A new French exception? Having more babies

William Pfaff | Tribune Media Services | January 29, 2007

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/29/opinion/edpfaff.php


Thirty years ago, the government of Valéry Giscard d'Estaing was 
urging the French to have "un troisième enfant pour la France!" But 
it is only now that they have taken the advice.

The national statistics agency says that in 2006 France had the 
highest birthrate in Europe. The average number of births by women 
of fertile age was slightly more than two.

Thus France becomes one of the two European Union states with a 
positive birthrate; Ireland is the other. The contrast with their 
neighbors is very marked. Germany, Italy and Spain all have 
birthrates under 1.4. The rates in the new EU members, Slovakia, 
Slovenia, Lithuania, the Czech Republic and even Roman Catholic 
Poland, are below 1.3.

French life expectancy in 2005 was also the highest in Europe, at 84 
for women and 77 for men, and it increased last year by three and a 
half months for women and nearly five months for men. Debate over 
the EU's future has consistently questioned its ability to finance 
social services at their present level. Immigration policy has in 
recent years assumed population decline. Decline has been the trend 
since the postwar baby boom.

The approach of retirement age for the postwar generation, means a 
declining number of people in the active workforce to make the 
retirement and health insurance contributions necessary to support 
the retired. Thus Europeans have been told that high rates of 
immigration are essential to support the European welfare state.

There is irony in this, since the demagogic anti-immigration 
argument has been that immigrants come to Western Europe to take 
advantage of its generous social benefits. They actually are needed 
in the active labor force to keep welfare systems afloat.

If the new French population trend should presage rising birthrates 
elsewhere, much angst might lift. However, this may be 
another "French exception." The increase in French births seems not 
to be disproportionately due to immigrant births, the conventional 
inference, but that the native-born are having more babies.

This can't be proven by statistics since, in the name of 
French "égalité," French statistics do not take account of race or 
national origin. But children are thick on the streets of the most 
prosperous quarters of Paris. The city's fashionable Luxembourg and 
Monceau gardens on Sundays are full of young families with double 
strollers and toddlers dashing about. My children's school friends 
are having three and four children — or more.

It is not just young mothers who are concerned. The average birth 
age now is 30. Frenchwomen are more likely to work than elsewhere in 
Europe, but even those with advanced degrees, graduates of the so-
called Grandes Écoles, who go into privileged jobs, are having large 
families. Ségolène Royal, the Socialist presidential candidate, with 
four children, is exceptional only in that she and her "companion" 
never married.

And she is not that much of an exception. The number of marriages 
fell from 416,500 in 1972 to 268,100 last year, but the number of 
civil partnerships — a legal alliance meant originally for 
homosexual couples, which has proven extremely popular among 
heterosexuals living in concubinage — has gone from some 6,000 to 
over 60,000 in six years.

Birth records no longer note legitimacy of birth. A report of the 
National Assembly, chaired by the spokeswoman of the conservative 
UMP party, said that the choice between marriage and civil union 
seems to have no great impact on family life: which is to say that 
while the number of divorces is up, the civil union is not 
noticeably more unstable than marriage.

A factor in the increasing number of children is undoubtedly 
France's generous social legislation, giving long maternity leaves, 
with assured return to work with posts and seniority intact. 
Governments with negative birthrates have investigated the French 
system, and Germany has just introduced new allowances for 
parents. "New Labour" introduced such measures in 2001 and Britain 
had its highest birthrate in 13 years last year.

Another possible birth incentive in France, which may not be copied 
elsewhere, is its 35-hour workweek. It has been suggested that the 
French have so much leisure now that they have found nothing more 
interesting to do with it than have babies, combining fun with 
demographic patriotism.



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