Re: [Vo]:orbo is a heat pump?

2010-01-25 Thread Michel Jullian
2010/1/25 Harry Veeder hlvee...@yahoo.com:

 If orbo were extracting heat from the air then part of the orbo would become 
 hotter than the surrounding air, but for that to happen wouldn't part of the 
 orbo have to be cooler than the surrounding air?

I guess so, isn't it the case?

Michel



[Vo]:Nuclear catalysis, effective LENR isotopes, etc.

2010-01-25 Thread Horace Heffner
The following URL contains links to various nuclear reaction equation  
reports I have created relating to LENR:


http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/dfRpt

This is a work in progress, nothing is finalized, and all conclusions  
are tentative.  Improvements are being made in reaction energy  
calculations, additional reports are in progress, and a review for  
accuracy is continuing. However, the reports at this point already  
exemplify some new and important principles.  One such principle is  
nuclear catalysis, the existence of nuclear catalytic reactions,  
(NCRs).  A nuclear catalytic reaction is one in which a heavy lattice  
nucleus acts as nuclear catalyst.  It fuses hydrogen nuclei while  
remaining intact post-reaction.  It is essentially a fusion reaction  
enabled by deflated state deuterium, followed by a reduced kinetic  
energy alpha decay.


Another important principal is the potential effectiveness of some  
isotopes for producing LENR, due to all LENR channels being initially  
closed due to the de-energization due to the deflated hydrogen  
fused.  These isotopes are identified in special Electron  
constrained isotopes sub-reports, in reports E-H.


At the above URL the blue text areas are links to the actual reaction  
reports.


Following is the text of the above URL:

Low Energy Nuclear Reactions (LENR)
Reports of Prospective Reaction Equations and Energies
Based on the Deflation Fusion Model

Horace Heffner Jan, 2010

Report A - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n D* - Y + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, for n=1 to 12

Creating Stable Isotopes Y and Z With No Weak Reactions

Report B - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n p* -- Y + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, n = 1 to 4

Creating Stable Isotopes Y and Z With No Weak Reactions

Report C - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + 2 D* - X + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions

Creating Stable Isotope Z Via Nuclear Catalytic Action

Report D - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n D* - X + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, n = 1 to 10

Creating Stable Isotope Z Via Nuclear Catalytic Action

Report E - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n D* -- Y + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, n = 1 to 1

Creating Stable Isotopes Y and Z With No Weak Reactions

Report F - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n D* -- Y + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, n = 1 to 2

Creating Stable Isotopes Y and Z With No Weak Reactions

Report G - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n p* -- Y + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, n = 1 to 1

Creating Stable Isotopes Y and Z With No Weak Reactions

Report H - Energetically Feasible Aneutronic X + n p* -- Y + Z  
Aneutronic Reactions, n = 1 to 2

Creating Stable Isotopes Y and Z With No Weak Reactions

Report i1 - Energetically Feasible X + n D* -- Y + Z + n e  
Reactions, n = 1 to 12
Where X = Ba56, Y=Sm62, (Potential reactions for Iwamura's Ba -- Sm  
transmutation)


Report i2 - Energetically Feasible X + n D* -- Y + Z + n e  
Reactions, n = 1to 12
Where X = Cs55, Y=Pr59, (Potential reactions for Iwamura's Cs -- Pr  
transmutation)


Report i3 - Energetically Feasible X + n D* -- Y + Z + n e  
Reactions, n = 1 to 12
Where X = Sr38, Y=Mo42, (Potential reactions for Iwamura's Sr -- Mo  
transmutation)


Report i4 - Energetically Feasible X + n D* -- Y + Z + n e  
Reactions, n = 1 to 12
Where X = Sr38, Y=Mo42, but rfact=0.85 (Iwamura's Sr -- Mo  
transmutation)


Report J - Evaluation Spreadsheet for Deflated Proton Fusion Candidates



Notes on Report Contents

Report A, including 48,031 reactions in 1093 pages, in 2 MB, is one  
of the most general types of report presented here. It is intended to  
identify every energetically feasible aneutronic deuterium LENR  
reaction that might be of any interest, whether likely to occur or  
even feasible within the confines of the deflation fusion theory. The  
only reaction conditions enforced in Report A aneutronic reactions  
are that proton and neutron counts are preserved, and that each  
reaction produces net energy. Isospin is conserved in these  
reactions. Note that in all reports summarized here that one or more  
of the fused entities is either p* or D*, deflated state hydrogen.  
The deflated state electrons are included in the equations even  
though their role is primarily catalytic, and the catalytic energy  
deficit effect, as described in “Cold Fusion Nuclear Reactions”, and  
as applied to the intermediate or compound nucleus, is included in  
the energy value in brackets for each reaction. It is also notable  
that the deflated state electrons reduce the kinetic energy of the  
heavy reaction products, because the bulk of the reaction energy, due  
to conservation of energy and momentum, goes to the electrons. This  
further means that there is never less than two nonzero rest mass  
products, so the reaction energy is not required to be carried off  
via one or two high energy photons, as it is in the D(D,g)4He hot  
fusion reaction.


What is important about some of the reports here, is not 

Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 12:23 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson wrote:
 Big splashy advert screens are being displayed at steorn.com
 
 Sounds like they intend to deliver the final punch line this coming
 Saturday, Jan 30
 
 we shall see...
 

For the record, here are my predictions regarding the likely outcomes:

-- They burn out a wheel bearing and cancel the demo, like ol' Tilly
(substitute appropriate part for wheel bearing), and like Sean did a
couple years back.

-- They do another demo of a motor using an external power source
(battery, or other similar device) and then, through calculations and
measurements, claim to have shown overunity.  Others dispute the
calculations, measurements, and claim.  This is, of course, the most
popular approach by perpetual motion machine salesmen.

-- They demo a part of a motor -- a coil, say -- and take certain
measurements which they claim prove that it's over unity in some way.
They're selling knowledge, not devices, so this seems like a good
possibility.

-- They come up with something I haven't thought of, which none the less
leaves the situation ambiguous, with honest skeptics unconvinced.
(Pathological skeptics will never be convinced, of course.)

And a very UNlikely outcome:

-- They demonstrate what they claim is a self runner but don't let
anyone inspect it carefully enough to prove beyond a reasonable doubt
that it's for real.  Steorn has never pulled stunts like this in the
past, and I don't expect them to start now.  (As far as I know every
device they have ever demonstrated in public has been real -- only
their claims are dubious.)

What we absolutely will *not* see:

-- A true self-runner, which convinces all but the most pathological of
skeptics.  Will not happen -- not from Steorn.  Not now, not ever.
This includes motors with no external power supply, and motors driven by
capacitors (which are shown conclusively to remain charged during the
run) instead of batteries.


 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks
 



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
Additional noise:

http://community.zdnet.co.uk/blog/0,100567,10014947o-2000331777b,00.htm

Exerpt:

In the past, Sean has said that the Orbo will manage this to the tune
of 3:1 - in other words, churning out three watts for every watt of
input. The Saturday demo, our sources confide, will be less dramatic -
if they can hit 120 percent, or 1.2 watts out for 1 watt in, it'll be
a success.

---

Needless to say, as Stephen has already conjectured the calculations
Steorn may use to arrive at OU are likely to be subject to differing
interpretations. ;-)

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 02:01 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson wrote:
 Additional noise:
 
 http://community.zdnet.co.uk/blog/0,100567,10014947o-2000331777b,00.htm
 
 Exerpt:
 
 In the past, Sean has said that the Orbo will manage this to the tune
 of 3:1 - in other words, churning out three watts for every watt of
 input. The Saturday demo, our sources confide, will be less dramatic -
 if they can hit 120 percent, or 1.2 watts out for 1 watt in, it'll be
 a success.

Sigh

Either it has been putting out 3:1 or it hasn't.

If it has, why can't they demo 3:1, or rather 2:1 mechanical:electrical?
 (Knock off 100% for the amount of input power converted to heat.)  Have
they forgotten how they used to do it?  ;-)

If it hasn't been putting out 3:1 then Sean's a liar.

Why does anyone still believe in these people?



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Jed Rothwell

A blogger estimates:


The Saturday demo, our sources confide, will be less dramatic -
if they can hit 120 percent, or 1.2 watts out for 1 watt in, it'll be
a success.


If they can hit 120% I believe they could make the thing 
self-sustaining. The overhead from friction and a capacitor is small. 
Very small compared to a heat engine powered by cold fusion would be.


Terry Blanton or some other magnet motor expert can probably tell us 
what the minimum excess would be to allow a self-sustaining gadget.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 12:23 PM 1/25/2010, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson wrote:

Big splashy advert screens are being displayed at steorn.com

Sounds like they intend to deliver the final punch line this coming
Saturday, Jan 30

we shall see...


Yup. Unless all their bearings freeze up, the building mysteriously 
catches on fire, or, or.


But assuming that this goes through, it then becomes possible to more 
adequately judge all the previous claims. Does the proof support 
them? Or were they exaggerated, puffery? Remember, Sean has claimed 
2:1 (which is actually 3:1, because the 2 is the claimed excess, as 
I recall.)





Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
From Mr. Lawrence

 Either it has been putting out 3:1 or it hasn't.

 If it has, why can't they demo 3:1, or rather 2:1
 mechanical:electrical?  (Knock off 100% for the
 amount of input power converted to heat.)  Have
 they forgotten how they used to do it?  ;-)

Someone can correct me if I error on the following interpretation but
it's my recollection that Sean stated something to the effect that the
configuration currently on demo at the Waterfront has allegedly only
been measured to generate a modest OU of 1.2.

I believe these other OU claims Sean has inferred, some allegedly up
to 3:1, were measured from different experimental devices not
currently being demonstrated to the public. I seem to recall Sean
saying something to the effect that these other Orbo devices are more
complicated, and as such, their added complexity would have made them
unsuitable for the quick slam-and-dunk dog-and-pony show they wished
to demonstrate to the public.

 If it hasn't been putting out 3:1 then Sean's a liar.

I think that may depend on which device Sean was referring to.

 Why does anyone still believe in these people?

X-Files: I want to believe!

Meanwhile, Mongo just whispered something in my ear: Light bulb!

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 02:43 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson wrote:
From Mr. Lawrence
 
 Either it has been putting out 3:1 or it hasn't.

 If it has, why can't they demo 3:1, or rather 2:1
 mechanical:electrical?  (Knock off 100% for the
 amount of input power converted to heat.)  Have
 they forgotten how they used to do it?  ;-)
 
 Someone can correct me if I error on the following interpretation but
 it's my recollection that Sean stated something to the effect that the
 configuration currently on demo at the Waterfront has allegedly only
 been measured to generate a modest OU of 1.2.

Hadn't seen that.  I recall seeing a quote from him which seemed to
imply that Orbo was doing 3:1 (unmeasured, of course!) but I can't find
it now, so maybe I'm wrong.


 
 I believe these other OU claims Sean has inferred, some allegedly up
 to 3:1, were measured from different experimental devices not
 currently being demonstrated to the public. I seem to recall Sean
 saying something to the effect that these other Orbo devices are more
 complicated, and as such, their added complexity would have made them
 unsuitable for the quick slam-and-dunk dog-and-pony show they wished
 to demonstrate to the public.
 
 If it hasn't been putting out 3:1 then Sean's a liar.
 
 I think that may depend on which device Sean was referring to.
 
 Why does anyone still believe in these people?
 
 X-Files: I want to believe!
 
 Meanwhile, Mongo just whispered something in my ear: Light bulb!
 
 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks
 



[Vo]:preview of my video production

2010-01-25 Thread FZNIDARSIC
_http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F4I5mgBKPZY_ 
(http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F4I5mgBKPZY) 


[Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
push along space travel?



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
I gotta hand it to those Steorn folks... Their latest advert is both
blunt and dramatic.

Steorn's web site sez:

Final Demo:
PROVING OVERUNITY
Saturday 16.00 GMT
at Steorn.com

---

Barring unforeseen technical difficulties, it is difficult for me to
perceive how Steorn could possibly wiggle their way out of the corner
they seem to be painting themselves into.

But I suspect they will.

One of the few truisms that I've finally begun to Grok inside my thick
skull is the fact that whenever anyone says this is final word on
anything, such declarations mean absolutely nothing.

At present I find myself in sympathy with a lot of Stephen's recent
speculations. I suspect Steorn is likely to demonstrate something new,
something novel about the spinny thing (As Terry recently described
the device as), quite possibly an interesting artifact we haven't seen
yet. But, alas, the new evidence will continue to remain subject to
interpretation.

I sure hope I'm wrong.

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 01:09 PM 1/25/2010, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:

What we absolutely will *not* see:

-- A true self-runner, which convinces all but the most pathological of
skeptics.  Will not happen -- not from Steorn.  Not now, not ever.
This includes motors with no external power supply, and motors driven by
capacitors (which are shown conclusively to remain charged during the
run) instead of batteries.


While I've seen no evidence from Steorn that would lead me to 
consider the possibility significant, and lots that indicates to me 
that it's highly unlikely based on their history, I will now take the 
position that overunity is possible in theory, in terms of local 
results, not to mention the deeper possibility of error in the 
concept of conservation of energy.


What if something about the behavior of magnets and magnetic fields 
and ferrite cores and magnetic domains and all that causes some 
unexpected phenomenon that releases energy from unknown or 
unanticipated sources? Perhaps Steorn discovered an anomaly and in 
order to cash in on it, they adopted their approach rather than 
simply publishing it. It is not essential to this, at all, that they 
understand the anomaly.


But, as I wrote, highly unlikely. But experiment is king. If the 
anomaly is shown, they will have indeed made a major discovery, of an 
anomaly, at least, and then is the anomaly worth exploring? 
Scientifically, yes, absolutely, until it is explained and the 
explanation is proven to be more than just an alternative hypothesis, 
and assuming that the anomaly is significant in amplitude, and is replicable.


It is an entirely separate question whether or not there is enough 
energy over-unity to be of practical use. Hence demands for a 
self-running demo are excessive, as to the ultimate issues, that 
transcend whether or not Steorn are scammers, or legally milking 
this. But if it is true that there is twice as much energy going into 
rotational inertia than into heat, some commercial application, if 
only for heating!, would seem possible.


Hence I do, in fact, think that puffery is highly likely, that claims 
of Sean for 2:1 are based on extrapolation and imagination, not 
actual experiment, properly analyzed. Same thing with the Szabo 
motor, which seems quite similar in certain ways.


But, indeed, we will see the next act in this play in a few days. 
What rabbit will the author pull out of the hat?




Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 03:08 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
 push along space travel?
 

http://www.nss.org/



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
From Alexander:

 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated
 to helping push along space travel?

Used to be the L-5 Society.

Seems L-5 merged with the National Space Institute and the duo renamed
themselves the National Space Society

http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/N/National_Space_Society.html

Regards
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com
www.zazzle.com/orionworks



FW: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Jack Harbach-O'Sullivan

AH:  NASA Consultant  Engineer now private:  Robert 
Zubrin-@Marssociety.org (he's the real deal)   Burt Rutan of 
Scaled Composites--'X-Prize Winner' Mojave,' 
california-bru...@earthfiles.net  also the 'real-deal'  -JO-
 
 Date: Mon, 25 Jan 2010 13:08:02 -0700
 From: alexander.holl...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Subject: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.
 
 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
 push along space travel?
 
  
_
We want to hear all your funny, exciting and crazy Hotmail stories. Tell us now
http://clk.atdmt.com/UKM/go/195013117/direct/01/

Re: [Vo]:Nuclear catalysis, effective LENR isotopes, etc.

2010-01-25 Thread Horace Heffner


On Jan 25, 2010, at 7:41 AM, Jones Beene wrote:


Wow. Impressive amount of computational effort.

This could be helpful for the design stage of many refined  
experiments.


One hopes that that the data was set up and crunched in an automated
computer program - or else you must be snowed-in due to El Nino,  
with no

other hobbies ;-)


I get to borrow Santa's elves in the off season. 8^)




One question: was nuclear spin not considered for a reason? IOW is
conservation of spin an issue with deflation fusion?



Spin and other constraints were left out intentionally so far.  The  
intent here is to see how much can be learned without making  
unnecessary conventional assumptions.  The principal problem is that  
heavy element LENR is *already* impossible using standard physics.   
Probable decay channels for compound nuclei (standard compound nuclei  
without deflated electrons) do not include large mass fissions. They  
involve only gamma, beta, positron, proton, neutron and alpha  
decays.   If you throw out neutron and high energy signature decays,  
because these were not observed in the heavy LENR experiments, you  
are left with alpha decays at best, and no way to explain the lost  
energy.  The intent here initially was merely to get a picture of the  
forest before looking for the best trees.  Once the hypothesis of one  
of more deflated electrons and a de-energized composite nucleus comes  
into play the situation with regard to spin and other constraints  
becomes more complex, especially if there are numerous deflated  
(negative energy) electrons in the nucleus initially.  One  
consequence of deflation fusion theory is that these electrons play a  
continuously changing role in the nucleus through time, as their  
wavefunctions expand out of the nucleus proper due to zero point  
field pressure.  The problem then is how to determine composite spin  
and to account for spin conservation, as well as the decay  
probabilities which change through time.  The decay time for de- 
energized compound nuclei is much longer that for conventional  
compound nuclei.  I am considering a number of decay models.   
Hopefully more reports looking at these alternative models will be  
forthcoming.






I was looking through the various tables to try to find reactions  
which
seemed most probable from a minority perspective - that is, if one  
began
with the premise that Mills is partly correct insofar as his  
experimental
results confirm his claims, and that deflation fusion is compatible  
with the
early stages of CQM - and also that Iwamura's experimental findings  
are

important. He tends to be overlooked.


I don't see Mill's theory as important to deflation fusion theory,  
except that the deflated state might be more likely in a fractional  
quantum state hydrogen.  It also may not be.  I just don't know. It  
is irrelevant to my current analysis effort.  I expect there may  
eventually be various uses for the data and kinds of analysis that I  
am providing, especially in terms of experiment design, depending on  
the theoretical perspective of the user.






As you may be aware, Strontium is one of Mill's best catalysts for  
Rydberg
matching in the IP, and the main isotope is 88. The fourth reaction  
on your

table for that isotope would then be a great candidate from this
perspective- especially if one wanted to find at least two reaction  
products

to carry away excess energy, with one of them being an alpha.

88Sr38 + 6 D* -- 96Mo42 + 4He2 + 77.258 MeV [13.225 MeV]

However, that is almost too much energy to imagine as possible  
without a

strong gamma signal, unless much of it could be deposited elsewhere.

Jones


The above energy levels indicate to me the above reaction is not a  
viable reaction, under the assumptions used in its calculation, to  
explain Iwamura's results. That was the initial point of the  
computation of these tables, to show there is too much energy  
involved for any models to date (not involving electrons in the  
nucleus) to make any sense.  Only reactions with negative energies in  
the brackets are feasible to consider further as viable explanations,  
unless some additional mechanisms are available to further reduce  
that energy quantity in brackets.  If you look at Report i3:


http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/Rpti3

You will see *no* feasible explanation for strontium transmutation as  
observed Iwamura.  However, the assumption in Report i3 is that the  
deflated electron negative energy is a result of being located at the  
mean radius of the compound nucleus. If the electrons are assumed to  
reside at an average of 0.9 times that radius, then many of the  
strontium reactions start looking like viable explanations. This was  
done in Report i4 at:


http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/Rpti4

All this means is that, as noted in my paper, the energy deficit  
based on electrons at the compound nucleus average radius is not  
enough to explain the 

Re: FW: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
Jack  you beat me to what I would be asking for in about a year,
if other plans go to speed.  THANK YOU SIR!

On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:22 PM, Jack Harbach-O'Sullivan
alset9te...@hotmail.com wrote:
 AH:  NASA Consultant  Engineer now private:  Robert
 Zubrin-@Marssociety.org (he's the real deal)   Burt Rutan
 of Scaled Composites--'X-Prize Winner' Mojave,'
 california-bru...@earthfiles.net  also the 'real-deal'  -JO-

 Date: Mon, 25 Jan 2010 13:08:02 -0700
 From: alexander.holl...@gmail.com
 To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Subject: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
 push along space travel?


 
 Not got a Hotmail account? Sign-up now - Free



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
Thank you to both steves, steven and stephen.  I've got them though, I
was hoping there were some others to add to my list?

On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:17 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:
 From Alexander:

 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated
 to helping push along space travel?

 Used to be the L-5 Society.

 Seems L-5 merged with the National Space Institute and the duo renamed
 themselves the National Space Society

 http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/N/National_Space_Society.html

 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks





[Vo]:OFF TOPIC Davos predictions: predictably wrong?

2010-01-25 Thread Jed Rothwell

Here are some predictions quoted from Davos meetings:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/01/24/AR2010012403399.htmlhttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/01/24/AR2010012403399.html 



I bring this up here because it demonstrates that so-called experts 
are often wrong. So it is not surprising they don't get cold fusion, 
and a lot of them don't even understand hybrid automobiles. To be 
more precise, I think these quotes demonstrate that:


1. Some subjects are beyond anyone's knowledge. There can be no 
experts in them. Predictions about the economy (2008, John Snow) 
probably fall in this category.


2. Some people who are considered experts do not deserve that title. 
In these examples, it turned out that Ken Lay (2001) was not a 
financial expert; he was a crook. And Colin Powell (2003) was no 
expert on political intelligence relating to Saddam Hussein. He 
probably is an expert on military intelligence, if anyone is, but 
that does not extend to politics or the intentions of leaders. 
Granted these are difficult subjects. Perhaps a leader's intention is 
an example of #1, because the leader himself does not know what he 
will do in the future.


By the way, I think Bill Gates (2004) was right and spam has been 
largely eliminated.


Out of all subjects, technology is the easiest thing to accurately 
predict the future, at least for the next 20 to 50 years. Things like 
politics, social trends, fundamental physics research, religion and 
so on are harder, because they are serendipitous and they largely 
depend on whimsey and imagination. The near-term limits to technology 
is mainly bounded by existing engineering limitations, which change 
only slowly. We already know what optimum hybrid automobile will be 
like, and approximately how much it will cost, even though hybrid 
technology is still in its early stages.


Very few people are good at predicting the future in any field. In my 
opinion, Arthur Clarke was the best in the last 150 years. Clarke 
said that Hugo Gernsback thought of everything.


I have a book somewhere of predictions made in 1890 about a variety 
of subjects and how the future will be in 1990. The technical 
predictions made by Westinghouse and some other engineers were 
remarkably accurate. Ah, ha. Here is a paragraph about in a critique 
I wrote of Mark Mills (unrelated to Randell Mills):


. . . Mills tries to make George Westinghouse look foolish, by 
quoting him out of context. . . . Westinghouse wrote in 1893 that a 
speed of 90 to 100 miles an hour could be secured with modern 
locomotives and with improvements which are sure to come. [D. 
Walter, Then And Now, (American and World Geographic Publishing, 
1992)] He meant exactly what he said: locomotives in 1893 could go 
100 mph. This was common knowledge. The point of his essay was that 
slower speeds are more economical and safer for various reasons, and 
he predicted that most trains would travel at 40 mph in the future. 
That turned out to be a little optimistic: most trains carry freight, 
and the national average speed is 30 mph. [Sources: CSX 
transportation, the Alaska Railroad, U.S. Department of 
Transportation.] It seems unlikely they will ever go faster. A few 
passenger trains in France and Japan have achieved straight track 
speeds as high as 160 mph. Their average speed in actual travel is 
much lower because of braking, the distance between stations, curves, 
and other factors that Westinghouse spelled out. They are powered by 
electricity, just as Westinghouse predicted.


. . . Mills says, Westinghouse, in 1893, thought about travel in 
1993 in terms of how fast trains might travel -- which he egregiously 
underestimated in any case. Others, not involved in the rail industry 
of 1893, foresaw a future enhanced by far faster and different forms 
of travel, including aviation, despite the fact that the Wright 
brothers' first historic flight was at that time a decade away. 
Westinghouse did not egregiously underestimate; he overestimated 
slightly. He was talking about ground-level locomotive drawn railroad 
trains, not aviation, automobiles, elevated trains, trolley cars or 
any other vehicle. He knew that lighter vehicles could safely attain 
faster speeds.



- Jed


Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Jed Rothwell
If the space elevator people succeed the rest will be easy. I would 
include the elevator advocates and experimentalists in the top ranks 
of those promoting space travel.


I don't know how much support NSS is giving elevators but they should 
be a top priority. NASA, unfortunately, gave the elevator people the 
frozen boot years ago, in favor of retro-design rockets.


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
unfortunately, space elevator research has stalled due to a lot of
issues with voltage differentials in the upper atmosphere.  The last
test I heard of of stretching a ribbon between the ground and leo,
after it got about 5 miles long, it vaporized in a discharge, acting
as a ground.  not pretty.

On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:34 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
 If the space elevator people succeed the rest will be easy. I would include
 the elevator advocates and experimentalists in the top ranks of those
 promoting space travel.

 I don't know how much support NSS is giving elevators but they should be a
 top priority. NASA, unfortunately, gave the elevator people the frozen boot
 years ago, in favor of retro-design rockets.

 - Jed





Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Terry Blanton
On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 2:18 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:

 Terry Blanton or some other magnet motor expert can probably tell us what
 the minimum excess would be to allow a self-sustaining gadget.


That's like being a pink unicorn expert; but, with Sprain, considering
the conversion losses and other inefficiencies, we calculated about
280% efficiency of the motor was required.

T



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 03:27 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
 Thank you to both steves, steven and stephen.  I've got them though, I
 was hoping there were some others to add to my list?

Did you check the links page at NSS?

http://www.nss.org/spacelinks/

Under Organizations they list about 20.  You probably know them all
already, but worth checking just in case.

Are you familiar with SSI?

http://ssi.org/

They're kind of low profile but back when O'Neill was running them, they
were one of the few organizations actually pursuing research into how to
build colonies in space (like, doing experiments, testing materials,
working with mass drivers, that kind of thing).  I haven't followed them
in recent years, don't know what they're up to these days.


 
 On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:17 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
 svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:
 From Alexander:

 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated
 to helping push along space travel?

 Used to be the L-5 Society.

 Seems L-5 merged with the National Space Institute and the duo renamed
 themselves the National Space Society

 http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/N/National_Space_Society.html

 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks


 



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Terry Blanton
On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 2:53 PM, Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.com wrote:

 Hadn't seen that.  I recall seeing a quote from him which seemed to
 imply that Orbo was doing 3:1 (unmeasured, of course!) but I can't find
 it now, so maybe I'm wrong.


No, you are correct.  3:1 was the claim, For every watt you put in,
you get one watt of heat and two watts of useable electricity out.

(maybe not exact quote)

T



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Terry Blanton
On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 3:13 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:

 I sure hope I'm wrong.

Me too.  It looks like they have two replicants who have joined the
fray from the most recent piccys on their facebook:

http://www.flickr.com/photos/steornofficial/4304018674/

T



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 03:39 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
 unfortunately, space elevator research has stalled due to a lot of
 issues with voltage differentials in the upper atmosphere.  The last
 test I heard of of stretching a ribbon between the ground and leo,
 after it got about 5 miles long, it vaporized in a discharge, acting
 as a ground.  not pretty.

I don't recall that.

I know the tethered satellite experiment done on the Shuttle failed with
a burned cable, but I hadn't heard of any further work with long tethers
after that.

I'd be interested in hearing more about the 5 mile cable drop-and-fry
from LEO, if you have a link to more info.


 
 On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:34 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
 If the space elevator people succeed the rest will be easy. I would include
 the elevator advocates and experimentalists in the top ranks of those
 promoting space travel.

 I don't know how much support NSS is giving elevators but they should be a
 top priority. NASA, unfortunately, gave the elevator people the frozen boot
 years ago, in favor of retro-design rockets.

 - Jed


 



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
I did not look at the links page, thank you.

and ssi is exactly the kind of thing im looking for.  thank you again.

On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:52 PM, Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.com wrote:


 On 01/25/2010 03:27 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
 Thank you to both steves, steven and stephen.  I've got them though, I
 was hoping there were some others to add to my list?

 Did you check the links page at NSS?

 http://www.nss.org/spacelinks/

 Under Organizations they list about 20.  You probably know them all
 already, but worth checking just in case.

 Are you familiar with SSI?

 http://ssi.org/

 They're kind of low profile but back when O'Neill was running them, they
 were one of the few organizations actually pursuing research into how to
 build colonies in space (like, doing experiments, testing materials,
 working with mass drivers, that kind of thing).  I haven't followed them
 in recent years, don't know what they're up to these days.



 On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:17 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
 svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:
 From Alexander:

 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated
 to helping push along space travel?

 Used to be the L-5 Society.

 Seems L-5 merged with the National Space Institute and the duo renamed
 themselves the National Space Society

 http://www.daviddarling.info/encyclopedia/N/National_Space_Society.html

 Regards
 Steven Vincent Johnson
 www.OrionWorks.com
 www.zazzle.com/orionworks








Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 03:55 PM, Terry Blanton wrote:
 On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 3:13 PM, OrionWorks - Steven V Johnson
 svj.orionwo...@gmail.com wrote:
 
 I sure hope I'm wrong.
 
 Me too.  It looks like they have two replicants who have joined the
 fray from the most recent piccys on their facebook:
 
 http://www.flickr.com/photos/steornofficial/4304018674/

Replication of **WHAT**??

They're not demonstrating OU (in any visible form), so what, exactly, is
being replicated?


 
 T
 



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 03:16 PM 1/25/2010, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:



On 01/25/2010 03:08 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
 Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
 push along space travel?


http://www.nss.org/



Well, I was Administrator of the L-5 Society, over thirty years ago, 
which was later absorbed into the National Space Society





Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence


On 01/25/2010 04:09 PM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote:
 At 03:16 PM 1/25/2010, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:
 
 
 On 01/25/2010 03:08 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
  Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
  push along space travel?
 

 http://www.nss.org/
 
 
 Well, I was Administrator of the L-5 Society, over thirty years ago,

That is seriously cool!



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
best link ive found so far.

http://www.data4science.net/essays.php?EssayID=850
hmm, i think its the same one you are talking about.  I THOUGHT there
was another one done, but i could be wrong.

On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:58 PM, Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.com wrote:


 On 01/25/2010 03:39 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
 unfortunately, space elevator research has stalled due to a lot of
 issues with voltage differentials in the upper atmosphere.  The last
 test I heard of of stretching a ribbon between the ground and leo,
 after it got about 5 miles long, it vaporized in a discharge, acting
 as a ground.  not pretty.

 I don't recall that.

 I know the tethered satellite experiment done on the Shuttle failed with
 a burned cable, but I hadn't heard of any further work with long tethers
 after that.

 I'd be interested in hearing more about the 5 mile cable drop-and-fry
 from LEO, if you have a link to more info.



 On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 1:34 PM, Jed Rothwell jedrothw...@gmail.com wrote:
 If the space elevator people succeed the rest will be easy. I would include
 the elevator advocates and experimentalists in the top ranks of those
 promoting space travel.

 I don't know how much support NSS is giving elevators but they should be a
 top priority. NASA, unfortunately, gave the elevator people the frozen boot
 years ago, in favor of retro-design rockets.

 - Jed








Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Alexander Hollins
Ditto.  I am in awe.

On Mon, Jan 25, 2010 at 2:28 PM, Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.com wrote:


 On 01/25/2010 04:09 PM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote:
 At 03:16 PM 1/25/2010, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:


 On 01/25/2010 03:08 PM, Alexander Hollins wrote:
  Is anyone here familiar with any organizations dedicated to helping
  push along space travel?
 

 http://www.nss.org/


 Well, I was Administrator of the L-5 Society, over thirty years ago,

 That is seriously cool!





Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Jed Rothwell

Alexander Hollins wrote:


unfortunately, space elevator research has stalled due to a lot of
issues with voltage differentials in the upper atmosphere.


I have a book on this topic, B. E. Edwards, E. A Westling, The Space 
Elevator, (no publisher listed). This is well written and 
authoritative. The authors discount this problem on p. 130 - 131, 
with a technical discussion which I cannot easily copy, ending with 
this comment:


Even without the math we should be able to appraise the situation on 
an intuitive level. We do not drain the whole State of Texas of its 
thunderstorms by putting up one lightening rod. When we erect a TV 
antenna we don't drain away all the radio waves so that our neighbors 
don't get any. (Don't laugh, an obnoxious neighbor once  blamed his 
poor reception on just such a claim.)


- Jed



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Jed Rothwell

Alexander Hollins wrote:

The last test I heard of of stretching a ribbon between the ground 
and leo, after it got about 5 miles long . . .


I do not think anyone has tested such a long tether, and I am sure no 
one has tested between low earth orbit and the ground. That would be 
impossible, given how quickly the tether would move at the ground, or 
even the upper atmosphere. It would burn up, just the shuttle did 
when there was a problem with the heat shield.


I think you are confused with reports of a tether being used to generate power.

Do you recall when this test was conducted?

Edwards and Westling's book was published in 2003.

- Jed



Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Harry Veeder




- Original Message 
 From: Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.com
 To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
 Sent: Mon, January 25, 2010 1:09:10 PM
 Subject: Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY


 
 What we absolutely will *not* see:
 
 -- A true self-runner, which convinces all but the most pathological of
 skeptics.  Will not happen -- not from Steorn.  Not now, not ever.
 This includes motors with no external power supply, and motors driven by
 capacitors (which are shown conclusively to remain charged during the
 run) instead of batteries.


In the last set of videos, Sean made it pretty clear that it is not part of 
Steorn's mission to build such a device. He expects future developers of orbo 
technology to build one. If he does present a self-runner, he is a liar! ;-)

Harry


  __
Looking for the perfect gift? Give the gift of Flickr! 

http://www.flickr.com/gift/



Re: [Vo]:OT: Space travel, moon colonization.

2010-01-25 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 04:28 PM 1/25/2010, Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:


On 01/25/2010 04:09 PM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax wrote:

 Well, I was Administrator of the L-5 Society, over thirty years ago,

That is seriously cool!


Thanks. I thought so myself. I've done some other cool things, too! 
Right now I'm working on several projects -- that's always been the 
case, the good news and the bad news.


I'm working on, of course, cold fusion. That's what brought me here.

But I'm also working on social structures (organizational 
technology) that can avoid the kinds of mistakes involved in 
rejecting cold fusion. And, as well, the space colonization concept. 
More accurately, if these things were rejected, we'd know exactly 
why, and pathways would exist for gaining reconsideration if 
circumstances or evidence change. Efficiently.


And, then, what happened to the L-5 Society? That, too, has to do 
with defects in organizational structure (of the Society), very 
common. Same problem with Wikipedia, in fact. Same problem all over 
the effing place and very few people looking at the root 
problems, just lots of people complaining about the symptoms.


So I'm changing that, adding and attracting more people to at least 
start looking at it First step, eh?




Re: [Vo]:STEORN: THE FINAL DEMO ... ...PROVING OVERUNITY

2010-01-25 Thread Abd ul-Rahman Lomax

At 07:45 PM 1/25/2010, Harry Veeder wrote:

- Original Message 
 From: Stephen A. Lawrence sa...@pobox.com

 What we absolutely will *not* see:

 -- A true self-runner, which convinces all but the most pathological of
 skeptics.  Will not happen -- not from Steorn.  Not now, not ever.
 This includes motors with no external power supply, and motors driven by
 capacitors (which are shown conclusively to remain charged during the
 run) instead of batteries.

In the last set of videos, Sean made it pretty clear that it is not 
part of Steorn's mission to build such a device. He expects future 
developers of orbo technology to build one. If he does present a 
self-runner, he is a liar! ;-)


Or, hey, they managed to find an easy way to do it.

However, self-running is a red herring. What we would want to know 
are these things, which they could easily provide:


The inertia of the rotor, i.e, how much energy it stores at a 
particular rotational speed, so we can understand how much energy is 
stored at a particular RPM level.


How this energy decays (the rotor slows down) in the absence of any 
input, to determine the energy being dissipated in friction or other losses.


How much energy is being supplied from the power supply, which is 
difficult to assess with a battery, but far easier with a capacitor 
bank, which could be designed to emulate the low resistance of a 
battery, avoiding the problems of high current spiking of batteries, 
which could produce spurious results. The capacitor voltage will show 
the rate of energy supply from the capacitor bank, which can be 
calibrated by dumping current through a resistor of known value.


So we can compare the energy being accumulated in the rotor with the 
energy being supplied from the power supply. It is not necessary to 
reach self-running, which might fail even if the system is overunity, 
by not being sufficiently efficient in recovering power from the rotor.


It is also possible to apply an electromagnetic brake, a pickup coil 
that generates current from the motion of the permanent magnets past 
it. If the coil is open circuit, it will not slow the rotor at all, 
but as resistance in series with the coil is decreased, the coil will 
draw  more energy from the rotor and slow it. This can be adjusted to 
keep the rotor at constant speed, thus providing an almost direct 
measure of power being supplied to the rotor by the process. (It 
would only be off by the friction, measured already by the slowing down study).


Then, study of and measurements of voltage and current in the 
toroidal circuit can be performed, and the disposition of the power 
dissipated there determined. How much power is being dissipated in 
the coil and in other circuit elements. How much heat is being generated?


Calorimetry of the whole system would, of course, be of great 
interest. If the rotor is held at constant RPM by a brake as 
described, then the total heat generated should be directly 
correlated to the consumption of power from the capacitor bank, and 
be about the same, unless it is overunity. If it's over unity by a 
factor of two, that would be hard to miss, eh?


The reason for using a capacitor bank is that the voltage provides a 
measure of stored energy, and its decline, that is not dependent upon 
calculations from what may be ridiculously complex waveforms.


The most difficult of all these would be the calorimetry, I assume. 
The rest is trivial. The rest, however, might make the calorimetry unnecessary.


They are presumably not presenting calorimetry data in the final 
demo, as of a few days ago that was still a future project, not a 
done deal, it seems.


The back-EMF claims, which seem reasonable as a first approximation, 
imply that all the energy of the battery is going into heating, in 
the end. So, put a heat sink on the coil, and measure the thermal 
mass of the assembly, which can estimate energy dissipation in the 
coil from differential temperature measurements. Measure or calculate 
heat in the rest of the circuit and add it all up. Does this sum 
correlate well with what is expected from energy drawn from the 
battery? Or is there some missing energy? And, if so, how does the 
missing energy compare with the energy appearing in rotation of the rotor?


Let me guess. The energy appearing in the rotor is quite the same as 
missing energy in the coil circuit, or indistinguishable from noise 
in the measurements.


It is not necessary to understand the system adequately to calculate 
stuff, what calculations are needed should be simple ones, such as 
rotational inertia from the effect of known energy draw (through a 
pickup coil, for example).


Instead, let me guess. It will be complicated, with calculations 
being asserted as proper and complete, neglecting minor variations. 
Such as the claim that there is no back EMF, based on a display 
that only showed that, sort of, what we'd expect from back EMF could 
not be seen. But which would