Huzza! Well written. I think that they-and you-are on the right track
On Sun, Aug 17, 2014 at 7:43 PM, Orionworks - Steven Vincent Johnson < [email protected]> wrote: > <Sunday's Sermon> > > > > It ought to be clear to most Vorts that I have had a tendency to post > optimistic perceptions of BLP's chances of eventually pulling the SunCell > rabbit out of the hat. Clearly, my optimism is not based on my profound > knowledge of the scientific evidence, nor the many exotic theories that > have been debated here. When it comes my personal assessments of BLP's > chances, it's based on a very different form of human perception: ... It's > based on a feeling I get. > > > > Needless to say, I would not recommend investing a couple of million > dollars on "...a feeling I get", not without some physical evidence to back > it up. But then, I don't have a million dollars to invest, so I guess I've > got myself covered in that sector. ;-) > > > > I have viewed the June and July demo videos several times. I had the time > since I was on vacation for a good portion of July. This allowed me ample > time to view and review the demos. It gave me time to listen to what the > audience had to say and how Randy responded to their queries. > > > > *For better or worse, the "...feeling I get" is based on the following > personal observations:* > > > > · The demos I witnessed were exceedingly primitive in nature. > They all seemed to have been hastily assembled out of a combination of > loose equipment laying around the lab, as well as components ordered from > various industrial catalogues. All of these individual components struck me > as having been slapped together with bailing wire and duct tape. The fact > that the demos did not come off as slick circus performances is akin to the > exact same development methodology I, myself, have followed countless times > when designing new software applications. As a software designer, I've > learned that it is prudent to test-prove the most primitive components > independently of other variables. Do this before attempting to assemble all > the individual components together in the hope that the final product will > work. > > · None of the demos demonstrated as of June and July were > capable of proving OverUnity. Not even close! That did not concern me. What > I saw instead was BLP making sure that various individual engineering > components on the most primitive level worked as they had hoped they would. > If another one of the most primitive components works, great. Time to put > together another pubic demo, even if it is nothing more than a small > increment step. It helps keep your investors informed of the progress being > made. Most investors will appreciate being kept in the loop. > > · After the demos a number of hard questions were asked of "the > doctor". I noticed some observers (I assume: investors) repeatedly voiced a > number of technical concerns about how the engineering staff would be able > to construct SunCell prototype that would not eventually fail or fall > apart, particularly under the extreme conditions of generating 2000 SunCell > explosions per second endlessly. A 2000/second operating cycle seemed hard > for many to swallow as being a realistic engineering goal. Randy's response > was that the engineering firms he had contracted with have told them that > designing the operational tolerances of a jet engine would be a far more > difficult task to undertake. In the end I did not get a sense that these > investors remained overly concerned. Granted perhaps most continued to take > a wait and see approach - but not overly concerned nor alarmed. > > · I recall that Randy initially spent a large amount of time > discussing his hydrino theory as if to help justify why the demonstrations > ought to work. I think I would agree with Jed Rothwell in the sense that > having done so may not have really contributed all that much to anyone's > practical understanding. It's pretty clear to me that when Randy starts > talking about CQM he goes into his own unique altered state of > consciousness. You can see him rattle off facts, figures, and equations > pertaining to the Hydrino theory as if he had regurgitated all the > theoretical components a million times before... and I'm sure he has. I > would suspect the vast majority of investors didn't follow much of Randy's > highly complex train of thought. But no matter. Most did not come to assess > the validity of CQM or CP. They came to assess the validity of the SunCell > demonstrations. I think most came away feeling that BLP remains on the > right development track towards eventual commercial success. > > · Last of all, I am astonished by the claim that the engineering > needed to assemble a SunCell prototype appears to be an *interpolation* > of well-understood technological and engineering principals. This includes > the predicted electrical design that will be needed to exploit PV cells > optimally. Apparently no major *extrapolations* of exotic new theoretical > forms unproven technology that have never gotten past the drawing board are > necessary. If this turns out to be true I would consider it to be an > exceedingly rare gift from Mother Nature, a gift that conveniently fell > into BLP's lap. BLP knows this. > > > > *Personal speculations:* > > > > · If I were to speculate, I still think it's possible that BLP > may eventually assemble a more advanced prototype capable of demonstrating > OU in their own BLP facilities... perhaps by the end of this year. However, > I'm not holding them to such a deadline. It would probably be assembled > independently from the other prototype currently being built on contract at > another engineering firm. I think it logical to assume that some technical > feedback would occur between BLP labs and the contracted engineering firm. > If BLP's own labs are successful in assembling their own prototype, I would > imagine the contraption will NOT have been designed with mass production > concerns in mind. It will both look and behave primitively. The BLP > demonstration would focus primarily on proving to their audience that they > have successfully shown that OU really occurs. Perhaps such a demo would > not last very long. Perhaps a few of the engineers will be keeping their > fingers crossed behind their backs. The device will probably resemble the > face of a "butt-ugly" bulldog, the aesthetics that only a BLP engineer > could love. > > · I remain skeptical of the deadline BLP has currently imposed > on itself for receiving the first SunCell prototype around December. Of > course, they did give themselves some wiggle room. Current delivery date > may be subject to change. While I understand making deadlines is crucial in > the making of business plans - fortunately for me, I'm not subjected to the > same constraints. I'll be happy if they can get'er'done in 18 - 24 months - > assuming the engineers don't have to incorporate an unanticipated > extrapolation of several crucial (and unproven) engineering technologies. > > > > > > *Conclusion:* > > > > It matters little to me that BLP has accumulated a long history of prior > predictions that failed to pan out. I'm well aware of them, but I don't > care. All I care about is whether SunCell technology will eventually work - > or not. Quite honestly, I don't know the answer to that mystery, and I > suspect neither does anyone within the Vort Collective know either if they > are going to be honest with themselves. The way I see it: It will either > work... or it won't. And that's what I have to live with. > > > > I realize some might dispute my rationale for continuing to give BLP some > slack here. Some might conclude that I'm behaving in an exceedingly naive > way as well. Nevertheless, I see no reason to judge the provenance of BLP's > still-developing SunCell technology based on the company's long string of > prior failures. If I were to have applied the same rationale, the same > judgment to the score card of own life-goals, my own hopes, and > achievements, I probably would have found a way to have taken myself out of > the gene pool back in my mid-twenties. Actually, I did follow such a > rationale for a while. The results were not impressive. In the end it was > fortunate that apparently I was too stupid... or perhaps too naive to have > realized what a ridiculous I fool I had been to continue to muck along, > failure after failure. > > > > For now, I continue reading posts, especially the skeptical ones derived > from the mysterious Mind of the Vort Collective. It's important that I do. > Why? Because I could still be proven wrong about the "feeling" I currently > harbor. To be proven wrong about "... a feeling" I might harbor, while > potentially deflating to the ego, is no reason to taken as a failure of > one's soul. > > > > </Sunday's Sermon> > > > > > > Regards, > > Steven Vincent Johnson > > svjart.orionworks.com > > zazzle.com/orionworks >
