Rion D'Luz wrote:
>> In particular, we could move to peer-to-peer or friend-of-a-friend
>> banking in which every individual and organization plays the role of a
>> bank.
> I've always found your idea about this pretty cool. 

The open source Ripple project actually gives a little 'on topic' cover
to the thread.

Stanley originally asked about local systems, and if/why they might
fail. Perhaps local systems fail because they are local? Paypal didn't fail.

I don't get the motivation for wanting to keep a payment system strictly
local. I can see starting something local (you've got to start
somewhere), but I'd design with various scales in mind.

Beyond that the local thing, I'll share some of my own experience:

1. It is a lot of work.

2. Economies are nonlinear systems, nonlinear system design is hard.
There are dangerous failure modes in this area.

3. There are already other means of exchange, and so it is difficult to
motivate what may come across as subtle distinctions.

4. Among other technical issues, people haven't personally embraced
digital signature, and they will need to if a distributed approach is
going to happen. This isn't a problem when you are dealing with
commodities, but we are talking about credit, and identity is the
central issue with credit.

And finally, anatomy of success and failure:

1. The class of projects we're are talking about don't have kickback
profit as the objective for the designers. Stanley specifically
mentioned bypassing the vendor fees of the credit card racket. These
projects would ideally operate as a set of standards that the public
could pick up and use in a distributed fashion. Commons are some of the
most valuable human assets, but among the most difficult to get rolling.

2. Some people say that the greatest asset of the Open Source movement
is that failure is cheap. If only one in a thousand projects ever goes
beyond one developer, and if only one in a thousand of those has
success, you can still have a massively successful movement. I don't
know if failure-is-cheap logic can apply to the topic at hand, but if it
does then a number of failures isn't necessarily a bad sign.

3. This type of thing becomes like the atmosphere, invisible, so in a
few generations, people forget how they started. People DO succeed at
this type of project. People DID create and evolve the current banking
system, it isn't something natural. People DID create and evolve the
Internet, but that won't be immediately obvious to the next generation
of humans. People DID create and evolve the patent system, just imagine
the original bull session, "let's set up a system where I mail an idea
to the king, he signs the paper, and then he stops everyone in the land
from using the same idea unless I say it is OK." Ya, that's really gonna
happen, oh wait, it did! (Maybe Rion is right--I do sound like a broken
record).

> What about a micro-lending schema similar to  what is being done
> in 3rd world countries.

I guess that is sort of built in to friend-of-a-friend banking.

-- 
Anthony Carrico

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