At 02:28 PM 6/2/2011, Joshua Cude wrote:
>> And I know that if the claims were real, it would not be hard to
show clear evidence that it is real.
> That's correct. But Joshua draws a conclusion from that which is
simply a leap of faith. If it were not hard to show, therefore, it
would be shown. And we know quite well why it might not be shown.
OK. If there is some devious plan of Rossi's to get people to
believe it's not real by using really bad demos, then my argument
that the absence of a demo is evidence of the absence of an effect
fails. But talk about contortions to cling to your belief. Incredible.
This is simple business analysis. This isn't science, normally. This
is what someone who has a secret to protect will do, create
diversions. "Cling to my belief"? What belief?
I've been pointing out that Rossi has very sound reasons to avoid
convincing many at this point. What isn't clear is why he allowed the
demonstrations at all. The story is that it was to please, was it
Focardi? I'm not sure, and I don't care enough to look it up.
Personal reasons, having nothing to do either with science or with
business. Frankly, I hope that Rossi has taken steps to make sure
that if he disappears, the secret ingredient is not lost. Because
there are quite possibly people who wouldn't like the economic
disruption that his device will introduce, and sometimes these people
have no scruples at all.
But still, without evidence (yes, I mean evidence that convinces
me), I still won't be convinced. Devious possible schemes notwithstanding.
Nobody, least of all me, expects Joshua to be convinced. I'm not
convinced by Rossi, but am moved toward support of the reality of
this by the reputations of those who say that they can't discount it.
> There is, by the way, evidence that this is a nuclear effect.
Joshua, here, weasels his way to make his statement true: "clear
evidence." Actually, it's relatively clear, but it's also rather
easily impeachable.
Relatively clear *and* easily impeachable?
Yes. That is, on the face it's clear, but other explanations can be
raised that would require further investigation. And I just don't get
that Rossi is going to allow this. It damages his goals.
See, if the secret gets out before he's secured patent protection, he
could lose a boatload of money, comparatively. More than a boatload.