Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Andrew Pollack via Marxism
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sorry, I hit Send accidentally; here's the finished paragraph from the
middle of my post:
The answer is simple: IT is not used to rationalize, simplify, and make
more efficient the economy. It's designed to sell more goods, both consumer
and IT business systems. (It IS used to speed up the supply chain, but that
affects only distribution, not production; which however, as I explained re
Walmart, is nothing to sneeze at re potential future rationalization and
therefore minimization of needed computer code in the economy-wide sphere
of distribution.)

On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 9:24 AM, Andrew Pollack acpolla...@gmail.com
wrote:

 Yes, the upcoming battles are key, and it's no mystery where they will
 come. For instance see quote from linked article below.
 But Louis's logic STILL argues against a revolution anywhere, anytime. As
 the country with the most, and most complex, IT systems, a socialist
 revolution in the US would by his logic be forever impossible.
 This brings us to the productivity paradox, i.e. the decades-old
 conundrum of why computerization hasn't transformed the economy the way
 railroads and then auto did.
 The answer is simple: IT is not used to rationalize, simplify, and make
 more efficient the economy. It's designed to sell more goods, both consumer
 and IT business systems. (It
 That's why, for instance, nurse unions point out that successively more
 complex healthcare IT systems - which DO capture more and more patient data
 - DON'T mean higher quality or safety in healthcare (whereas higher nurse
 staffing WOULD). Yet hospitals (including my own) are always competing with
 each other to get the newest, biggest systems - and when the conversion is
 made it requires countless (wasted) person-hours.

 One could read on a banner deployed before the Parliament: “No to
 privatizations, let us save the ports, DEI (national electricity company),
 the hospitals”.
 http://internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?article4130


 On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 8:41 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
 marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

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 On 7/16/15 8:20 AM, Marv Gandall via Marxism wrote:

 Is the suggestion here that all of the peoples in the eurozone are
 trapped in it because the technical problems of converting to a
 sovereign currency are intractable, or is there something special
 about the technological structure of Greek capitalism?


 Absolutely not. But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with
 a plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone
 bigs is nuts. As I have repeatedly tried to explain, converting to a new
 currency requires a full project life-cycle implementation just as it did
 moving from a drachma to the euro. I have been involved with 5 such massive
 projects during my career so I can guarantee you that it would take Greece
 or any other euro-based nations a full 3 years to effect a change. As Doug
 pointed out, such a declared intention would have consequences of capital
 drain.

 In any case, the challenge is more political than technical at this
 point. We have a left developing in Greece today out of the disaffected
 Syriza members, Antarsya and the KKE (not that these people are capable of
 working in a united front). As I urged a FB friend yesterday, the focus
 should be on what's next and not on what just happened.

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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Andrew Pollack via Marxism
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Yes, the upcoming battles are key, and it's no mystery where they will
come. For instance see quote from linked article below.
But Louis's logic STILL argues against a revolution anywhere, anytime. As
the country with the most, and most complex, IT systems, a socialist
revolution in the US would by his logic be forever impossible.
This brings us to the productivity paradox, i.e. the decades-old
conundrum of why computerization hasn't transformed the economy the way
railroads and then auto did.
The answer is simple: IT is not used to rationalize, simplify, and make
more efficient the economy. It's designed to sell more goods, both consumer
and IT business systems. (It
That's why, for instance, nurse unions point out that successively more
complex healthcare IT systems - which DO capture more and more patient data
- DON'T mean higher quality or safety in healthcare (whereas higher nurse
staffing WOULD). Yet hospitals (including my own) are always competing with
each other to get the newest, biggest systems - and when the conversion is
made it requires countless (wasted) person-hours.

One could read on a banner deployed before the Parliament: “No to
privatizations, let us save the ports, DEI (national electricity company),
the hospitals”.
http://internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?article4130


On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 8:41 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

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 On 7/16/15 8:20 AM, Marv Gandall via Marxism wrote:

 Is the suggestion here that all of the peoples in the eurozone are
 trapped in it because the technical problems of converting to a
 sovereign currency are intractable, or is there something special
 about the technological structure of Greek capitalism?


 Absolutely not. But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with a
 plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone bigs
 is nuts. As I have repeatedly tried to explain, converting to a new
 currency requires a full project life-cycle implementation just as it did
 moving from a drachma to the euro. I have been involved with 5 such massive
 projects during my career so I can guarantee you that it would take Greece
 or any other euro-based nations a full 3 years to effect a change. As Doug
 pointed out, such a declared intention would have consequences of capital
 drain.

 In any case, the challenge is more political than technical at this point.
 We have a left developing in Greece today out of the disaffected Syriza
 members, Antarsya and the KKE (not that these people are capable of working
 in a united front). As I urged a FB friend yesterday, the focus should be
 on what's next and not on what just happened.

 _
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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/16/15 9:24 AM, Andrew Pollack wrote:

But Louis's logic STILL argues against a revolution anywhere, anytime.
As the country with the most, and most complex, IT systems, a socialist
revolution in the US would by his logic be forever impossible.


Not really.

That being said, Andrew's tendency to superimpose his hopes for 
socialism on Greece is a mistake. Syriza got elected because it 
reflected the mood of the voters and even now there is little evidence 
of a revolutionary situation. Demanding that pensions not be cut is not 
the same thing as what Lenin wrote about in State and Revolution. Keep 
in mind that dual power often constitutes the basis for a revolutionary 
transformation such as workers taking over factories in Catalonia in 
1938. I understand that Marxists would like to think that something like 
that is happening in Greece but I prefer to base my hopes on reality 
rather than fantasy.

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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/16/15 8:20 AM, Marv Gandall via Marxism wrote:

Is the suggestion here that all of the peoples in the eurozone are
trapped in it because the technical problems of converting to a
sovereign currency are intractable, or is there something special
about the technological structure of Greek capitalism?


Absolutely not. But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with 
a plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone 
bigs is nuts. As I have repeatedly tried to explain, converting to a new 
currency requires a full project life-cycle implementation just as it 
did moving from a drachma to the euro. I have been involved with 5 such 
massive projects during my career so I can guarantee you that it would 
take Greece or any other euro-based nations a full 3 years to effect a 
change. As Doug pointed out, such a declared intention would have 
consequences of capital drain.


In any case, the challenge is more political than technical at this 
point. We have a left developing in Greece today out of the disaffected 
Syriza members, Antarsya and the KKE (not that these people are capable 
of working in a united front). As I urged a FB friend yesterday, the 
focus should be on what's next and not on what just happened.

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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Jon Flanders via Marxism

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On 07/16/2015 09:24 AM, Andrew Pollack via Marxism wrote:

the decades-old
conundrum of why computerization hasn't transformed the economy the way
railroads and then auto did.
I can't claim authority for the whole US economy, but in the railroad 
industry where I worked, computers most definitely increased 
productivity by eliminating thousands of mainly clerical jobs. Now not 
just clerical, but with crews and mechanical forces, with sensors and 
gps maxed out on the power.(locomotives)


Certainly likely true with the rest of transportation and distribution, 
trucks, Walmart, Amazon etc. Bricks and mortar are on life support.


Jon Flanders
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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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On Jul 16, 2015, at 8:41 AM, Louis Proyect l...@panix.com wrote:

 On 7/16/15 8:20 AM, Marv Gandall via Marxism wrote:
 Is the suggestion here that all of the peoples in the eurozone are
 trapped in it because the technical problems of converting to a
 sovereign currency are intractable, or is there something special
 about the technological structure of Greek capitalism?
 
 Absolutely not. But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with a 
 plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone bigs is 
 nuts. As I have repeatedly tried to explain, converting to a new currency 
 requires a full project life-cycle implementation just as it did moving from 
 a drachma to the euro. I have been involved with 5 such massive projects 
 during my career so I can guarantee you that it would take Greece or any 
 other euro-based nations a full 3 years to effect a change. As Doug pointed 
 out, such a declared intention would have consequences of capital drain.
 
 In any case, the challenge is more political than technical at this point. 

Well, yes. As, I noted two days ago on this thread: “The problem, Louis, as is 
so often the case, is less “technical” than it is political.”

No one disputes that conversion from a stronger currency to a weaker one is 
economically wrenching, and inevitably results in capital flight. It has to be 
carefully managed by the state. Which is why it is preeminently a political 
rather than a technical issue. Your position has hitherto been that conversion 
to a new currency is so impossibly daunting that it should be ruled out, no 
matter how wretched the status quo - certainly in the case of Greece. You 
neglect to answer whether and why this rule would also be applicable to larger 
and more complex economies.  

But your fears about a Grexit being worse than the status quo seem greatly 
exaggerated, especially if an orderly Grexit can be arranged, which is in where 
the interests of the Greek people and the NATO powers converge for different 
reasons. That option has been on the table since Syriza took power, but its 
leadership, like yourself, has feared it as too radical a step and consequently 
did nothing to prepare the people and the state administration for that 
possibility. In fact, it actively discouraged speculation about a Grexit for 
fear of further antagonizing the troika. 

As for capital flight, it can take wings anytime where there is a perception 
that assets may be threatened by a left wing leadership susceptible to 
pressures from its restless base. Don’t take power if you don’t want to 
frighten away foreign and domestic capital. It is no more complicated than 
that. We know that even though the Syriza government bent over backwards to 
assure its creditors and depositors of its unshakeable commitment to the euro, 
euros continued to drain out of the country. 

In these circumstances, the Tsipras leadership was confronted with the stark 
choice of imposing more stringent capital controls, nationalizing the insolvent 
Greek banks, issuing a parallel currency, repudiating the debt, and inviting 
the US and Europe to negotiate in their own economic and geopolitical interests 
on that basis, or…abjectly accepting further cuts to the labour and pension 
rights of its followers, a further squeeze on their incomes, and the 
de-nationalization of important public assets. You’d have a difficult time 
persuading me it made the right choice because the difficulties of a “full 
project life cycle implementation” somehow trumped all these other 
considerations.



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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread James Creegan via Marxism
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Proyect wrote:

 We have a left developing in Greece today out of the disaffected Syriza
members, Antarsya and the KKE (not that these people are capable of working
in a united front). As I urged a FB friend yesterday, the focus should be
on what's next and not on what just happened.

**

I'm glad that you finally seem to realize that the future of the Greek left
lies in a recomposition of forces, and not with Syriza as a party. But is
politically impossible to forget about the betrayal that has just taken
place and simply move on. The Tsipras faction of Syriza (which is
probably still a majority) is hardly about to roll over and play dead. They
will argue that they have not betrayed and that therefore no recomposition
of the left is necessary. The KKE leadership will continue to defend its
sectarian-abstentionist policies. And many more on the left will
be bewildered and confused by what has taken place, not knowing what the
future holds or where to turn. Recomposition demands political
clarification, which in turn demands a struggle of ideas and political
tendencies.

I know that branding people betrayers, and the whole notion of a right-left
struggle within the left is your idea of a Spartacist nightmare, and is
anathema to every bone in your anti-sectarian body. But it is unavoidable
at this juncture. Lenin didn't skip over the struggle against Kautsky, and
move effortlessly on to the founding of the Third International, letting
bygones be bygones. He would not have accepted the excuse that voting for
war credits in the Reichstag simply reflected the wishes of the German
people (which it did at the time, btw, to a much greater extent than voting
for austerity now reflects the wishes of the majority of the Greek people).
I know we aren't in the same situation here, and that the issue is a
Grexit, not war and revolution, so please do not invoke that straw man. But
an event of great consequence is now transpiring, and the left, in Greece
or Europe, can't move forward without digesting its implications.

Jim Creegan

On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 8:41 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

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 On 7/16/15 8:20 AM, Marv Gandall via Marxism wrote:

 Is the suggestion here that all of the peoples in the eurozone are
 trapped in it because the technical problems of converting to a
 sovereign currency are intractable, or is there something special
 about the technological structure of Greek capitalism?


 Absolutely not. But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with a
 plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone bigs
 is nuts. As I have repeatedly tried to explain, converting to a new
 currency requires a full project life-cycle implementation just as it did
 moving from a drachma to the euro. I have been involved with 5 such massive
 projects during my career so I can guarantee you that it would take Greece
 or any other euro-based nations a full 3 years to effect a change. As Doug
 pointed out, such a declared intention would have consequences of capital
 drain.

 In any case, the challenge is more political than technical at this point.
 We have a left developing in Greece today out of the disaffected Syriza
 members, Antarsya and the KKE (not that these people are capable of working
 in a united front). As I urged a FB friend yesterday, the focus should be
 on what's next and not on what just happened.

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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread James Creegan via Marxism
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Mark Lause wrote:

Jim urges us to act appropriately *to* this juncture, as though we were
historical materialists.  But the next lines urge us to follow the example
of Lenin's struggle against Kautsky and voting against war credits in the
Reichstag.  For historical materialists, these are different junctures
altogether, no?

**
 I acknowledge the differences in the respective junctures in the
sentence following the text of mine that you select.  I might also add to
the differences that, unlike the German Social Democracy, Syriza is not,
 and never claimed to be, a working-class socialist party, and never
proclaimed its intention to answer the class enemy with a general strike,
as the SPD had pledged to do in the event of war. But the juncture is
not *altogether
*different. Tsipras it has betrayed every election pledge his party ever
made at the cost of untold damage and agony to his people, and is, like New
Democracy and Pasok, employing TINA arguments to justify his actions. Any
socialist (or even committed Keynesian) must categorically repudiate
all TINA arguments  A betrayal is a betrayal, in 2015 as it was in 1914,
and there must be a political sorting out and assigning of blame before any
political realignment can take place.

Jim







Reply to all
Forward

On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 11:56 AM, Mark Lause markala...@gmail.com wrote:

 Jim Creegan writes, I know that branding people betrayers, and the whole
 notion of a right-left struggle within the left is your idea of a
 Spartacist nightmare, and is anathema to every bone in your
 'anti-sectarian' body. But it is unavoidable at this juncture. Lenin didn't
 skip over the struggle against Kautsky, and move effortlessly on to the
 founding of the Third International, letting bygones be bygones. He would
 not have accepted the excuse that voting for war credits in the Reichstag
 simply reflected the wishes of the German people (which it did at the
 time, btw, to a much greater extent than voting for austerity now reflects
 the wishes of the majority of the Greek people).

 Jim urges us to act appropriately to this juncture, as though we were
 historical materialists.  But the next lines urge us to follow the example
 of Lenin's struggle against Kautsky and voting against war credits in the
 Reichstag.  For historical materialists, these are different junctures
 altogether, no?

 ML



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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Mark Lause via Marxism
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Jim Creegan writes, I know that branding people betrayers, and the whole
notion of a right-left struggle within the left is your idea of a
Spartacist nightmare, and is anathema to every bone in your
'anti-sectarian' body. But it is unavoidable at this juncture. Lenin didn't
skip over the struggle against Kautsky, and move effortlessly on to the
founding of the Third International, letting bygones be bygones. He would
not have accepted the excuse that voting for war credits in the Reichstag
simply reflected the wishes of the German people (which it did at the
time, btw, to a much greater extent than voting for austerity now reflects
the wishes of the majority of the Greek people).

Jim urges us to act appropriately to this juncture, as though we were
historical materialists.  But the next lines urge us to follow the example
of Lenin's struggle against Kautsky and voting against war credits in the
Reichstag.  For historical materialists, these are different junctures
altogether, no?

ML
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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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(Schauble represents that wing of the European bourgeoisie - still a minority, 
but growing - which no longer wants to throw “good money after bad”. It wants 
to force Greece out of the eurozone, providing it with a one time injection of 
seed money rather than continued bailouts costing hundreds of billions of euros 
which will never be fully recovered.)

Germany’s Wolfgang Schäuble puts Grexit back on the agenda
By Stefan Wegstyl
Financial Times
July 16 2015

Days after Greece appeared to escape crashing out of the euro, hawkish German 
finance minister Wolfgang Schäuble has put Grexit back on the political agenda, 
raising tensions in Berlin and across the EU.

Speaking before a key Bundestag vote on Friday, Mr Schäuble said voluntary 
departure from the eurozone “could perhaps be a better way” for Greece than a 
proposed €86bn bailout package, which was painfully assembled at a marathon 
eurozone summit in Brussels over the weekend.

Despite his misgivings, the 72-year-old German minister said he would still 
personally put the package to parliament. His hollow-sounding pledge was eerily 
familiar to one from Athens this week, where Greek premier Alexis Tsipras 
presented the same plan to Greece’s parliament while admitting he did not 
believe in it.

Mr Schäuble’s manoeuvre makes clear he is leaving open a Grexit option, even as 
he is formally backing the latest rescue plan to keep Greece in the eurozone. 
It is uncertain how much leeway he has been given by chancellor Angela Merkel 
to advance a historic rupture of the eurozone that he believes would ultimately 
strengthen both Greece and the single currency.

Ms Merkel, who celebrates her 61st birthday on Friday, has long given more 
weight than Mr Schäuble to the geopolitical costs of Grexit but has also said 
that a deal to prevent it cannot come “at any price”.

Her approach has hardened since June 26 when Mr Tsipras infuriated Greece’s 
international creditors by calling for a national referendum on their latest 
bailout offer.

It later emerged Mr Tsipras had informed the chancellor and French president 
François Hollande of his plans in a telephone call. But he neglected to say he 
would campaign against the deal. Ms Merkel only learnt the truth after Mr 
Tsipras announced his intentions on television. The chancellor’s complaints 
about the loss of trust in Athens have since multiplied.

Mr Schäuble said in a radio interview there was widespread concern — including 
at the International Monetary Fund — that Greece needed a debt cut for the 
rescue to work. But, he noted, a “debt cut is incompatible with membership of 
the currency union”.

Even if he favours a Grexit, Mr Schäuble may have to take a roundabout route to 
get there. He is wary of being seen to push Athens out the door for fear of 
breaking Germany’s decades-long commitment to European unity.

Such a move would also risk casting Ms Merkel as Europe’s bully — a claim many 
are already making after a summit in which she forced the capitulation of 
Greece’s defiant leftwing prime minister.

Berlin has already signalled that should Grexit come, Germany would generously 
support Athens, including with a debt cut.

Some EU officials believe Mr Schäuble’s repeated insistence that the IMF, which 
has partnered the EU in previous rescues, be included in a new bailout may be 
intended to engineer an eventual Grexit. The IMF has suggested it might not 
join a new Greek programme once its current rescue expires in March without 
heavy restructuring of existing eurozone loans. One EU official said Mr 
Schäuble could use this as “an excuse”.

Ms Merkel in the meantime seems certain to win the Bundestag vote on Friday on 
the proposed bailout. But about 60 MPs from her CDU/CSU bloc could rebel in 
protest against lending Athens even a cent more. The fact that Mr Schäuble will 
on Friday recommend the plan could win over some sceptics, thereby reducing Ms 
Merkel’s embarrassment.

The vote authorises only the start of negotiations, meaning Mr Schäuble will 
have time to manoeuvre before a second vote on the package itself, once 
negotiations are concluded.

Eckhardt Rehberg, the CDU’s budget spokesman, said: “The debate over a 
temporary Grexit has been important.”

But social democrats, also part of the coalition, are furious that Mr Schäuble 
harps on about Grexit and are urging him to stick to the script. Many suspect 
the finance minister is playing up Grexit partly to embarrass the leader of 
their SPD party, Sigmar Gabriel.

Mr Gabriel had agreed with Ms Merkel and Mr Schäuble that the Grexit option 
should be aired at the weekend summit as a way to put pressure on Athens. 

Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Dayne Goodwin via Marxism
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On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 6:41 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:
 . . .  But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with a
 plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone bigs
 is nuts...

As far as i know, Louis, you are the only one talking like this.  What
the talk is about is whether Tsipras as the national leader of Syriza
for several years before Syriza won the January 2015 elections and he
became Prime Minister should have delegated work on preparing a plan
B within the party and since January also within the government.
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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Marv Gandall via Marxism
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On Jul 16, 2015, at 2:55 PM, Dayne Goodwin via Marxism 
marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:

 On Thu, Jul 16, 2015 at 6:41 AM, Louis Proyect via Marxism
 marxism@lists.csbs.utah.edu wrote:
 . . .  But all this talk about Tsipras should have come up with a
 plan B while he was in these intense negotiations with the eurozone bigs
 is nuts...
 
 As far as i know, Louis, you are the only one talking like this.  What
 the talk is about is whether Tsipras as the national leader of Syriza
 for several years before Syriza won the January 2015 elections and he
 became Prime Minister should have delegated work on preparing a plan
 B” within the party and since January also within the government.

In fact, didn’t Varoufakis confirm earlier this week that a committee was 
instructed to study a Plan B during the negotiations but the project was 
quickly shelved?


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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/16/15 10:33 AM, James Creegan wrote:

But it is unavoidable at this juncture. Lenin didn't skip over the
struggle against Kautsky, and move effortlessly on to the founding of
the Third International, letting bygones be bygones.


Between Kautsky and the Comintern, I don't know which was the bigger 
disaster. Not surprising that you would refer to the Comintern like some 
Catholics refer to St. Peter.

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Re: [Marxism] [Pen-l] Convert to the Drachma – Piece of Cake. Right… | naked capitalism

2015-07-16 Thread Louis Proyect via Marxism

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On 7/16/15 2:55 PM, Dayne Goodwin via Marxism wrote:

  What
the talk is about is whether Tsipras as the national leader of Syriza
for several years before Syriza won the January 2015 elections and he
became Prime Minister should have delegated work on preparing a plan
B within the party and since January also within the government.


In other words, he should have be considering an exit from the eurozone 
when his entire political trajectory has been Europeanist? And for that 
matter, Stathis Kouvelakis, the most prominent hard Marxist in the 
Greek parliament and Grexit advocate, writes a book for Verso titled 
Crisis in the Eurozone that has less than a page on what that would 
amount to. I've been referred on FB repeatedly to Grexit made Easy 
type articles but every one of them is idiotic. Mostly the appeals to 
Grexit sound like Burl Ives's Big Rock Candy Mountain but I'll give 
credit to Marty Hart-Landsberg for laying it on the line:


To be a bit more specific, a break from the Eurozone would require 
nationalization of the banks -- an act that would immediately draw the 
country into a serious legal test with Europe since the banks are 
technically under the control of the European Central Bank.  It would 
require the government to quickly issue new scrip as it prepared a new 
currency, and aggressively engage in an expanded public works program. 
At the same time it was unclear whether the new scrip would be accepted 
and whether the country would have sufficient foreign exchange to 
maintain minimum purchases of key import items such as food and 
medicine.   Moreover, many businesses, holding debts denominated in 
euros, would likely be forced into bankruptcy necessitating government 
takeover.  And, all this would take place in a relatively hostile 
international environment.  No doubt some countries would offer words of 
solidarity, but it appears unlikely that any would or could offer 
meaningful financial or technical assistance.  Still, with proper 
preparation the possibilities for success could have been greatly enhanced.


Unfortunately, he has confidence in the BRICS that seems unwarranted in 
light of China's interest in buying the Port of Piraeus at fire sale prices:


Strikingly, Varoufakis mentioned that Syriza had established a small 
team to think about what a break would mean shortly after their January 
2015 election, a team that no doubt was kept small because the 
government wanted to keep the planning secret.  But that was a mistake. 
 Planning should have happened on a large scale and in a visible way. 
Discussions should have been held with international legal experts as 
well as with the BRICS countries concerning possible use of their new 
lending and investment facilities.

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