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 Date: 6/23/2006 2:00:44 PM
 Subject: [BOBPARKS-WHATSNEW] What's New Friday June 23, 2006

 WHAT'S NEW   Robert L. Park   Friday, 23 Jun 06   Washington, DC

 1. MISSILES: THE DEFENSE SYSTEM IS COMMENSURATE WITH THE THREAT. 
 President Bush pledged a ballistic missile defense in place by
 the end of 2004.  By election time, interceptors were snug in
 their silos, http://bobpark.physics.umd.edu/WN04/wn102204.html . 
 It worked perfectly -- not a single ballistic missile has fallen
 on the U.S. since.  However, North Korea is now threatening to
 test a new ballistic missile capable of reaching our mainland. 
 In response the U.S. "activated" the system.  Bring it on!  Wait,
 you mean we've been spending $10B a year for a system that wasn't
 on?  "Leaving it on would cost even more," I was told.  Besides,
 it's never been tested against a surprise missile, it was bad
 enough when we knew the exact launch time and trajectory.

 2. CONSPIRACIES: PHYSICIST'S NEW THEORY IS AS GOOD AS HIS FIRST.  
 A few weeks ago a cab picked me up at the U. of Wisconsin Physics
 Dept. to take me to the airport.  The driver began, "You a
 physicist?  I like physics.  You know this guy Steven Jones? 
 He's a physicist.  He proved the World Trade Center couldn't have
 fallen that fast on 9/11 unless it was rigged with explosives." 
 I'd heard it before.  Today there's a good story about Jones and
 the 9/11 "conspiracy" by John Gravois in the Chronicle of Higher
 Education.  Seventeen years ago Steven Jones imagined that cold
 fusion is responsible for Earth's molten interior.  That's what 
 led Fleischmann and Pons to rush into print with their dumb idea. 
   
 3. HEAT: MAYBE GLOBAL WARMING DENIERS ARE CONSPIRACY THEORISTS.
 The 1999 Mann Report concluded that the 1990s were the warmest
 decade in a thousand years.  It helped solidify public concern
 over warming.  It also infuriated many Republican lawmakers and
 industry groups.  At the request of the House Science Committee,
 the National Academies reviewed the Report, and agreed with the
 overall thrust.  The same deniers objected to the review

 4. LIES: REPLACING POLYGRAPHS WITH BRAIN IMAGING IS A BAD IDEA. 
 WN has long recommended that the polygraph be replaced by a coin
 toss.  It would catch half of the lies, which is a lot better
 than the polygraph.  There would be a little "collateral damage"
 from false positives, but there's a lot of that anyway.  However,
 the Wash Post on Tuesday had a story about discrepancies between
 polygraph results obtained by different federal agencies.  Who
 could be surprised?  We are forced to admit that the coin toss
 would suffer the same difficulty, presumably to the same extent. 
 According to an editorial in yesterday's Nature, however, there
 are two start-up companies preparing to offer fMRI brain scanning
 devices as lie detectors.  Many neuroscientists think the claims
 made for fMRI are overblown.  Should company officials therefore
 be asked to submit to brain scans?  That's the real problem.  If
 it works, it would represent the ultimate invasion of privacy.

 THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND.
 Opinions are the author's and not necessarily shared by the
 University of Maryland, but they should be.
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