognition and no
support from party leaders. 
Now, with less than a week to go before the state's
April 27 Senate primary, Rep. Pat Toomey has come
within striking distance of defeating Specter in what
has become one of the nation's most closely watched
GOP contests this year. 
"I really believe we're going to win - despite pretty
tough odds and pretty tough circumstances," Toomey,
42, said Wednesday at a Chamber of Commerce breakfast
in the heart of Pennsylvania Dutch country. 
This week, a poll showed Toomey trailing Specter, 74,
by a mere 5 percentage points, compared with 15 points
three weeks earlier. 
>From the start, Toomey has portrayed himself as an
energetic, Harvard-educated former banker taking on a
weathered senator; a firebrand conservative intent on
retiring an old-guard moderate. 
After bucking party bosses who urged him to drop his
bid, the three-term Toomey has had to scrape up as
much support as possible from like-minded
conservatives who consider Specter a "RINO" - a
Republican In Name Only - whose politics have strayed
too far from the party line. 
Specter has outspent Toomey more than 3-to-1 in the
last 15 weeks, buying $7 million in TV ads. On Monday,
he brought in President Bush to help him fend off
Toomey in what even the senator admits could be the
toughest primary battle of his career. 
Specter was first elected to the Senate in 1980, after
a career that included a year as assistant counsel on
the Warren Commission and eight years as the
Philadelphia district attorney. 
He has long had a maverick streak that made him a
target for Democrats and conservative Republicans
alike. Specter's tough questioning of Anita Hill
during the Clarence Thomas confirmation hearings in
1991, for example, put him on the hit list of liberal
women's groups. 
He has been challenged during every election - and
generally cedes 35 percent of the vote, no matter who
his opponents are. 
The tightening race puts "all my supporters on notice
that I've got a fight, which is what I've been saying
all the time. The biggest problem I have is that my
supporters think I have no problem," said Specter, who
spent Wednesday rushing around Pennsylvania to tout
his accomplishments - including the hundreds of
millions of federal dollars he earmarks annually for
state projects as chairman of a Senate Appropriations
subcommittee. 
Political experts say Specter is battling his own
independent ideology as he seeks an unprecedented
fifth term. 
"Nobody should be surprised, in a state as
conservative as Pennsylvania, that somebody such as
Arlen Specter would be in a competitive primary race,"
said Pittsburgh-based GOP consultant John Brabender. 
"Year after year, Arlen's strength is not necessarily
within the Republican Party, but among independent and
middle-of-the-road voters." 
Toomey has galvanized conservatives by zeroing in on
Specter's support for abortion rights and by
describing the senator's spending habits as "pork"
that bloats the federal deficit. 
Still, Specter's politics have long been in line with
Pennsylvania's tradition of electing moderates to
statewide office. The late Sen. H. John Heinz III,
also a Republican, showed a similar independent
streak. 
Toomey also faces another hurdle: a consensus that
Specter would be a better GOP candidate in the general
election. 
"Most people agree that if Republicans want to hold
this seat, Arlen Specter has the best chance of doing
that," Brabender said. 
The winner of the GOP primary will face three-term
Rep. Joe Hoeffel; Democratic voters narrowly outnumber
Republicans statewide. 
Even Specter's supporters are unsure whether the
senator can pull off a victory in a primary in which
conservatives are expected to rally behind Toomey.
Conservatives make up perhaps one-third of the state's
3.2 million Republican voters and generally outpoll
moderates in GOP primaries. 
"I think it's close," said Specter supporter Ben
Barton, a 23-year old political science major at the
University of Pittsburgh. "I've seen a lot of signs
out for Toomey. I think it's a lot closer than Specter
wants it to be." 




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