At 01:44 PM 7/5/2012, Axil Axil wrote:
Rossi's new reactor core design
http://pesn.com/2012/01/14/9602012_Momentous_Breakthroughs_Announced_During_Anniversary_E-Cat_Interview/
Momentous Breakthroughs Announced During Anniversary E-Cat Interview
- January 15, 2012
[etc].
There is something totally clear from this document.
There are people who can talk your pants off. Sit down and talk with
them, they can convince many people, maybe even most, to part with
their money, their trust, even their lives.
It's obvious that for the PESN interviewers, Rossi is such a person.
This has nothing to do with whether he's telling the truth or lying.
It has to do with a belief about substance arising entirely out of talking.
Due to the interview, I'm more convinced that ever the E-Cat
technology is not only real and works, but is racing towards the market place.
In other words, due to *talk* -- and little or nothing other than
that -- , the writer is convinced of a fact. No independent
confirmation needed.
With a person like this, something happens with many people. They
want to believe him. Even skeptics may give him every benefit of the
doubt, and skeptics may even forget to check everything. It seems rude.
I haven't watched the interview, don't have time. I simply notice this:
Rossi promised it would all be over by last October, that there would
be units for sale, independent public demonstrations, etc. None of
that has happened.
People involved with LENR know that Nickel Hydrogen reactions might
be possible, so often give Rossi the benefit of the doubt.
But generating a high output, even if he has done that, is only the
first step in moving to commercialization. It's also necessary that
the reaction be reliable and long-term sustainable. A reactor that
works for a day or two is going to be a problem.
Worse, a reactor that works at a low level for a while and suddenly
starts working at a high level could be a serious safety hazard.
Defkalion supporters have alleged that Defkalion withdrew from the
contract with Rossi because he had not met the contract standards for
reliability. True or false? I don't know. How could I know? I'd just
form an opinion from what the *people* seem like to me. That is
totally unreliable, we all can easily be fooled by people. Both
directions, by the way. We might not trust people for reasons that
have nothing to do with actual untrustworthiness.
So, now, Rossi is allegedly moving to manufacture of a million units.
To be actually at that position, he must have a reliable core
*already.* He could start selling that core *immediately* for
investigational use. With something accessible for demonstration, the
position of the U.S. Patent Office could *easily* be reversed, their
standard denial of cold fusion devices is rebuttable with an
accessible demo. He'd apply for the patent and duke it out in court
if needed, and, if he could demonstrate that core, he'd win, hands down.
He doesn't have to claim nuclear reactions at all. For a patent, he
only needs to demonstrate utility. Heat.
Rossi's position makes no sense, unless he's engaging in puffery. He
may be able to say this and say that, but there is *nothing* reliable
here, it's all claim by Rossi, shifting, and speculation by others,
and "I believe him." Or "I don't believe him."
For all of us and our energy future, I hope that Rossi is right, that
he really is about to start selling a working product. But my
personal sense tells me to not depend on it.
