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Interesting article. The fact that the so-called "Syrian Arab Army" (SAA) has been reduced to a skeleton, and that the armed forces that seized Aleppo were largely from the global Shiite jihad organised by Iran, which detachments from Iran, Iraq (the US-armed Iraqi army, err, Shiite militia), Lebanon, Afghanistan, Pakistan etc, is widely known by clear-sighted observers; and even they couldn't have seized Aleppo from its Syrian population without the massive terror unleashed by the invading Russian imperialist airforce. The SAA is commonly nicknamed the "Syrian Afghan Army", after the large numbers of desperate Afghan Hazara refugees in Iran forcibly conscripted by the regime.

Far from heading an Arab nationalist regime, as the Baath Party may have been about half a century ago (note: living half a century in the past is, sadly, a common problem around parts of the left), the regime is a pure satrapy of Russia and Iran, while the country is divided up under the regime's watch. Russia has indicated it is staying forever, is expanding and upgrading its air and naval bases, and in exchange for saving the regime (for now) has extracted a fully colonial treaty from the regime. It's main interest is the Alawite-dominated coast, where its bases stand. Iran and its global jihad has control of Aleppo and the Qalamoun region linking Damascus with the Lebanese border, a region from which hundreds of thousands of Sunni have been ethnically cleansed by the regime and Hezbollah, as Hezbollah now believes the "road to liberating "Jerusalem" runs through Qalamoun, Damascus, Daraya, Madaya, Homs, Aleppo, and everywhere else Arab kids can be slaughtered. Turkey, with Russian support, controls a section of northern rural Aleppo along the border, which it is now filling with Turkish nationalists, Grey Wolves etc, as the AKP accepts Assad rule and wants the region, with a significant Turkmen presence, to empty many of the 3 million Syrian refugees into, the AKP's reversal of policy on both Assad and the refugees symbolised by its current alliance with the Turanian nationalist MHP. Beyond that region, from Kobane to the far north-east is run by the PYD party-state; just to remind the Arabic populations within this region who rules, giant pics of Ocalan, a Kurdish leader from Turkey, not Syria, dominate the region, including the entrance to mostly Arabic Tal Abyad. Strongly backed by the US air-force and US special forces, this PYD-run region also sports 2-3 US air-bases. In the south, the once mighty FSA Southern Front, which controls much of Daraa, has been forcibly demobilised by the US and Jordan, turned from a major anti-Assad force to a force maintaining a one-sided "ceasefire" with the regime whose role is to protect the Jordanian border from ISIS (simple: advance against Assad, arms and support cut off; advance against ISIS or attack Nusra, get weapons). Israel of course will maintain its theft of the Golan, as guaranteed by the Assad regimes the last 43 years; and now guaranteed even more by Netanyahu's two best friends, Putin and Trump.

Still, I wonder why the article, and so many like it, write things like this:

The opposing powers brokering peace talks later this month in Kazakhstan look set to carve Syria up into different zones of influence. Mr Assad would keep Aleppo, which is important to Iran as it serves as a supply route from Tehran to Hizbollah in Lebanon, as well as coastal
regions where the Russians have bases.

Aleppo cannot serve as a supply route from Iran to Hezbollah, any more than all the other volumes of fiction about Iran trying to maintain its "land connection" to Hezbollah, via an Assad-ruled Syria, make sense. Geographically, it is pure nonsense. The Syria-Iraq border is controlled by Kurdish forces, on both sides, in the north, and by the Islamic State further down. Even if IS were completely destroyed - an unlikely short-term scenario - the Syria-Iraq border on both sides is solidly Sunni and hostile to the Syrian, Iraqi and Iranian sectarian regimes. Iranian weapons get to Hezbollah via Damascus airport, via Iraqi airports (which the US supervises). Until 2011, they were flown to Damascus via Turkish airports.


-----Original Message----- From: Louis Proyect via Marxism
Sent: Monday, January 16, 2017 10:04 AM
To: Michael Karadjis
Subject: Re: [Marxism] Fwd: Desperate Assad conscripting 50-year-olds as beleaguered Syrian regime forces halved by deaths, defections and draft-dodging





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