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A similar dilemma arises with models concerning global warming, although
the scale of the crisis is global and the time frame is decades rather than
days.

well, some people agree with you as is indicated in this article

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/hurricanes_09-23-05.html

there was another brit named william of ockham who told us not to multiply entites -- now doesnt it take fewer entities to assume a cyclic weather event than oh my god we're all going to die in an overheated world disaster

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-alex

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