hello guys,
--first
post here--
 
after
watching the scene for a couple of months now -with increasing intensity-
I would
dare to say that Rossi is a tragic figure.
His
personal idiosyncrasies just don't match the size of the problem.
 
Just three
examples:
a) Spending
500k€ for an evaluation at U Bologna. 
A black
box-test would cost less than a 10th.
 
b) having
an unreasonable cost/timescale: 1mio units this year in a fully automated
factory. 
 
( Compare
this eg to Nanosolar.
They had
hundreds of million $ and missed their time-target >3years up to now.

This is a
sort of lie: --time-cost-performance-  which presumably keeps Rossi alive. He 
needs it. 
Newton or Galileo
–ahem- did not have such pressure. 
Time was
flowing slower then.
Now we are
in a time of instant gratification.)
 
c)
seemingly constantly changing his design. See his recent cost-estimates for
10kW units. Ridiculous.
Improvements
should be split into product-generations. Messing these up with small 
resources-he definitely has-,
is a recipe for disaster.
Look at the  tables for his setups. The cheapest of the cheap.Not that is 
decisive, but simultaneously telling something about fully automated factories 
this year, generates cognitive dissonance.


This
probably can be explained by intense financial pressure. This can bring down
even a strong man, and make him do/say strange things, especially if his
central resource is creativity-intuition-rationality under time-constraint.
Add to this
commercial success.
A nearly
impossible task.
 
So Rossi is
most probably a tragic figure like Pons/Fleischmann at their time. They 
definitely
had it better.
I do not
consider Rossi a fraud.
He is tragic.

In some
aspects Rossi is presumably a genius with a superb intuition, which has been
operationalized by Defkalion, as it seems.
 
So the hope for an imminent (2012) breakthrough definitely shifted to
Defkalion.
 
My contributions here will be mainly focused on the global/societal
consequences, if one takes e-cats as a given within a couple of years.
As Jed already started with his book.
 
Best regards.
 
Guenter

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