My comment: This thread is very ambitious, maybe too much. But I think Copenhagen summit requires lot of explanations that public is not receiving in some countries.
I have to start with three assertions that I will not try to prove here and now because this message would be too long: 1) Every crisis is created by one (or more) imbalance. This long term crisis (not just the short one) is about imbalances between developed and developing economies. This long term crisis will not be fixed until average costs (and therefore standard of life) in Los Angeles, in New York, in London, in Delhi, in Beijing, in Tokyo, etc. are similar. If developed economies used cooperation in the past it could have been fixed through higher growth in developing economies thn in developed ones. As developed economies decided to use confrontation that inbalance is being fixed by cutting standard of life in developed economies and rising in developing ones. 2) This planet places restrictions on how growth can be. It is not an option it is just a fact. Example the amount of farmerland is limited as any other commodity, as demand of food grows faster (due to developing countries) than production food price rises, that is a constraint for all economies. Currently developed economies demand more food than developing ones, a bid share just for waste. Efficiency is lower in developed economies than in developing ones. Developed economies are paying for itand will pay more and more till they cut their waste. Same happens with energy, with metals, with wood, and with any other commodity. That waste (and inefficiency) makes costs of production in developed economies higher than in developing ones. 3) CO2 waste is another example. The average American pollutes several times above what the average Chinese pollutes. Same happens in comparisons between any developed economy and any developing economy. Pollution is a result of waste. Its economic consequence is that productivity in real terms (physical units of consumption to produce one unit of a certain good or service) is much lower in USA than in China, or in any developed economy versus any developing economy. All those inefficiencies and restrictions make unavoidable deep economic crisis in developed economies until they become as efficient as developing economies and balances will be restored. The first step to fix a problem is to see its cause. Kyoto accepted it, it is time for all countries and politicians to accept it, in particular in developed economies. If not, they are who pay in first term. To watch Copenhagen as a matter of confrontation and "dominance" is ridiculous and pathetic. I think it is time for those politicians in developed economies to accept that the time of dominations is over and that their countries are the first and bigger victims of those misconceptions. Developing and emerging countries are not trying to dominate others, they are trying to show what seems evident for anyone without prejudices. Developed economies are developed because they created physical infraestructures (roads, buildings, etc. and intangible infraestructures (knowledge, education, etc.). That important effort created pollution (in fact 80% of currently accumulated pollution) while they did not pay any price for it. If developed economies do not pay now a share of that price then developing economies cannot invest to improve their development models toward greener ones, their option will be to repeat the same mistakes that developed countries did. Finally standards of life will be balanced, but at the standard of pollution that developed economies marked, not at the standard of pollution that humankind is able to create now with more efficient models. I repeat that, in any case, the first and bigger victim of failure are going to be developed economies (as they are being nowadays). Peace and best wishes. Xi -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "World-thread" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/world-thread?hl=en.
