On 14/01/14 16:08, Marc A. Pelletier wrote: > On 01/13/2014 11:56 PM, Tim Starling wrote: >> Reversing the decline in editor population has been a major strategic >> priority of WMF for many years. > > My own opinion about how that decline isn't nearly as bad as some claim > is well known. But also entirely besides the point: I was referring to > that specific statement of yours: > > "A linear regression on the > edit rate from that time predicts death of the project at around 2030." > > I kept expecting you to add "Netcraft confirms it" at some point. :-)
Well, obviously I extrapolated a model to the point of absurdity, but I think it's better to derive a model from data than to make predictions based on unsubstantiated hope. In my post at 05:19 UTC, I assumed a stable edit rate, which I thought was an optimistic upper bound. But Matt thought that it was actually pessimistic? So I gave an example of a model that I consider to be pessimistic, for comparison. I don't think either model is realistic, I think the most likely reality lies somewhere in between. -- Tim Starling _______________________________________________ Wikimedia-l mailing list [email protected] Unsubscribe: https://lists.wikimedia.org/mailman/listinfo/wikimedia-l, <mailto:[email protected]?subject=unsubscribe>
