Posted by Jim Lindgren:
A CLOSER LOOK AT TERM LIMITS; PROBLEMS WITH THE CARRINGTON/CRAMTON PROPOSAL.�

   Randy Barnett raises the [1]issue of term limits, which [2]I blogged
   about a few weeks ago. There are at least three major questions to be
   answered in deciding whether to endorse the Carrington/Cramton
   proposal, or any specific proposal on term limits for the Supreme
   Court:

   1. Do you favor 18-year term limits for Supreme Court justices? 

   Such proposals date back over a decade to (as I recall) at least Greg
   Easterbrook's. The Carrington/Cramton proposal from late 2004 and the
   one that I discussed on CONLAWPROF about 4-5 years ago and the one
   that Steve Calabresi and Akhil Amar proposed in a 2002 Washington Post
   op-ed all opt for 18-year term limits.

   2. Can this be accomplished by statute by retaining life tenure (with
   reduced powers and responsibilities) or must such a change be
   accomplished by a Constitutional Amendment? 

   Reasonable people can differ on this. The Carrington/Cramton proposal
   opts for a statute. Early versions of the Calabresi proposal said that
   either a statute or a Constitutional amendment were possible. The
   draft that Calabresi and I are rewriting now calls for Constitutional
   amendment, not a statute, as the wiser course, which was my initial
   cut when Calabresi first raised the idea of Supreme Court term limits
   with me back in 2000.

   3. Which proposal do you favor? 

   Even if you are willing to endorse 18-year term limits and think it
   can be done by statute, rather than by constitutional amendment, there
   is still the question of which implementation of 18-year term limits
   works best. I know that Calabresi, when he endorsed the
   Carrington/Cramton proposal thought that it did much the same thing as
   the proposal that he and I have been working on for years. But it
   doesn't. (Obviously, between the two, he favors our proposal.) The
   Carrington/Cramton proposal might still be better than the status quo
   (I don't know), but I think the version that Steve Calabresi and I
   developed is better on specifics--which of course one would expect us
   to think of our own proposal.

   I just read the Carrington/Cramton proposal for the first time last
   night, and I think there are some serious problems with it. I will
   leave aside for now some problems with their phase-in period (because
   any proposal will have some potential oddities associated with the
   phase-in period), and I will focus only on problems with the
   Carrington/Cramton proposal once it is fully phased in and
   functioning.

   The Carrington/Cramton proposal provides BOTH that "the nine who are
   junior in commission shall sit regularly on the Court" hearing cases
   AND that "One Justice or Chief Justice, and only one, shall be
   appointed during each [2-year] term of Congress." While under the
   current law and any scheme that I have considered, the Senate always
   has the power to delay approving and thereby to delay adding a justice
   for strategic reasons, under current law and our proposal, the
   President and the Senate have no power to REMOVE a justice from
   hearing cases because they want to replace him or her. But under the
   Carrington/Cramton proposal, they do. And this dispute would happen,
   not just occasionally, but with almost every appointment.

   Imagine if the Carrington/Cramton proposal were fully phased in today
   and a Democratic appointee and strong liberal were the most senior
   sitting justice. The Carrington/Cramton proposal provides that "One
   Justice or Chief Justice, and only one, shall be appointed during each
   [2-year] term of Congress." Accordingly, some in the Bush White House
   would want the new Bush choice confirmed NOW in the first months of
   the new Congress, so the new justice could bump a sitting Democratic
   justice off the cases already being heard. The Democrats would
   respond, "What's your hurry?" Under the Carrington/Cramton bill, they
   could wait until late in 2006 to replace the current sitting justice.
   Suppose that there is a major case coming before the Court late in
   this term and the more political branches want the senior Justice
   bumped off the Court that would hear the case. This would seem to me
   to be highly disadvantageous.

   Further, this power to remove sitting justices from hearing cases
   (including from anticipated specific cases) at the discretion of the
   other two branches would raise Separation of Powers concerns. Indeed,
   giving the two non-judicial branches the discretion to set the end of
   a particular justice's ability to hear cases routinely would make it
   particularly inappropriate to try to do so by statute, rather than
   Constitutional amendment. I don't think that the Carrington/Cramton
   proposal can both urge a statutory solution and give the executive and
   legislative branches the discretion over when during a 2-year window
   to remove a sitting justice from hearing cases.

   Further, suppose that the Bush White House gets its choice through in
   February or March in the first year of the new Congress. The new
   justice would obviously supplant the senior justice on cases on which
   certiorari had not yet been granted, but what about cases on which
   cert. had been granted, but the cases not yet argued? What about cases
   argued but not yet decided? As I read the C/C proposal, the new
   justice would sit immediately, probably bumping the senior justice off
   cases heard but not decided: "The nine who are junior in commission
   shall sit regularly on the Court." At the least, the application of
   their statute to existing cases is unclear.

   I apologize for not making our full specific proposal public now, but
   (while its logic has been worked out and we have a draft provision) we
   have not yet run it by those more skilled in legislative drafting. We
   go for fixed terms of 18 years, each starting and ending in the
   summers of odd years:

     c. The Length of the Terms of Regular Service. 
     There shall be nine staggered full terms of Regular Service on the
     Supreme Court, each approximately 18 years in length, with terms
     beginning and ending every two years in odd numbered years. An old
     term of Regular Service shall end and a new term shall begin on
     July 1 of each odd numbered year if the Supreme Court has recessed
     for the summer by that date. Otherwise, the term of Regular Service
     shall begin and end on the first full day of recess after July 1,
     but in no event shall the date for beginning and ending a term of
     Regular Service be later than October 1 of the relevant
     odd-numbered year.

   Calabresi and I expect to make our draft, which has been circulating
   in a limited form since 2001 or 2002, finally public in mid-March. At
   that time, I will try to set out what I think are the chief merits and
   demerits of our Constitutional proposal.

   For the reason I set out above, while I strongly favor the idea of
   18-year term limits, I do not favor the particular proposal put
   forward Carrington and Cramton, though with revisions to track more
   closely our proposal, I would probably favor it.

References

   1. http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2005_02_13-2005_02_19.shtml#1108763212
   2. http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2005_01_16-2005_01_22.shtml#1105903830

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