Gill, Kathy wrote:
>
> > From: Brett Lorenzen[SMTP:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
> >
> > And speaking of canadians . . . I attended a 4 hour White House workshop
> > on Y2K preparations yesterday. I'm not exactly feeling better about the
> > problem today *chuckle* The one funny point that was made, though, was
> > by a guy who said he was "at least making fall-back preparations to move
> > to Canada . . . the Canadians, if all hell breaks loose, *at least* have
> > a legislative plan to declare martial law." Even chaos is neatly and
> > politely coordinated in Canada <G>
> >
> Ummm.. .. wanna share details or point to a URL, Brett?
>
> H2O order suggests you're going to be at the farm?
No URL. The White House Y2K guy (John Kosiken) passed this tidbit along
to us. Most of the discussion was directed at how Foundations could
protect their investment portfolios, and asking for our help in getting
the American people to take an interest, trot down to city hall, and
demand some accountability that exceeds a soundbite. Interesting
discussions of how it might impact overseas grant programs, though . . .
from water plants that aren't ready (and hence will negate quality of
health programs) to the obvious "get a updated reporting out of your
grantees by Dec 1 1999." :)
Did have an interesting presentation by Edward Yardeni of Deutche Bank
Securities. Everything he handed out at the meeting is at
http://www.yardeni.com/y2kbook.html . I do think his analysis is a lot
better than most I have seen.
Me? I hadn't planned on going to the farm. But, I'm not overly
encouraged by what I heard. At least the US government recognized that
the single biggest problem will be media reaction--they'll soundbite the
problem to death, give 8x the coverage to the nuts in bunkers next
august than the actual potential problems, and the first street light
that goes out will cause riots in urban areas (justified or otherwise).
That they have plans for. Power looks good. water is definitely ugly.
Something like 40% of all US water plants are owned by cities. Full of
embedded systems. Open the paper and see what your mayor last said
about the city's Y2K plan . . . <G>
Insurance industry will really govern business problems . . . people
that aren't covered simply won't be in business for a few days, so those
problems are naturally minimalized.
If you bought a generator, sell it *chuckle* I got the impression the
shipping industry has big problems--especially with flag of convenience
ships. Seems like a really good chance there will be temporary gas
shortages even under the best of scenarios, simply because oil it won't
be coming in from overseas with regularity.
Seattle apparently has the only US airport that is likely to be 100%
certified in time . . . Y2K "no fly zones" seem to be a given in the
formula.
Anyway, Yardeni does a good job of surveying it all and, as he put it,
'I *really did* have a happy childhood . . .'. Seemed to feel his less
than cheerful report errored on the optimistic side. His site has a ton
of good resources in it.
B
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