Hi.
very important message indeed..

But what did you mean by this

For example, you probably can see easily that economic ties between
Australia and China are harder and harder ( do you mean stronger and stronger? 
S1000+ PS: harder in here means difficult to achieve) , gradually that trend 
will be
stronger although conflicts might appear to delay those trends.


=======
  S1000+ 
  =======



--- On Wed, 3/25/09, Xi Ling <[email protected]> wrote:

From: Xi Ling <[email protected]>
Subject: For Sumerian (and anyone interested) on Malaysia, Australia and the  
global economy. Message 2/3
To: [email protected]
Date: Wednesday, March 25, 2009, 10:35 AM

In this second message of the second thread, I will try to show the different 
region and economic blocs using some homemade pictures. They are accurate as 
far as drawing ellipses allowed me that is not too much. In addition, they do 
not show “islands” inside blocs and regions that probably will have different 
features that their surrounding areas. I mean that, for example, inside a 
region that has a main activity commodity production might dwell a fast growing 
area and vice versa. Red and gray do not mean wealthy and poor; they mean fast 
growth and lower growth or decline. This trend will last one or two centuries, 
therefore red areas will become wealthier than gray areas in the long term. 
However, I choose that picture because individual opportunities happen easier 
where growth is faster, not necessarily, where wealth is already present.


The reason because we can trust on this picture works lies on economic 
demography, and more in particular on works from prof. Paul Krugman, recent 
Nobel laureate in economics, for his definition on “hubs” or “monopolistic 
areas”. According to that works proximity and shorter distance create better 
conditions for related activities.


Therefore, we should expect that the area where 70% of the global population 
dwells, and will dwell, will become the most advanced area in social end 
economic terms. Both for production and consumption. That area is East, 
Southeast and South Asia.


Traditional developed areas will grow slower or even decline gradually along 
next few decades and centuries.

This is happening already. In addition, those economic blocs are more and more 
a fact. I think that does not require more words. For example, you probably can 
see easily that economic ties between Australia and China are harder and 
harder, gradually that trend will be stronger although conflicts might appear 
to delay those trends.


Peace and best wishes.
Xi







      
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