Posted by Jim Lindgren:
Excommunicating Condoleeza Rice.--

   Eugene [1]comments on these snarky assertions of a newly minted
   Harvard Ph.D. at [2]AlexandraSamuel.com:

     shouldn't political science have its equivalent to disbarment or
     excommunication? After all, if we want the term "political
     scientist" to mean something, then a doctorate shouldn't be a
     one-way ticket. When political scientists promulgate ideas or
     institute policies that violate even the most generous
     interpretations of our collective wisdom, they are not only
     disregarding their own academic training, but devaluing the
     intellectual authority and standards of our field. So shouldn't
     there be some threshold - it can be a generous one - beyond which
     one loses the right to practice political science?

   After spending the last few years at Harvard, Ms. Samuel (I presume
   that it is she who is posting at AlexandraSamuel.com) seems to be
   confused about how academics is supposed to work. To my mind, she is
   doing what she decries: "promulgat[ing] ideas . . . that violate even
   the most generous interpretations of our collective wisdom, . . . not
   only disregarding [her] own academic training, but devaluing the
   intellectual authority and standards of our field." I hope that no one
   at Harvard tries to implement her authoritarian suggestion, or they
   might just demand her Ph.D. back.

   Science (and social science) proceeds by free inquiry, not by
   consensus, as Michael Crichton, a Harvard MD from a different
   generation so eloquently [3]put it two years ago:

     I want to pause here and talk about this notion of consensus, and
     the rise of what has been called consensus science. I regard
     consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought
     to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically, the claim of
     consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to
     avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled.
     Whenever you hear the consensus of scientists agrees on something
     or other, reach for your wallet, because you're being had.

     Let's be clear: the work of science has nothing whatever to do with
     consensus. Consensus is the business of politics. Science, on the
     contrary, requires only one investigator who happens to be right,
     which means that he or she has results that are verifiable by
     reference to the real world. In science consensus is irrelevant.
     What is relevant is reproducible results. The greatest scientists
     in history are great precisely because they broke with the
     consensus.

     There is no such thing as consensus science. If it's consensus, it
     isn't science. If it's science, it isn't consensus. Period.

   Crichton then describes scientific consensuses that turned out to be
   wrong. I don't think that there is anything wrong with talking about
   the consensus of scientists or social scientists (and I certainly do
   so myself), but one must remember that it is the quality of the
   evidence that makes the work persuasive, not the consensus.

   But what about examples of social science consensus?

   The Case of James Coleman. As part of my Ph.D. work at the University
   of Chicago, I was fortunate enough to be among James Coleman's last
   students. At one time or another in his long career, Coleman had been
   the leading practitioner of several subfields in Sociology:
   educational sociology, mathematical sociology, and rational choice
   sociology. In the 1960s Coleman did some of the first large-scale,
   well designed educational studies. When his early results seemed to
   find positive effects for school integration, he was lionized by the
   profession. But just a few years later, when his data started showing
   problems with the educational effects of busing, he was vilified.
   Although I never heard exactly what was done to him, Chicago faculty
   members told me that he was "basically thrown out" of the American
   Sociological Association (ASA), perhaps analogous to what Ms. Samuel
   has proposed for Condoleeza Rice. I don't take the claims that Coleman
   was thrown out literally; probably nothing more was done than open
   insults, shunning, and expressions that he was not welcome anymore.

   When eventually Coleman's work was mostly validated by other
   researchers, the leaders of the profession were ashamed of their prior
   actions. I was told by faculty members at Chicago and elsewhere (I
   have no personal knowledge of these events) that an effort was made to
   make amends for their shoddy treatment. Twenty years after being
   excluded, the ASA made him President of the organization. (I apologize
   in advance to those readers who have personal knowledge of these
   events; my knowledge is secondhand and thus likely to be in error on
   some details. Coleman never spoke to me about any of this.)

   Welfare Reform. The greatest success of the Clinton
   Administration--and one that will continue to generate benefits for
   years to come--is welfare reform. It was a Republican idea, but it
   took real courage on Clinton's part to get it past the Democratic
   establishment, both academic and political. I take it that its chief
   proponents in the Clinton White House were Clinton himself, Gore, and
   Dick Morris. All sorts of horror stories were told about the scale of
   human disaster that would come about if even a modest workfare system
   was imposed. Even less alarmist academics thought that it had to
   worsen things, but as soon as it passed (even before it took effect),
   more poor people began looking for and getting jobs. Poverty went
   down, not up. Now a generation of the poor and the borderline poor are
   being raised in households with many more employed breadwinners, with
   positive effects of many sorts.

   Arming America. After it was publicly exposed that in Arming America
   Michael Bellesiles had described the contents of over a hundred
   documents that never existed, the American Historical Association
   passed a resolution that specifically expressed support for both
   Michael Bellesiles AND HIS BOOK! With some of the country's leading
   historians praising the book, the consensus was so strong that most
   historians just did not think that they should spend an afternoon in a
   good library checking criticisms before going public with expressions
   of support. Later, some of those same leading historians wrote or told
   me that they were wrong. For several reasons, including because the
   AHA was embarrassed over having been taken in by Bellesiles, the AHA
   decided to end its practice of conducting ethical investigations.

References

   1. http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2005_01_07.shtml#1105656637
   2. http://alexandrasamuel.com/blog/index.php?p=11
   3. http://www.crichton-official.com/speeches/speeches_quote04.html

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