Branch Ratio Variance and Deflation Fusion  Oct, 2009

If any byproduct of a fusion event, such as a neutron, is formed on a stochastic basis, i.e. having energy or observed frequency representing a sample from a random distribution, then other products of the same fusion process must also be forming in a stochastic basis. Descriptions of such events and products then are best specified using probability distributions, i.e. stochastic variables. The proportions of product types produced from fusion are random variables, thus indicating underlying stochastic processes. The proportions of byproducts produced from given inputs to fusion events, i.e. the branching ratios, are stochastic variables affected by the environment and circumstances in which the fusion occurs. One of the most distinguishing differences between hot and cold fusion are their branching ratios, the probability of a given reaction pathway. It is well known that in deuteron-deuteron fusion, (D-D fusion) that the D(D,p)T and D(D,n)He3 reactions are suppressed in the cold fusion variety of reactions, leaving the D(D,gamma)He4 reaction to dominate, but with the gamma energy released in small difficult to detect increments, possibly spread throughout the condensed matter lattice which makes cold fusion possible. The energy released by cold fusion is thus difficult to measure except through calorimetry.

The varying of the branching ratios for D-D reactions, between hot and cold fusion, indicates stochastic variables are at work in the process. A key variable appears to be the mean net reaction energy. In order to suppress the D(D,p)T and D(D,n)He3 reactions, and drive most everything toward the D(D,gamma)He4 reaction, the mean energy available from cold fusion must be offset in the negative direction from that available from purely kinetic fusion. We can see this from the energy available from each of the hot fusion branches:

D(D,p)T   4.03 MeV
D(D,n)He3   3.27 MeV
D(D,gamma)He4   23.9 MeV

If the D(D,gamma)He4 branch is highly favored and the D(D,p)T and D (D,n) He3 reactions highly suppressed, it is reasonable to expect the lower energy branches are being energetically suppressed by a lack of energy to make them feasible. This requires an energy deficit to occur in the combined intermediate reaction state designated here as He*. He* is the intermediate state just prior to branch selection mechanics taking effect. Highly suppressing both the D(D,p)T and D (D,n)He3 reactions requires a mean energy deficit greater than 4 MeV.

Assume for a moment the energy of He* in a cold fusion reaction is somehow offset by a random variable E(m,s) having a distribution with mean m and standard deviation s which are functions of the environment and circumstances of the reaction, and m is a negative number, an energy deficit. That is to say the branch selected is determined or limited in frequency by energy Q' = Q + E(m,s), where E (m,s) is due to the circumstances of the reaction and m is negative.

It is suggested here that E(m,s) exists for cold fusion reactions, and therefore E(m,s) is not related to any high energy kinetics of the reactants. Further, E(m,s) results from energy transactions with the vacuum, and varies across time throughout the reaction, and may result in an apparent violation of conservation of energy at the completion of the reaction. Note that there therefore can also be a fourth hidden branch to the D-D reaction, D(D,D)D, i.e. one where no reaction occurs even though the intermediate state He* forms, or approximately forms. Such a pathway only has meaning if the vacuum energy involved does not net to zero. Such a null product reaction is more likely to be meaningful and probable for prospective weak reactions or interactions, like p(p,p)p, which may be responsible for excess heat production in nickel-hydrogen experiments, but outside the scope of this discussion.

The energy variability, as described by the magnitude of s, arises from vacuum phenomena. In part it arises from the nuclear temperatures of the inputs to the reaction, which have Boltzman distributions. Nuclear temperatures are sustained by uncertainty. See: Heffner, "Nuclear ZPE Tapping", May 2007,

http://mtaonline.net/~hheffner/NuclearZPEtapping.pdf

Beyond this input variability, an additional mechanism has been proposed to cause variability, the size of the He* that results from the tunneling and wave function collapse that results in cold fusion. This is described in: Heffner, "Speculations Regarding the Nature of Cold Fusion", October, 2007,

http://www.mtaonline.net/%7Ehheffner/DeflationFusion2.pdf

An additional variability in the apparent net reaction energy is the amount of nuclear heat left remaining in the reaction products. It is notable that the heat in the input nuclei adds to the net energy of the reaction, while the heat in the product nuclei and the heat given to the vacuum, in the fusion producing wave function collapse, subtract from the net energy of reaction, but all these factors contribute to the variability of the reaction energy.

If in a given environment we suppose m = -5 MeV, and s = 0.25 MeV, we can see the mean resulting energies available from a D-D fusion event is given by

D(D,p)T   -0.97 MeV
D(D,n)He3  -1.73 MeV
D(D,gamma)He4   18.9 MeV

We can thus see why the D(D,p)T and D(D,n)He3 branches would be suppressed, and why the D(D,gamma)He4 average energy to be sensed by calorimetry would be less than 23.9 MeV per helium atom produced.

Further, we can see that tritium production would be a 4 sigma exception event, and neutron production would be a 7 sigma exception event. The mean apparent energy produced per reaction would be Q' = 18.9 MeV, assuming the deficit energy is not returned in whole or in part from the vacuum, by some mechanism, subsequent to or independent of the branch determination mechanics. Knowing the branching ratios in a given environment then provides a means of computing m and s. It is notable that slight changes in either m or s can result in dramatic effects on the observed branching ratios.

The small wavelength electron(s) trapped in the post fusion He* nucleus are able to return some energy, which is continually acquired from the vacuum in the form of nuclear heat, by radiating while they acquire enough wavelength, i.e. size, to escape the nucleus and gain orbital status. It is also feasible that vacuum transactions, such as the creation of neutrinos, can siphon off trapped electron energy, and thus some of the final heat detectable by calorimetry. Therefore, m can not be determined simply by measuring the enthalpy of cold fusion reactions.

Note that the average energy deficit does not have the same negative magnitude (i.e. m is not a large negative value) in hot fusion reactions because there is no electron in the excited He* intermediate product reducing the amount of available potential energy. A catalytic electron has an influence on both the kinetic and potential energy of the nucleus, and this influence varies with time. In addition, the input particles to a hot fusion event have a high kinetic energy which is needed to overcome the Coulomb barrier. That energy compresses the nuclear electrostatic field prior to final tunneling and the energy of that field compression is released as heat when the tunneling and fusion occurs. When cold fusion occurs the event is initiated by tunneling of a neutral entity, deflated hydrogen, over a much longer distance that the tunneling that produces hot fusion.

The lattice is important to cold fusion because it creates an environment where the electron can have a high frequency of occurrence in the nucleus. Cold fusion in a vacuum or plasma environment is unlikely because the deflated state, the electron in the hydrogen nucleus, exists too briefly for the kinetic approach of a charged nucleus to the deflated nucleus or vice versa. The deflated state is too brief to provide electron catalysis for high energy vacuum collisions except at energies so extreme fusion is otherwise expected. The deflated state might be created with significant frequency in a plasma magnetic pinch with sufficient current density.

Deflated state particles, being neutral, have only magnetic energy, dipole attraction, to make their long range tunneling feasible, thus when they tunnel their most likely targets are the much closer lattice nuclei, which present no Coulomb barrier to them. The catalytic electrons in that case, i.e. the case of lattice element fusion, should tend to end up undergoing a weak reaction, so the event amounts to a neutron addition to the lattice element. Lattice site to lattice site hydrogen tunneling (diffusion) is Coulomb repulsion driven. The sites to which hydrogen atoms are driven to tunnel to are either unoccupied by hydrogen or momentarily occupied by deflated state hydrogen. There is thus typically only one catalytic electron per fusion.

In the deflated state the electron has the kinetic energy to hop back to its chemical energy orbital existence. However, if a deuteron tunnels to the deflated state deuteron, fusing, the charge of the nucleus just doubled. The electron is now energetically trapped in the deflated state. The energy it subtracts from the nucleus depends on the distance of the electron from the nucleus at the time of the collapse, i.e. its size, which is a random variable.

From the electric potential energy Pe for separating an electron from two newly fused deuterons at radius r we have:

   Pe = k (2q)(-q)(1/r) = (-2.88x10-9 eV m) (1/r)

which we can rearrange to obtain r for a given potential energy,

   r = (-2.88x10-9 eV m) (1/Pe)

and we have for -23.9 MeV:

   r = (-2.88x10-9 eV m) (1/(-23.9x106 eV))
   r = 1.2x10-16 m

In other words, the full energy of the fusion can be removed by the presence of an electron of this size. Given the kinetic energy of the deflated state electron the product of the wave function collapse would have to be half that size to momentarily absorb all the energy, but this is not important because the deflated state electron would instantaneously begin to expand and radiate due to vacuum energy, the energy of uncertainty.

Though it is brief, the deflated state repeats rapidly enough (has sufficient observation probability) when in an appropriate lattice environment to make fusion observable. This assumption is based on the experimental evidence that water becomes H1.5O (as opposed to H2O) when observed by sufficiently fast sensing methods, i.e. at attosecond speeds.

The deflated state may not be a true "state" at all in the conventional sense. It is merely easy to conceptualize in that fashion. Quantum waveforms only speak of potentialities for existence with associated probabilities, not necessarily true existence. In the lattice the deflated state is a dual state with the orbital state. It merely has some probability of observing upon wave function collapse. There may even be no observable velocity or duration for change of state. The same might be said for the fusing of the nuclei. Prior to the fusion, the possibility of the fusion may only be a potentiality that manifests with some probability. The wave function collapse itself is clearly theoretically likely to be able to exceed the speed of light, because the quantum wave function of a particle theoretically extends to infinity.

It may take string theory to fully understand cold fusion. However, it is fairly easy to understand how electron catalysis reduces the mean energy available from fusion, and how that affects the branching ratio of cold fusion vs hot fusion. The effect of the catalytic electron is difficult to detect in D-D fusion reactions. However, manifestations of the difference in E(m,s) in cold fusion reactions may be revealed in tritium fusion (e.g. T-D reactions) because high energy neutrons are always produced, high enough energy that their energy spectrum should reveal the presence of a negative m resulting from electron catalyzed fusion.

One of the most useful experimental techniques, not so much for generating energy, but for diagnostic purposes, might be light tritium doping. Consider the SPAWAR article:

http://www.springerlink.com/content/022501181p3h764l/

"The presence of three alpha-particle tracks outgoing from a single point is diagnostic of the 12C(n,n′)3alpha carbon breakup reaction and suggests that DT reactions that produce ≥9.6 MeV neutrons are occurring inside the Pd lattice. To our knowledge, this is the first report of the production of energetic (≥9.6 MeV) neutrons in the Pd–D system."

This is a peer reviewed article by credible researchers. Their data and conclusion should be taken seriously.

There in fact is experimental data corroborating the lattice DT hypothesis feasibility. Here is an article relating to T2O + D2O electrolysis with some rare (8 +-4 counts per second) 10 MeV plus neutrons found: Quote:
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Rusov VD, Zelentsova TN, Semenov MYu, Radin IV, Babikova
YuF Kruglyak YuA;
Pis'ma Zh. Tekh. Fiz. 15(#19) (1989) 9--13 {In Russian}
"Fast neutron recording by dielectric track detectors in a palladium-
deuterated -tritiated water system in an electrolytic cell".
** Experimental, alloy, electrolysis, neutrons, res0
Used a 50:50 mix of D2O and T2O, a "corrugated" alloy
(Pd 72, Ag 25, Au 3) electrode, 10 mA/cm**2 and
"200 V" cell voltage (no electrolyte!). A polymer
track detector (CR-39) (1-5 E-04 track/n sensitivity)
was used to detect the integrated neutron flux from
possible cold fusion of light nuclei. Some rare
high-energy (>10 MeV) neutrons (8+-4/s) were found.
071989|101989
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
End quote.

The above summary was taken from Dieter Britz's site:

http://www.chem.au.dk/~db/fusion/alpha_R

The above experiment provides a solid indication of a nominal amount of D-T fusion even though there is no indication whatsoever that proper lattice conditions for cold fusion were established. If repeatable, that is a landmark achievement because it proves fusion from chemical conditions. Hopefully with what is known today the results can be greatly improved.

The SPAWAR data does indeed suggest high energy neutrons from a DT reaction. The source of the tritium in SPAWAR experiments logically can be expected to be DD fusion, and thus of a low probability because the concentration of tritium (or possibly some form of tritium precursor) is very low. It should be no surprise that tritium can be produced in small quantities via cold fusion reactions.

The conclusion of the Boss et al article implies the need for repeating exactly the same experiment using D2O + T2O (actually just a trace amount of TDO) instead of just D2O. If the flux of high energy neutrons does not increase, then the conclusion is suspect. Otherwise, this will provide some confirmation of the Boss et al conclusion. More importantly, if high energy neutrons can be reliably produced using the more sophisticated, successful, and controlled protocol as used by Boss et al, this could provide a solid starting point for narrowing down the underlying physics. A tritium atom does not differ significantly from a deuterium atom with respect to the Coulomb barrier. Whatever mechanism permits deuterium to defeat the Coulomb barrier should also permit tritium to do so also. The difference may be that the cross section is larger and the signature unmistakable and highly repeatable.

Though the use of tritium can only be done in the US by licensed labs, and practical devices would preferably be deuterium only, tritium doping experiments may provide a necessary step in the progress toward practical devices.

Because the tritium available in the SPAWAR D loaded cathode must be nominal in the extreme, and likely primarily there due to DD fusion, the cross section for lattice based DT fusion has to be enormous, much larger than 100 times the DD cross section (if cross section is even a valid concept for lattice assisted fusion) to support the DT hypothesis. The tritium must be used up very quickly after forming. Perhaps lattice half-life (LHL) would be a better concept than cross section, in loaded lattices, because the term cross section pre- supposes a collision, kinetic interaction, hot fusion. LHL is a term which would have meaning only in the context of a specific degree of lattice loading. I expect when highly confirmed theories of LENR are available such a term could be defined including a formula component descriptive of lattice loading conditions.

If Boss et al are correct in their deductions of the source of high energy neutrons, then a huge breakthrough is at hand. If contradictions are found in the D-T hypothesis, or unexpected energy spectra are identified, it does not necessarily mean that increasing the D-T reaction rate is not useful, and it does not mean huge benefits cannot be obtained by increasing the miniscule T concentration even by a factor of a few orders of magnitude. Tritium doping should be useful for analyzing and improving any CF protocol, especially those capable of producing excess heat.

Lattice assisted DD fusion nearly eliminates the neutron forming branch, but there is no reason to believe that lattice assisted D-T fusion will nearly fully suppress neutron generation. In the case of D-D fusion there are three branch possibilities, two of which create no neutrons. Given that a lattice assisted D-D fusion nucleus is not created by energetic kinetic action, but rather by electron catalysis, it should be no surprise the branch producing the highest energy is highly favored, namely D+D->He4, and the other feasible branches highly suppressed. There is no probable similar alternative branch for the D-T or T-T fusion that creates no neutrons. All the tritium fusion reactions create neutrons. Tritium doping is thus extremely useful for diagnosing whether excess heat is from actual fusion or from some other source.

Tritium doping provides a window into what is happening in the lattice, via the energy spectrum of the resulting high energy neutrons. It certainly is not logical that D-D fusion can occur in a lattice assisted manner and yet D-T or even T-T fusion can not. The Coulomb barrier is the same. Tritium likely provides a large tunneling target because the D-T hot fusion cross section is large. If D-T fusion is indeed in fact occurring in the lattice, as Boss et al hypothesize, it is therefore unreasonable to not expect neutron generation. However, the mechanism of fusion in the lattice is energetically different from hot fusion, and I would expect the neutron energy to differ. In fact I would expect high energy neutrons to exhibit a spectrum of kinetic energies for reasons I have posted here and published regarding the "Deflation Fusion" scenario. Under that or any electron catalysis scenario, I would in fact not expect 14 MeV neutrons from D-T fusion reactions, while a significant number above 6 MeV could be expected, with a fuzzy peak.

Tritium doping should (a) produce highly repeatable and incontrovertible proof of nuclear reactions and (b) provide an effective means of quickly measuring reaction rates while dynamically varying experimental conditions.

If tritium doping is used, then lattice assisted fusion should also result in the p-T reactions: T(p,n)3He and T(p,gamma)4He. The latter reaction might be considered as unlikely as D(D,gamma)4He is conventionally considered to be due to initial kinetic energy requirements and lack of an inertial pair to distribute resulting kinetic energy. However, under the deflation fusion scenario, or some other electron catalyzed fusion scenarios, the nucleus enclosed electron provides a means of releasing radiant energy and momentum in small increments, and high initial energies are not required to trigger the reaction. The T(p,n)3He reaction requires from 1 to 5 MeV kinetic energy to pull off as hot fusion. Given that electron catalyzed fusion reactions result in highly de-energized nuclei, and the resulting radiant energy is largely from the vacuum, it may be that T(p,n)3He is feasible as a cold electron catalyzed reaction. If lattice assisted D-T reactions can occur with much higher observed frequencies than expected for the reactant concentrations, as possibly indicated in SPAWAR results, then p-T reactions may also have a higher frequency than expected for the reactant concentrations. Protium from ambient humidity can be expected to contaminate D2O cells, especially long running open cells. This could account for highly variable neutron production over long run times. In a D2O experiment an initial period is required to build up trace T and another period is required to build up p. The SPAWAR CR-39 could possibly have 3He tracks resulting from T(p,n)3He or D (D,n)3He reactions, as well as neutron reaction induced tracks. All this indicates that tritium doping of even all protium based experiments may not provide adequate controls.

If lattice fusion reactions should produce high energy particles, especially third particle Bose condensate stimulation based reactions (as opposed to low energy electron catalyzed reactions) produce high energy particles, and conditions for producing many small Bose condensates exist, then it is clear that unexpected chain reactions can result. The D(D,n)3He reaction, for example, produces two particles for each reaction. It is thus important to diagnose exactly what conditions in the lattice are producing energetic results in what proportions. It seems feasible that both 3rd particle seeded Bose condensate collapse mechanisms as well as electron catalyzed fusion mechanisms can be at work in differing proportions in differing experiments, or a given experiment at differing times. What has been missing is a means to diagnose these kinds of things. Tritium doping may well lead to such a diagnostic capability. Third particle stimulated Bose condensate reactions are described here:

http://mtaonline.net/~hheffner/BoseHyp.pdf

X-ray stimulation may provide good chances of robust cold fusion effects if the right lattice conditions are created. Deflation fusion is driven by (1) creating the deflated state with high probability, and (2) maximizing tunneling rate in the lattice. X-ray stimulation can be used to increase the latter. X-ray stimulation might be combined with radioisotpe lattice doping. Impurities like B, SI, and C, are known to create interstitial locations wherein "trapped hydrogen can jump between a limited number of sites without diffusing away from the trapping atom." (see Topics in Applied Physics, Volume 73, Hydrogen in Metals II, p. 76.) Also worthy of note is the fact (noted on p. 77), regarding hydrogen motion between double well potentials between two nearest neighbor tetrahedral sites, that tunneling is the dominating transport mechanism, with coherent tunneling occurring at less than 10 K, and incoherent tunneling occurring above a temperature of 10 K. Further, "tunneling dynamics is strongly affected by a nonadiabatic interaction of the hydrogen with the conduction electrons." Given the existence of such trapping sites, it appears beneficial to find a way to stimulate a high tunneling rate, using a method not involving diffusion, but rather conduction band electron stimulation. The best method of doing this may be use of coherent x-rays, probably from a wiggler, as that would be capable of producing a volume effect. Even if effective at producing fusion the problem then might be too high a requirement for energy in. It may be that a resonant ultrasound vibration could be set up to stimulate tunneling without excessive diffusion. Phonons should stimulate significant conduction band - partial orbital state changes for ionically bound electrons. Overall lattice stimulation by x-rays, sound, or high frequency current stimulation, should avoid the helium blocking of diffusion problem, as fusion would be triggered throughout the lattice without the need for other than the initial loading diffusion. This then would provide a volume effect instead of a surface effect. It also would enable loading at a high temperature and cooling a bit to increase orbital stressing without worries about reduced diffusion rates. The problem of course is finding the right mix of all these things.

Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/




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