Moon of Alabama.png

 

 

Russia's Lavrov:

 

U.S. not seriously fighting the Islamic State

 

 

Throughout the last week the Russian airforce updated its target list in
Syria. Plans were prepared, units designated, ammunition was loaded.

 

Today President Putin announced that the
<http://www.moonofalabama.org/2015/10/islamic-state-plane-attack-claim-could
-be-helpful.html> destruction of a Russian airliner with 224 people on board
over the Sinai peninsula had indeed been an Islamic State terror attack.
Traces of explosives were found on parts of the debris.

 

The Russian mission in Syria is no longer just to help the Syrian government
but is now a matter of Russian national self-defense. There will be no
backing out and no time limit.

At the same time as Putin spoke Russian ships in the Caspian see, submarines
in the Mediterranean and long range strategic strike bombers flying from
Russia launched 34 cruise missiles against Islamic State targets in Syria.

 

The Russian defense ministry announced that it would double its strikes in
Syria using 5 TU-160, 6 TU-95MS, 14 TU-22m3. 8 SU-34 and 4 SU-27sm in
addition to the 34 airplanes already in Syria. The new assets are long-range
and will mostly fly directly from Russia. They will attack the static
targets which the Russian and Syrian intelligence will designate. The planes
in Syria will now take a more tactical role in direct combat air support for
the Syrian army and the allied forces on the ground. The strike capacity
will immediately double and it is planned to further increase it.

 

The French, now bombing IS in retaliation for the attack in Paris, are also
adding to their strike capacity by moving their airplane carrier towards the
Syrian coast. President Putin personally ordered the Russian ships in the
Mediterranean to recognize the French forces as allies. This may be an
opening to France and an offer to Hollande to leave his anti-Syrian stance
and to stop
<http://www.moonofalabama.org/2015/11/terror-attacks-in-france-some-related-
links.html> his support for anti-Syrian insurgents.

 

After Putin
<http://www.moonofalabama.org/2015/11/putin-names-and-shames-obama-into-bomb
ing-is-oil-smugglers.html> shamed Obama into bombing Islamic State oil truck
assemblies his Foreign Minister Lavrov went a step further. He directly
<http://tass.ru/en/politics/837181> accused the U.S. of not being serious
about fighting the Islamic State:

 

"The problem around the U.S.-led coalition is that despite the fact that
they declared its goal in fighting exclusively the Islamic State and other
terrorists and pledged not to take any action against the Syrian army (...),
analysis of the strikes delivered by the United States and its coalition at
terrorist positions over the past year drives us to a conclusion that these
were selective, I would say sparing, strikes and in the majority of cases
spared those Islamic State groups that were capable of pressing the Syrian
army," he said.

 

"It looks like a cat that wants to eat a fish but doesn't want to wet its
feet. They want the Islamic State to weaken Assad as soon as possible to
force him to step down this or that way but they don't want to see Islamic
State strong enough to take power."

 

That the U.S. was not seriously fighting the Islamic State was obvious to
any observer but it is now a public position stated by Russia and the U.S.
will have to react to it.

 

Maybe Lavrov hopes he can goad the U.S. into getting more serious about the
Islamic State. With the background of the attacks in Paris and against the
Russian plane (more are likely to come) the chances for that are not too
bad.

 

The "isolated" Russia that was never actually isolated is not isolated
anymore. The U.S. rhetorical position is now defensive as Russia is taking
the lead in the fight against IS. But it still wants to look like it is
<http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/17/us-mideast-crisis-usa-turkey-idUS
KCN0T61KO20151117> doing something:

 

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said on Tuesday his country is starting
an operation with Turkey to finish securing the northern Syrian border.

 

"The entire border of northern Syria - 75 percent of it has now been shut
off. And we are entering an operation with the Turks to shut off the other
remaining 98 kilometers," he said in an interview with CNN.

 

That is not much of a change at all. Crossing the border and smuggling will
in future require either a Turkish secret service or CIA permit. A real
change in the U.S. position will only come when its stops the support for
the various forces fighting against the Syrian government. But that may
require an even bigger shock than the attack in Paris or the downing of a
Russian plane.

 

 

From:  <http://www.moonofalabama.org/> http://www.moonofalabama.org/

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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