Posted by Jonathan Adler:
The Sotomayor Vote:
http://volokh.com/archives/archive_2009_08_02-2009_08_08.shtml#1249562392


   The Senate is scheduled to vote on the nomination of Sonia Sotomayor
   to the Supreme Court today at 3pm. It looks like there will be just
   shy of 70 votes in favor of her confirmation. [1]Back in June I wrote:

     If I had to make a prediction, I'd guess that the vote will
     actually occur just after the August recess, and that somewhere
     around 75 Senators will vote in favor of Judge Sotomayor's
     confirmation.

   I overestimated the number of Republicans who would end up voting in
   her favor, as well as their ability to make the case for a slight
   delay. But you were warned the prediction was "worth about as much as
   the paper it's printed on." Other folks' predictions are [2]here.

References

   1. http://volokh.com/posts/1244157497.shtml
   2. 
http://ninthjustice.nationaljournal.com/2009/06/say-when-experts-predict-confi.php

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