>From http://defence-data.com/current/page4009.htm


Russia starts building India's three Krivak class destroyers

March 22nd, 1999

by Gordon Feller, Defence Systems Daily's correspondent in Moscow

After being delayed several months while furiously looking for financing,
on Wednesday St. Petersburg's Baltiisky Zavod shipyard finally laid the
keel on the first of a $1 billion trio of state-of-the-art warships ordered
by the Indian navy.

Vladimir Yukhnin, the chief naval architect at the Severnoye PKB, which
designed the frigates, calls them the "warships of the next century" and
said that no foreign navy has anything comparable.

The 4,000-ton frigates are equipped with advanced-guidance missiles to
neutralise surface, subsurface and aerial targets. Reports have said that
the ships are also equipped with "stealth" technology that enables them to
avoid detection by enemy radar, and Yukhnin said the ships also have a
bombing complex called RBU-6000 and facilities to harbour helicopters - all
of which makes them extremely competitive on the international market.

India ordered the three Krivak class warships from Russia's state arms
dealer, Rosvooruzheniye, in 1997 to "partially arrest its declining force
levels and to improve combat capabilities," according to Indian news
reports at the time.

On Wednesday shipyard director Oleg Shulyakovsky said Baltiisky Zavod will
deliver two of the frigates by 2002 and the third by 2003. The first
frigate has to be completed in April of 2002 - two years later than
originally planned - with the second coming six months later and the third
six months after that.

"The keel for the second warship will be laid by the end of the year,"
Shulyakovsky said.

The project and the shipyard's controversial director have received
considerable attention in the Russian media. Last month, when Shulyakovsky
appealed to the Kremlin for funds for the project, the media accused him of
embezzling India's down payment, which, according to Shulyakovsky himself,
was more than $100 million - but he denied the charges.

Construction, which was supposed to begin last year, was put on hold after
the shipyard - one of the largest in Russia - saw its credit line disappear
with the crisis. The original investor, Uneximbank - which owns 50.5
percent of the shipyard - sold its stake just before the August crash. But
even before the sell-off and the crisis the shipyard was having trouble
getting financing.

The framework agreement with India calls for Baltiisky Zavod to borrow
private money to complete the projects because the cost of the first
frigate is estimated at $270 million, and India agreed only to pay a small
portion of that before 2001.

Shulyakovsky tried several different tracks to attract a new lender
-including last month's request to First Deputy Prime Minister Yury
Maslyukov to print $300 million worth of roubles. Another option, which
Shulyakovsky proposed in January, was a state guarantee for the loans the
shipyard planned to attract from abroad. It is unclear where the money is
coming from, however. At Wednesday's keel-laying celebration Shulyakovsky
would only said that the "financial problem had been solved" and he
declined to elaborate.

There is nothing unusual in borrowing money for contracts that are paid off
steadily over several years, experts said Thursday. But this deal was
particularly difficult to finance because commercial conditions are worse
here than in other European shipyards. And Baltiisky Zavod has been
troubled by the recent economic situation, which has forced it to change
its prospective partners several times. Shulyakovsky did say, however, that
the shipyard is not using any state money and has attracted a $140 million
credit line with a "satisfactory" interest rate, but he declined to name
the bank or specify the conditions of the loan.

There are several possible sources of financing for Baltiisky Zavod. The
shipyard has significant support from Inter-regional Investment Bank, known
by its Russian acronym MIB, which is one of the shipyard's shareholders and
has tight connections with Rosvooruzheniye through affiliated companies.
Another possible source of financing, according to the respected daily
newspaper Kommersant, is Vneshtorgbank. And another bank, Vnesheconombank,
is already close to the deal by performing the role as agent to handle
payments from India to Rosvooruzheniye.

Whichever bank is involved, however, the project is finally up and running
with financing based on the future payments from India. "The credit line
the shipyard received recently is guaranteed by the prospective payments of
the Indian government," Shulyakovsky said cautiously.

Baltiisky Zavod desperately needed this contract to move ahead. Losing the
Indian navy as a client would probably have forced the shipyard to layoff
staff and made getting future contracts more difficult.

But now, thanks in part to finally finding a lender, business is looking up
for the shipyard. Baltiisky Zavod is currently negotiating with a Norwegian
company to build four chemical tankers worth $18 million each," Interfax
reported on Tuesday. Although Baltiisky Zavod has never before built whole
warships for India, the shipyard's cooperation with India in shipbuilding
has a long history and the prospects for future deals looks promising,
according to Gennady Tkachev, chairman of St Peterburg's External Relations
Committee.

Tkachev said that India is the largest importer of items produced in St.
Petersburg, which include pharmaceuticals and industrial machinery as well
as various kinds of water craft. Another of St. Petersburg's shipyards,
Admiralteyskiye Verfi, is also currently building something for the Indian
navy - a submarine.

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Whither NATO?

by Gordon Feller, Defence Systems Daily's correspondent in Moscow

The celebration earlier this month of the formal inclusion of Hungary,
Poland, and the Czech Republic into NATO highlighted the existence of three
very different views among alliance members about the nature of the
challenges they face and about the proper role of the Western alliance in
meeting them.

The first view, articulated most strongly by the leaders of the newest
members of the alliance, might be called the traditional one. It identifies
Russia as the most likely potential threat. And it presents NATO as a
guarantee of the independence and security of alliance members precisely
because it, unlike all other European institutions, involves the power of
the United States in the defence of the continent.

The second view, reflected in the speeches of many European leaders,
simultaneously downplays the possibility of a Russian threat but insists
that the alliance not expand its mission beyond its traditional one as a
defence pact. Some of those who hold this view stress the role of the
alliance in maintaining a link with the US, while others see it a security
system that will permit the gradual expansion of Europe itself.

And the third view, presented primarily by US officials, shares the
assessment of most Europeans that Russia is no longer a threat but argues
that other threats to the security of the continent, such as the conflicts
in Bosnia and Kosovo, mean that NATO must assume a new and more active
role, even if that means the alliance must redefine itself as something
other than simply a defensive one.

As they have in the past, spokesmen and commentators in alliance countries
insisted that these views did not reflect any fundamental divisions in the
alliance. Instead, they said, such variations in view were simply matters
of differing emphasis on parts of a common agenda. But in the absence of a
common threat which all members agree upon, these differences are likely to
grow. And to the extent that happens, they are thus likely to have a
profound impact on those who have joined or want to join the alliance, on
links between European members of the alliance and the United States, and
on relations between NATO, its particular members, and the Russian
Federation.

The most immediate impact of these divisions within the alliance may be on
those countries who have just become members and on those who want to join
as soon as possible. All of these countries want to join NATO because they
see the Western alliance as the best means of protecting themselves from a
new Russian threat. If they discover that the alliance now has a different
agenda, they may find themselves in some difficulty. The governments of
these countries have justified the financial costs of NATO membership in
terms of popular expectations that NATO has not changed. If it becomes too
obvious that the Western alliance has, at least some portions of their
populations may be less willing to pay those costs. And these regimes have
counted on the alliance precisely because of its American dimension. If
they decide that Europe and the United States are moving in different
directions on security questions, that too may lead some to question the
value of alliance membership.

The impact of these differences on ties between NATO's European members and
the United States, however, is also likely to grow. Not only are Europeans
seeking to play a larger role in a grouping long dominated by Washington
and thus prepared to play up divisions that earlier they would have
suppressed, but the US also appears to many of them divided on the future
role for NATO and thus open to pressure. Both Europe and the United States
downplay any immediate Russian threat. Indeed, both appear to want to
include Moscow in ever more alliance councils. But they openly disagree on
what Europeans call "out of area" activities and what Americans stress are
the major challenges facing the West now - the violence in the Yugoslav
successor states.

But the greatest impact of these differences within the alliance is likely
to be on relations between the alliance and its individual member, on the
one hand, and Moscow, on the other. The Russian leadership not only opposes
the expansion of the Western alliance to the east but also believes that
NATO, which it describes as a "relic of the Cold War," should cease to
exist. Consequently, it is almost certain to seek to exploit these
differences in approach in at least three ways. First, it is likely to try
to avoid any step so overtly threatening that it would unite the alliance
once again. Second, it is likely to continue to reach out to European
countries, such as Germany, that appear most opposed to American efforts to
redefine the mission of the alliance. And third, Moscow is likely to try to
play up the notion of a special relationship with Washington, something
that may anger Europeans and restrict US efforts to overcome these
divisions within the alliance itself.

Fifty years ago, one observer commented that NATO existed to "keep the
Russians out, the Americans in, and the Germans down." Now, both the
divisions within the alliance and the policies of its members could create
a situation in all of these would be reversed - with the Russians
increasingly inside Europe, the American role there reduced, and the roles
of individual European states far larger and more unpredictable.

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A<>E<>R

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