Hi!

This is a reasoned look at the Bush-Blair-Iraq situation by the Economist which called the leaders "wielders of mass deception" in October.

The URL is:

HYPERLINK http://www.economist.com/printedition/PrinterFriendly.cfm?Story_ID=2227800 http://www.economist.com/printedition/PrinterFriendly.cfm?Story_ID=2227800

However, you may need a subscription to get to it so here it is.

I think it is very much worth reading.

Harry

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George Bush in London
Over here
Nov 20th 2003 From The Economist print edition

In defence of Bush and Blair, those oh so guilty men

ON OUR cover on October 4th, we called  George  Bush  and  Tony  Blair
“wielders of mass deception”. We thought they had exaggerated the pre-
war intelligence that Saddam  Hussein  still  owned  weapons  of  mass
destruction. When no such weapons were found, the two leaders deserved
to forfeit some trust. But this does not justify the venom  heaped  on
them during Mr Bush's state visit to Britain. An event  planned  as  a
victory parade after Iraq ended up putting  the  president  and  prime
minister in the dock of world opinion, where  much  of  the  jury  has
already pronounced them guilty.

Americans who see the placards calling their president a war  criminal
should be aware that a poll in the Guardian newspaper found  that  43%
were glad that Mr Bush was visiting (36% were not) and 62%  considered
America a force for good. However, most of those who thronged  central
London to vilify the president seemed to take it for granted that  the
Iraq war was wholly dishonest in its conception, and has  been  wholly
calamitous in its consequences. Mr Bush stands accused of  mucking  up
not only Iraq but also the planet itself (Kyoto, passim),  the  United
Nations (“unilateralism”, passim) and the outlook  in  Palestine  (why
can't Mr Bush see, as a poll says Europeans can, that  Israel  is  the
number one threat to world peace?). Predictably, many saw the  attacks
on British interests in Istanbul on November 20th as Mr Blair's reward
for supporting the United Statesas though he were to blame,  not  the
bombers. This view of the world, which turns Bush and Blair  into  the
real “axis of evil”, gains force with each indignant repetition.  What
makes it spread?

One man and his lapdog, fouling our Eden

It is fed by three over-glib assumptions. The first  might  be  called
the illusion of prelapsarian innocence. This holds that  Mr  Bush  and
his British  accomplice  are  the  wanton  wreckers  of  a  system  of
international order, with the United Nations at  its  apex,  which  up
until the Iraq war  more  or  less  succeeded  in  keeping  the  world
peaceful.  In  reality,  this  fabled  system   never   existed.   The
international order of the 1990s and beyond  consisted  of  the  usual
disorder. The UN's record during that decade included both failures to
intervene when it should have (to stop the  genocide  in  Rwanda,  for
example) and interventions that failed  (Srebrenica,  Somalia).  There
was, of course, the occasional success as well, but like  the  war  in
Iraq some of these, such as NATO's  American-led  rescue  of  Kosovo's
Muslims, were ad hoc actions undertaken without the express permission
(until after it was over) of the Security Council.

Iraq is in itself a perfect refutation of the idea that the world  was
in apple-pie order before Mr  Bush  and  Mr  Blair  upturned  it.  The
arguments for and against the war  are  familiar.  Repeating  them  is
becoming tedious. But one point on which everyone should be  clear  is
that Iraq was a problem that needed solving, not  one  dreamt  up  for
America's convenience.

After the Kuwait war of 1991, nothing seemed capable of making  Saddam
honour the terms of the ceasefire  he  signed.  The  Security  Council
passed resolutions, which he ignored, and maintained sanctions,  which
made Iraqis poor and hungry. This is the abject state of affairs which
critics of the war now refer to as “containment working”. Laying  down
the law while failing to enforce it is no way  to  uphold  order,  but
that is how things stood before America  and  Britain  acted  (almost)
alone, and how they might still stand had France and the rest  of  the
permanent five managed to stop them. Though the rest hoped  that  more
time, inspectors and last chances could do the  business  bloodlessly,
it was a hope confounded by previous experience. At the  least,  those
who deem the war a mistake should admit that, without one, Iraq  would
probably still be under the heel of its dictator.

Which leads to the second glib  assumption,  that  the  war  has  made
things worse for Iraqis than they were before. That is presumably  why
London's protesters devised a clever wheeze to topple an effigy of  Mr
Bush, in parody of the toppling of Saddam's statue on the day  Baghdad
fell.  This  foolish  notion  belittles  Iraq's  suffering  under  the
dictator. Indeed, to too many of the war's critics, the relief of Arab
suffering seems to matter a good deal less than the supposed  venality
of America's motives. Iraqis  are,  to  say  the  least,  not  natural
admirers of Mr Bush. But most are pleased that the superpower got  rid
of their oppressor.

None of this is to deny that America has made mistakes. It  has  found
the occupation harder than expected, and the guerrilla resistance more
painful. That is probably why Mr Bush  has  now  decided  to  transfer
power next summer to a provisional  government,  instead  of  sticking
with the more methodical democracy-building  programme  he  originally
envisaged (see article). This is a danger. Though the  new  plan  will
speed up the formal transfer of authority from Americans to Iraqis (as
France and others have long proposed), the Iraqis who receive it  will
not have been directly elected. Yet the broad picture remains hopeful.
Most attacks on the coalition are organised by a fraction of the Sunni
minority, whereas most Shias and Kurds are still content to work  with
the Americans. Everything  might  still  go  wrong,  but  there  is  a
middling chance that with enough money and a sustained effort  America
will indeed help Iraqis to create a serious democracy.

If Iraq is better off, what about the wider world? Here critics are on
firmer ground. The collateral damage the  war  has  inflicted  on  the
Security Council, on the friendship between America and France and  on
relations between America and Islam is no illusion. It is, however, an
illusion to hope that the superpower will see  virtue  in  maintaining
institutions and alliances whose overall effect is to prevent it  from
pursuing its own vital interests. That is  why,  under  the  beguiling
slogan of a “multipolar” world,  France's  message  to  Americaplease
make it easier for us to tie you downis not going to be  heeded.  And
it also explains what so many Britons see as the mystery of Mr Blair's
slavish loyalty to Mr Bush.

When people complain that America is behaving as a  global  policeman,
their real gripe is often just the opposite.  It  is  just  fine  when
America acts the policeman, using its muscle to enforce the law  under
orders from the Security Council. But the United States  is  not  just
the enforcement arm of the United Nations. Like all  nation-states  it
tends most of the time to put selfish  motives  first,  with  the  big
difference that it has much more power with which to pursue  them.  Mr
Blair's insight is that it therefore makes sense for the rest  of  the
world to persuade America that it is more efficient to pursue its  own
interests within a system of institutions and alliances than  outside.
Mr Blair is not alone in seeing things this way. Kofi Annan, the  UN's
secretary-general, takes a similar view, which is why he has now asked
a panel of eminent people to examine ways in which it will be able  in
future to respond more effectively to  America's  post-September  11th
worries about terrorism and nuclear proliferation (see article).

How, though, do Americans feel? The paralysis of the Security  Council
before the Iraq war was a blow to the Blairite vision of how  to  live
alongside the superpower.  But  all  is  not  lost.  In  America,  the
difficulties of winning the peace in Iraq have revived an appetite for
helpers. Mr Bush claimed in London that,  like  11  presidents  before
him, he believed in international  institutions,  provided  they  were
serious about the dangers facing the world. Now would be a  good  time
for  the  internationalists  to  prove  to  America  that   they   are
seriousand for Mr Bush to prove that he means what he says.

Copyright © 2003 The Economist Newspaper and The Economist Group.  All
rights reserved.

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of Los Angeles
Box 655   Tujunga   CA   91042
Tel: 818 352-4141   --   Fax: 818 353-2242
HYPERLINK http://haledward.home.comcast.net http://haledward.home.comcast.net
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