Jed sez: Incidentally, my wife expressed several belly laughs reading your predictions.
And now, on to my predictions. When will the following events occur after Rossi sells his first E-Cat. * When will it be in the pages of the New York Times? Depends. If first sold overseas... yes probably 4 - 6 months. If, however, units quickly start selling in the United States as well. 1 month. * Major coverage in mass media; i.e. front page news, everyone else copies. 1 week to a 1 month. I think other news agencies will catch on faster that Jed predicts. * First mention in a State of the Union Address. This bar may be low, thanks to Bush's promoting the exploration of Mars. Shoot! This is a really difficult question. Yea, as much as I hate thinking so, yes, probably 2 years plus however long it takes to get to January. * * * * * * And now on to the more speculative predictions... * First attack ad by fake environmentalist front groups sponsored by fossil fuels. 2 years -- I think they will be even slower than Jed predicts. * Large industrial corporation announces it is launching major R&D. 6 months. * Many competing corporations announce similar R&D. [8 months (two months after 6 months). * Nature magazine mentions cold fusion. Similar to Jed's: 6 months to 1 year. The front cover of the magazine will depict a fleet goggled helmeted pigs flying in information. Each pig will have an e-Cat strapped on their backs. Flames will be shooting out of the rear of each e-Cat. BTW, the front cover with the goggled flying pigs was the second choice. The first choice was to have all the pigs suited up in spiderman outfits with e-cats strapped on their back. Unfortunately, copyright infringement nixes that vision. * Nature magazine takes credit for cold fusion; says that without its leadership cold fusion would never have happened. Why wait. They will take credit with the first issue, the one with the flying pigs. * Wikipedia skeptics shut up and go away. [Five minutes after Physical Review gives permission to stand down] Many will never shut up. They know better than to believe the reports. They are banned. * First oil, coal or electric power company files for bankruptcy. [15 years] Not going to happen. Power companies will see the writing on the wall and transform as quickly as they can into service companies that either sell "fusion" generated electricity to customers... or through the selling of e-cat units to both private and commercial customers. Through carefully orchestrated governmental regulation, everyone who chooses to purchase their own e-cat unit "must" also by law sign a safety/service contract with an equivalent service company. (Kind of like the deregulation and the breakup of the telephone monopoly)-Competition will drive service fee contracts down. Everyone will end up paying monthly service fees of around $15 - $25 a month to guarantee that if your e-Cat goes bad a friendly service repair person will pay you a visit within the hour to either fix it or cheerfully replace it. The service contract covers 24 hours out of the day / 365 days out of the year. Actually, it's not that bad of a deal. * DoE is dissolved to save tax money. DoE is transformed into the DoFM (Department of Fusion Management... this despite what Larsen or Krivit might have to say on the matter) * Robert Park admits he was wrong. Same as Jed - Won't happen. With a caveat. Park will suddenly and conveniently transcend into the next realm of existence just prior to having to be forced admit the possibly of being wrong on the subject of CF. Unfortunately for Dr. Park he will quickly discover the fact that the next realm existence is populated with even MORE spectators who end up hounding him with the very same questions he tried to avoid answering here. This incessant "hounding" results in Park making yet another hasty decision. He will chose to reincarnate prematurely before properly reviewing all of his past mistakes. The result: Park and the Great Randi end up being born as identical twins to the great, great grandchildren of Rossi Focardi. In their next life Both Park and Randi grow up where, even though they receive fabulously FREE advanced college educations, they mysteriously choose a life of strict renunciation to all forms of technology - and I might add to the complete dismay of their parents. They both vow never to use any form of ELECTRICITY for the rest of their lives. They subsequently live out the rest of their lives "roughing it" as best as they can on a small primitive Greek island inhabited by scraggly herds of wild goats. (Debt to society paid.) Thus spoke swami Johnson My two cents. ;-) Regards, Steven Vincent Johnson www.OrionWorks.com www.zazzle.com/orionwork
