I wrote:

> Soon there will be no such thing as AC, and no power company.


I meant there will be no external power sources outside the building (no
power company or distribution network), and I also meant that all power
will be DC, not AC, to reduce the danger of electrocution.

When I say "soon" I mean in 30 years most places, 50 years everywhere. Not
overnight.

Some things will happen overnight after the general public and the mass
media become aware of the existence of cold fusion. For example, the cost
of gasoline and coal will probably fall. The stock value of electric power
companies will soon decline. Revenues may actually increase for a while as
they use up their equipment without having to build more. They have a glut
of capacity, and no overhead cost of building new generating plants. Oil
companies will also stop building refineries and oil tankers, so they may
have a brief period of high profits.

In the 1980s I saw some mainframe computers sitting around still in use.
They had been paid for long ago. They were used until the maintenance costs
became unreasonable. There was no good reason to replace them with personal
computers, because personal computer software was still pretty lousy. In
the 1970s mainframe computers were replaced with minicomputers, that were
functionally equivalent, running COBOL. By the 1980s most of the
minicomputer companies were on the rocks and headed for extinction. Power
companies will resemble those mainframe computers. They will be cost
effective only because they are already in place and all paid for. There
will be no point to making new equipment for them or building a new power
company from scratch.

Most sunk costs for conventional generators and gasoline transportation
will soon be sunk forever, to the bottom of the fiscal sea.

All sunk costs for weapons system will be sunk, because every weapon bigger
than a handgun will be made obsolete by cold fusion. Using non-cold fusion
weapons will be like fighting modern weapons with U.S. Civil War era
equipment.

- Jed

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