-Caveat Lector-

Would you care to provide a source for this quotation, or are we to belive this
is your own words. I suspect the source is connected to a 'scientific advisory
committee' funded by the oil industry.

Steve

On 19 Feb 02, at 19:15, Nakano Nakamura wrote:

> -Caveat Lector-
>
> GLOBALWARMING OR GLOBALONEY?
> THE FORGOTTEN CASE FOR GLOBAL COOLING
> Cooling? Global refrigeration instead of Global
> barbecuing? You bet. And there's a heck of a lot more
> solid scientific evidence that what the world is
> facing is the onset of a new ice age than there is
> behind the very fragile global warming theory.
> Up until the mid-Seventies there was general agreement
> among researchers, who studied such arcane signs of
> the far distant past as sedimentary deposits on the
> ocean floor, that sooner or later a new ice age was in
> the cards for this planet. Even the CIA signed on to
> the idea that the iceman cometh.
> The idea that an ice age was approaching was based on
> history, not hysteria -- the motivating force behind
> global warming studies. And what history taught
> paleoclimatological scientists engaged in what is
> known as quaternary research, is the incontrovertible
> fact that the earth has experienced a long series of
> ice ages occurring as regular as clockwork -- 100,000
> years of glaciation followed by 10-to-12,000 years of
> interglaciation.
> There is, they maintained, no reason to believe that
> what appears to be an immutable law of nature has
> somehow been miraculously repealed and the cycle of
> glaciation and interglaciation ended.
> No reason, except for political expediency.
>
> Here's a sample of the kind of thing that was being
> discussed back in the mid-seventies by that part of
> the scientific community that dealt with the
> geological history of climate changes:
> "The present interglacial interval -- which has now
> lasted for about 10,000 years -- represents a climatic
> regime that is relatively rare during the past million
> years, most of which has been occupied by colder,
> glacial regimes. Only during about 8 percent of the
> past 700,000 years has the earth experienced climates
> as warm or warmer than the present.
> "The penultimate interglacial age began about 125,000
> years ago, and lasted for approximately 10,000 years.
> Similar interglacial ages -- each lasting 10,000 plus
> or minus 2000 years and each followed by a glacial
> maximum -- have occurred on the average every 100,000
> years during at least the past half-million years.
> "During this period, fluctuations of the northern
> hemisphere ice sheets caused sea level variations of
> the order of 100 meters." (Understanding Climate
> Change, published by the National Academy of Sciences
> in 1975 -- page 181).
> On page 189 the question was asked: "When will the
> present interglacial [period] end?
> "Few paleoclimatoligists would dispute that the
> prominent warm periods (or interglacials) that have
> followed each of the terminations of the major
> glaciations have had durations of 10,000 plus or minus
> 2000 years. In each case, a period of considerably
> colder climate has followed immediately after the
> interglacial interval.
> Since about 10,000 years have passed since the onset
> of the present period of prominent warmth, the
> question naturally arises as to whether we are indeed
> on the brink of a period of colder climate."
> "The question remains unsolved."
> A study prepared for the 95th Congress in 1978 agreed
> with the National Academy of Sciences position as
> explained in the above-quoted study. The document
> Weather Modification: Programs, Problems, Policy and
> Potential warned:
> "In geological prospective, the case for cooling is
> strong ... If this interglacial age lasts no longer
> than a dozen earlier ones in the past million years,
> as recorded in deep sea sediments, we may reasonably
> suppose the world is about due to slide into the next
> ice age."
> The only question remaining is exactly when and how
> glaciation will begin.
> Remember, what we are dealing with here is historic
> evidence -- not a widely disputed theory as is the
> case with global warming.
>
>
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