On 22 Sep 98, Barry Lee Brisco wrote:

> Okay, let me get this straight. Infoseek and Disney announce yet another
> "portal" (God help us!) which is not available yet. Relevant Knowledge
> clairvoyantly states that it *will* receive more visits than any other
> site excpt Yahoo and AOL.
> 
> Now you tell me, how dey do dat?

Chicken entrails and tea leaves enter into the equation, no 
doubt.  

No-one can reliably predict the success or failure of a new 
Web venture, no matter how much money is poured into it or how 
how savvy the underwriters may be.  Time-Warner's 
pathfinder.com is a good example -- it lost huge amounts of 
cash (and face) before settling into a middling measure of 
stability; yet at the time of its launch it was supposed to be 
the Next Big Thing on the Web, no doubts whatever.

Ditto, to lesser degrees, MSN and also Microsoft's lame and 
unlucrative Slate magazine; I suppose we should add paid 
subscriptions to the NY Times to the list also.

-----------
Brent Eades, Almonte, Ontario
   E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
           [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   Town of Almonte site: http://www.almonte.com/
   Business site: http://www.federalweb.com

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