One thing that you must understand, this is a completely different type of
business model

The Winstar/FiberTower/etc model is wall street play; keep in mind, while
the business may fail miserably, it's worth noting that the original
founders / VCs generally end up doing quite well

Case in point, a buddy of mine just got funding...before, he had a nicely
cash-flowing WISP (~$100k MRC) -- and he still had room to grow on his
network -- however, under the realization that it wasn't of any scale to
sell for big money, he has recently sold out to a VC firm for $3 million.
Now that he's got the $$$$ in his checking account, he has to spend it
building new towers / expanding just for "show" -- even though he could
easily triple his revenue on existing towers / infrastructure alone.
However, his goal is to sell on "hype" to a big carrier / telco / etc in the
near future

-Charles

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-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Dustin Jurman
Sent: Tuesday, December 05, 2006 7:27 PM
To: 'WISPA General List'
Subject: RE: [WISPA] Industry failings
Importance: High


Well I guess we all learned something different from Winstar.  I can think
of a bunch of other things, I surely have never thought that a 10 year ROI
was a valuable lesson to be learned from them when they clearly made more
grave mistakes.

As far as American Tower is concerned, Fantastic! To have a tower company in
your back pocket, we'd all kill for that one. Funny thing is I haven't seen
them on very many American sites, but I have seen them on everyone else's.


Doesn't matter where I am at, I'm always looking up and counting equipment
hanging in the air. I've seen a lot of good and a lot of bad.  I also make
it a point to speak with everyone going in and out of tower sites and the
local groups that support them.  Like I said, I run into these guys quite a
bit at a lot of different sites.

Time will tell how they monetize the network. 

I'm just pointing out that a lot of folks in this industry have a very
different viewpoint on fibertower, and they can do a lot of good for
legitimizing the industry which I believe was the original intent.  


Dustin  



-----Original Message-----
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Matt Liotta
Sent: Tuesday, December 05, 2006 1:55 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] Industry failings

Dustin Jurman wrote:
> Being an ISP you understand build out costs, some put a lot more into 
> a
site
> than others. We'd probably do things a little differently, maybe not. 
> Here is what I do know.
>
>   
WinStar's plan assumed a 10 year ROI on a site. In hindsight that seems 
rather foolish now, but back then they convinced people it made sense.
> 2. They seem to have very good dealings with all of the tower 
> companies which gets them bulk pricing, reduced costs, etc..
>   
American Tower is a major shareholder, so this should be expected.
> 6. Look how many sites they have built in a year.  It's sick...
>   
Look how few they have monetized. It's sick...
> 7. We all know that once you build a site it takes some time to 
> monetize them, they seem a little behind but maybe not.
>   
Very behind!
> 8. Wall street will keep feeding them as long as they are executing, 
> and they are doing a good job of that.
>   
Who says they are executing? Good installs, good equipment, lots of 
sites built, and happy customers are all important things, but none of 
them mean they are executing well. They actually need to execute against 
their business plan, which includes things like cash flow and 
profitability. Both currently stink.

-Matt

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