What do you want to call this data point? Maybe I can help you choose between news.wikia.com and future.wikia.com. If you write it, then what will you link it from? whatlinkshere is pretty important for traffic.
----- Original Message ----- From: "Fred Bauder" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "English Wikipedia" <[email protected]> Sent: Wednesday, November 12, 2008 8:01 AM Subject: Re: [WikiEN-l] A definite version of WP:CRYSTAL So how should we treat this from the Fianancial Times: Merrill chief sees severe global slowdown By Greg Farrell in New York Published: November 11 2008 14:42 | Last updated: November 11 2008 20:06 The global economy is entering a slowdown of epic propĀortions comparable with the period after the 1929 crash, John Thain, chairman and chief executive of Merrill Lynch, warned on Tuesday. http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/834ebf5e-aff9-11dd-a795-0000779fd18c.html What is true is not necessarily the underlying projection but the fact that presumably expert people are saying these things. Fred > I have been editing regarding the global economic crisis. The outstanding > projection is that (unless something is effective is done) the current > crisis will result in a crisis similar to the Great Depression. That this > warning has been repeatedly made is not subject to dispute, but the > question arises as to the validity of the underlying projection. A more > minor matter is the more or less reliable projection that the rate of > unemployment will rise to 8% (or so) during 2009 in the United States. > There are a number of sources for this. We report generally accepted > economic projections. That is part of what economists do. To a certain > extent the validity for our purposes of publishing depends on appropriate > attribution. > > Projections of global warming present the same problem. > > The specific problem for Wikipedia is not publishing of generally > accepted projections but of original research which often has little or > no rational basis. > > Fred > >> == Wikipedia is not a crystal ball. == >> >> <nowiki>{{speculation}} and {{prophecy}}</nowiki> are not welcome on >> wikipedia. No articles about anticipated events are verifiable, because >> anticipated events are not reliable. They are not reliable, because >> they >> are >> not testable. Exceptional claims require exceptional references. >> [[:category:Reliable Modern Prophets and Agencies of Prediction]] is >> very >> small. Forward-looking documents and statements should be restricted to >> events that are almost certain to happen in the obvious sense, >> considering >> how many times it has happened in the past and the resources devoted to >> making it happen again. >> >> [http://future.wikia.com/ Wiki-future], [[WP:IRC]], [[WP:TALK]], >> [[WP:E-MAIL]] and [[USENET]] are fine venues for writing about the >> future, >> and it does not belong here until it is a fact, so look out for >> sentences >> that contain words like "would", "could", "may", and "might", because >> they >> should tell you what makes them likely, almost now. >> >> $continue with exceptions...no, because as WP:CRYSTAL is now, there hav >> already been a lot of exceptions and that's probably why I ended up >> with >> so >> much static when I tried to take the [[weasel words]] out of it. I'm >> sure >> there are people who took and take this policy by the name of the >> section >> heading, like I did. I don't know a more sensible and pivotal rule than >> this >> to divide wikipedia from the rest of the media. >> >> >> _______________________________________________ >> WikiEN-l mailing list >> [email protected] >> To unsubscribe from this mailing list, visit: >> https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikien-l >> > > > > _______________________________________________ > WikiEN-l mailing list > [email protected] > To unsubscribe from this mailing list, visit: > https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikien-l > _______________________________________________ WikiEN-l mailing list [email protected] To unsubscribe from this mailing list, visit: https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikien-l _______________________________________________ WikiEN-l mailing list [email protected] To unsubscribe from this mailing list, visit: https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikien-l
