-Caveat Lector-

The US - What a country!
Heres to more shopping malls!
500 million by 2050?
flw


LA TIMES
'90s Saw a Tide of New People
 Census: Foreign-born population reaches 30 million, the highest U.S. level since the 
1930s. Immigrants are
bypassing traditional locales and settling in a host of new states.

By ROBIN FIELDS, Times Staff Writer

More than 30 million U.S. residents are immigrants, bringing their share of the 
nation's overall population to
the highest level since the 1930s, the Census Bureau reported today.

Of the 13.3 million who arrived in the last decade, a smaller percentage settled in 
California than had in the
1980s as immigrants bypassed traditional gateways to establish beachheads across the 
South and the Farm Belt.

"We've seen a major dispersal," said Jeffrey Passel, a demographer at the Urban 
Institute in Washington, D.C.
"They didn't just go to the old-line states."

Still, California added almost 3.3 million foreign-born residents in the 1990s, 
topping off an unprecedented
three-decade surge that remade the state's identity and economy while igniting a host 
of political and social
issues.

Immigrants--three-quarters of them from Mexico and Asia--now constitute almost 26% of 
California's population,
a level that far surpasses any state.

The new numbers slightly exceed demographers' expectations and previous Census Bureau 
estimates. They are not
from Census 2000; the agency today is releasing state-by-state totals from a 
first-time supplemental survey of
700,000 homes last year. The Census Bureau wants to expand and conduct this type of 
survey annually, possibly
as a replacement for the decennial long form.

By some measures, immigration reached a crescendo nationally in the 1990s, despite 
federal reforms meant to
curtail legal entry. Almost 44% of the nation's foreign-born arrived in the last 10 
years, compared to the
previous peak of 32% in 1910.

But California saw its share of new arrivals drop from 37.6% in the 1990 to 24.6% in 
2000 as crippling
recession, crowding, high living costs, social unrest and natural disaster ate away at 
its appeal.

Breadbasket mainstays like Iowa, Kansas and Nebraska and Sunbelt states such as 
Georgia and the Carolinas
picked up where California left off, as much as quadrupling their share of immigrants 
in the last decade.

While providing a jolt of economic energy to those new destinations, the 
redistribution may also relieve some
pressure on social services in California, demographers said. In terms of income, 
education levels and ability
to speak English, the most recent arrivals typically lag behind both natives and 
immigrants who have been in
the United States longer.

"Immigration was way out of scale in California," said Dowell Myers, director of the 
Demographic Futures
Project at USC. "Whatever your politics are, it's just a lot to digest."

Fewer Migrants From Other States

California's rough go in the first half of the 1990s also diminished its appeal to 
U.S. natives, the census
data confirmed.

In earlier decades, more than half of California's residents had relocated from other 
states. By 2000, that
percentage had fallen to 22%. For the first time, newcomers from other states now make 
up a smaller slice of
California's population than international immigrants, said William Frey, a 
demographer at the Milken
Institute.

The nation's internal population pendulum passed to less crowded, less expensive 
Western states, including
Arizona, Colorado, Nevada and Wyoming.

"Something magical and seductive brought people here, people drawn by booming 
industries, the atmosphere of
risk taking and the glamour," Frey said. "We've lost a bit of our grip."

As in the 1980s, the biggest chunk of '90s foreign-born newcomers came from Mexico. 
The Mexican-born U.S.
population has grown more than tenfold in 30 years, from about 760,000 in 1970 to 
almost 8.8 million in 2000.
People from Mexico now make up 29% of the nation's immigrant pool, and 44% of 
California's.

The survey issued today does not break out illegal immigrants. But along with data 
from the Immigration and
Naturalization Service, the information suggests that the nation's undocumented 
population outstrips earlier
estimates and may be close to 9 million, perhaps including more than 4 million 
Mexicans, Passel said.

The numbers hint at the potential impact of plans offered by President Bush and 
congressional Democrats to
expand the paths to legal residence, analysts said.

Those who favor reducing immigration levels said the survey results underlined the 
need for more--and
better-enforced--limits.

"We need a policy more based on skills, that allows somewhat fewer immigrants overall, 
which would facilitate
assimilation," said Steven A. Camarota, director of research at the Center for 
Immigration Studies. "It's
certainly clear that the networks and family connections are all in place so that any 
kind of amnesty will
cause the immigrant numbers to increase rapidly."

Immigration proponents, however, said the higher-than-expected foreign-born numbers 
showed that newcomers had
been a critical asset to the decade's prosperity, not a drag on it.

"The anti-immigration folks say they're bringing us down, they aren't good enough to 
be Americans," said
Douglas Rivlin, spokesman for the National Immigration Forum. "They said the same 
about Poles, Slavs and Jews.
They were wrong then and they're wrong now."

Politicians Eyeing New Latino Votes

Legal residence is the first step toward naturalization, which has both Republicans 
and Democrats salivating
at the potential for new, mostly Latino, votes. California alone has more than 5 
million foreign-born
residents who are not citizens, making up almost 16% of the state's population.

Although turnout is typically low for Latino registered voters, analysts marveled at 
the potential power of
the state's latent citizenry.

"The voting population doesn't reflect the true population," said Harry Pachon, 
president of the Tomas Rivera
Policy Institute in Claremont. "It gives pause. That's an incredible portion of the 
population that can't
participate in the civic life of the state."

If immigrants remain politically marginalized, at least one leading indicator featured 
in the census release
suggests that their children are swiftly becoming assimilated.

Nationally, those between 5 and 17 years old who speak Spanish at home are almost 12% 
less likely than they
were in 1990 to speak little or no English. The drop was nearly 25% in California, 
where the portion of
bilingual children almost drew level with the national rate.

Similarly, the portion of Asian school-age children who spoke little or no English 
dropped 38% nationally and
44% in California.

"What we're really seeing is a development of a significant de facto bilingualism 
despite" passage by
California voters of Proposition 227, the 1998 ballot measure that banned bilingual 
education. "People worry
about Latinization of America, but this shows the Americanization of Latinos."
---
Staff researcher Sandy Poindexter contributed to this story.

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