The answer has to lie somewhere in between these two stark alternatives, 
doesn't it? It can't be that the cost to the government (the public) in 
mitigating or avoiding the harm caused by granting an exemption can never be 
high enough to be compelling. But it also can't (or shouldn't) be that any 
accommodation that costs third parties or the government (the public) more than 
a de minimis amount violates the Establishment Clause.

Alan

From: religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu 
[mailto:religionlaw-boun...@lists.ucla.edu] On Behalf Of Ira Lupu
Sent: Tuesday, November 26, 2013 4:20 PM
To: Law & Religion issues for Law Academics
Subject: Re: Contraception Mandate

But the government is under no obligation to provide contraceptive coverage for 
women even if it loses these two cases in the Supreme Court.  And if it loses 
them, the female employees and family members who lose this coverage will 
suffer (in full) the third party harms that Nelson, Micah, Fred and others are 
discussing.  You can't measure the scope of those harms by some hypothetical 
measure that may never get enacted.  So the measure of their harm is the market 
cost of buying the contraceptives or contraceptive insurance (is there such a 
product?).  That is, on average, far more than the de minimis cost that TWA v. 
Hardison says is the (Establishment Clause) limit that Title VII can be allowed 
to impose on employers.  Avoiding that third party harm IS the compelling 
interest in the case.  Allowing hypothetical government provided substitutes -- 
e.g., if XYZ Company won't hire women, the government can hire them -- will 
mean the government can never win a RFRA case once substantial burden has been 
shown.  That can't be right.

On Tue, Nov 26, 2013 at 5:42 PM, Volokh, Eugene 
<vol...@law.ucla.edu<mailto:vol...@law.ucla.edu>> wrote:
                The less restrictive means would be to have the government 
offer such a plan, which employees could buy from the government (or from some 
other entity), without the employer being involved.  After all, until recently, 
employers weren't required to provide insurance at all, though there were 
substantial market pressures and tax incentives for them to do so.  The 
alternative would simply retain that pre-ACA system for the tiny corner of 
health care spending involved in blood transfusions for employees of companies 
that oppose such transfusions.

                Now I certainly wouldn't say that such an alternative is 
constitutionally mandated, and I wouldn't relish the prospect of judges 
deciding, as a constitutional matter and with no possibility of legislative 
override, whether such an alternative would be too expensive or burdensome on 
the government.  (That's one reason I support Employment Division v. Smith as a 
view of the Free Exercise Clause.)  But RFRA is a Congressional judgment that 
judges should generally engage in 
least-restrictive-means-of-serving-a-compelling-interest analysis, pursuant to 
Congressional authorization and with the possibility of a Congressional 
override.  So under RFRA, courts would have to consider whether this 
alternative system of funding blood transfusions is indeed a less restrictive 
means of serving a compelling government interest.

                Eugene
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