Nice article, Lynn.

One thing it made me think of, is the incredible role the Internet has played 
in software business development models. Previous to the Internet, the software 
"Kingmakers" consisted primarily of the MacWorlds, MacUsers, etc. and companies 
with deep enough pockets to advertise with them, and they together controlled 
the public perception of what software was "good to buy."

Then the Internet came and almost immediately allowed for the small, single-man 
developer to access thousands of independent minded customers by simply putting 
a page on the web. Once they sold a few copies, they were able to build a bit 
larger company and start to focus directly on new features and products through 
customer feedback. This same channel became their target market, and it 
succeeded mostly due to the immediate nature of direct marketing. 

Heck, I first purchased TechSmith's SnagIt years ago, then Camtasia soon after 
it launched. I now get an email every so often with an upgrade discount offer I 
can't resist. They receive 100% of the revenue, all for the cost of a single 
email. This won't happen anymore with the new AppStore.

I don't suspect any of these developers will be happy UNLESS they can continue 
selling their products through traditional channels AS WELL as the Mac 
AppStore-- AND receive the customer registration information from the AppStore 
when a sale is made. I'll be surprised if Apple allows for both of these things 
to happen.

I believe Apple is trying an end run stategy to bypass the Internet, and become 
the new Kingmaker of software, much like they've been able to do with the music 
industry. I suspect if you could turn back the clocks, many music execs 
would've acted much different before it all started to go Apple's way.

If you want a laugh, check out Richard's recent blog post over at 
LiveCodeJournal.com:
http://livecodejournal.com/blog.irv      

Chipp Walters
CEO, Shafer Walters Group, Inc

On Oct 21, 2010, at 3:50 PM, "Lynn Fredricks" <[email protected]> 
wrote:

> 
> The Mac App Store is a dangerous unknown. Apple doesn't have to rush
> eliminate other alternatives, but instead let the weight of presence in the
> OS and the direction of user opinion (like we saw with the Thoughts on Flash
> debaucle) move it step by step to an exclusive model and ownership of your
> customer relations. Maybe that's not the goal, but the Mac App Store is just
> the sort of tool you could use to accomplish that.
> 
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