I think not.

Pricing models will change. We'll see pay-per-use, pay-per-month, pay- per-file, pay-per-K and other similar models. When it's not necessary for the manufacturer to package, distribute, sell, track, upgrade and otherwise deal with thousands and thousands of copies of the software out there -- and when piracy becomes all but extinct thanks to the new models -- software prices will dive while profit margins remain high.

At least that's how I see it.


On Nov 16, 2005, at 7:10 PM, Charles Hartman wrote:


On Nov 16, 2005, at 9:43 PM, Alex Tweedly wrote:

I don't believe that a "Web-Photoshop" would need to satisfy the digital photography professional (mapping professionals aren't using Google Maps !). I think to get a commercially successful web- based photography editing app you need to satisfy 75% of the population - who start out with 3-6M-pixel photos compressed down to 1/2Mb JPEGs, not the pros using 32Mb RAW images,.


Is one implication that, in the brave new web-app world, professional-grade applications -- because nobody but professionals will be using them -- will get really, really expensive? Yes, many are now; but many aren't. Jarhead was edited, as I understand it, by whatshisname the great film editor using Final Cut Pro. Pro- level audio software, though not cheap, is within reach for an amateur. Will that stop being true? Don't like it.

Charles Hartman

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Dan Shafer
Technology Visionary - Technology Assessment - Documentation
"Looking at technology from every angle"
http://www.eclecticity.com


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