Interesting, but mortality rates for influenza alone are less than 0.1%. Iran reports 18.6% covid-19 mortality to date. https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-02-23-20-hnk-intl/index.html
Again 8/43 is a small population but the consistency is frightning. On Sun, Feb 23, 2020 at 10:21 AM Jones Beene <[email protected]> wrote: > Here is something else which statistically needs to be considered to > assess the reliability of the official Wuflu death toll. Namely - what is > the extent of fatalities of the "normal" flu in China this year? And also, > how many citizens are infected with both types simultaneously? > > It is possible that many flu deaths there could have been intentionally > labeled as the known types, in order to prevent public panic. For > instance, in the USA our CDC estimates that so far this flu season there > have been at least 29 million of the regular flue illnesses, 280,000 > hospitalizations and 16,000 *deaths. * > > That is huge! and possibly understated, but this background situation of > many flue types in circulation has gone largely unreported in the analysis > of our situation, since the flu season will go on for several more months. > Many more deaths are expected here in the states - even without the new > corona cases, possibly double that toll. > > China is more than 4 times more populous than the USA and has > sub-standard health care in many places, so it may be expected to already > have seen 60,000-80,000 dead from the normal (non corona) variety of flu > this season, yet this enormous death toll is not factored into the > statistics yet. > > Considered in that context - it is easy to imagine that to avoid panic, > doctors in China, especially in the rural areas, have been instructed to > call every flu death a "normal" flu death if there is any doubt about it. > And since the testing ability for the new virus is strained to the limit > this year - there is going to be large doubt. > > Plus - do we know that a substantial percentage of persons cannot catch > both types at the same time? > > Perhaps - most cases of Wuflu are very mild initially UNLESS the infected > person already has been exposed to one of the known strains. It may require > two infections to become fatal. Extrapolating from US numbers, there are > already over 100 million normal flue infections and no reason that a second > corona infection could not happen at the same time in part of that > population, given the very long gestation period. > > If so, which strain of flu actually caused the fatality? Perhaps it is > both. And are we really seeing the low mortality rates which are claimed, > since we have not been accurately looking at the correct statistics? > > > Terry Blanton wrote: > > > Italy reported 5 deaths in 28 cases. Small population but it is close to > the* rumored* Chinese death rate of 15.6%. > > I'm sure they actually have more cases uncounted yet. > >
