Re: [Vo]:the nascent discipline of LENR Engineering
http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/news/2011/jul/19/radioactive-decay-accounts-for-half-of-earths-heat Radioactive decay accounts for half of Earth's heat "One thing we can say with near certainty is that radioactive decay alone is not enough to account for Earth's heat energy," says KamLAND collaborator Stuart Freedman of the Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory in California. "Whether the rest is primordial heat or comes from another source is an unanswered question." Could LENR be the source of heat production inside the earth? On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 12:16 PM, Peter Gluckwrote: > > http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2016/02/feb-19-2016-toward-new-discipline-of.html > > The results of the 350 days Test- a 30 days mystery? > Positive or negative but NOT imaginary > > peter > > -- > Dr. Peter Gluck > Cluj, Romania > http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com >
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs
On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 1:29 PM, Alain Sepedawrote: Someone in france, Gaspard Koenig support an interesting view on liberalism. > the system should support autonomy, meaning that people should be secure > enough to dare to behave autonomously and not to depend on anybody. > I like this line of thinking. > real efficient behavior for the poor is not to share your wealth but allow > them to produce it. > I think there's another intuition that is behind all of the focus on basic income and economic inequality, at least in the US. There's a general feeling, perhaps even an assumption, that each person should have access to the same opportunity, e.g., to make it big, to invent something new, to write some famous novel, etc., even if they don't capitalize on that opportunity. So a child that grows up in a poor part of Brooklyn should not be limited by that poverty and should be able to go on and do the kinds of things that a person growing up in a prosperous part of northern California might be able to do. For Americans, at any rate, as long as the disparities are small enough to turn a blind eye, which is something we're very good at, then we are able to continue to believe that people have equal opportunity. But in a world in which automation and other changes result in a massive centralization of economic and political power, it is no longer possible to maintain this self-understanding of equal access to opportunity. So if things continue in the present direction, people understand that the poor kid in Brooklyn will have little practical chance of starting some important business, etc., in the same way that we would be amazed if a kid living on the streets of India went on to found a company like Apple. It's possible, of course, but highly unlikely. A sense that things are heading in such a direction might be leading to additional focus and reflection. Eric
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent Robots??
On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 2:48 PM, Eric Walkerwrote: Here is Bill O'Reilly's rebuttal, which I haven't fully read, but include > for anyone who is interested: > Sorry! That's Tim O'Reilly, not Bill O'Reilly. Eric
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent Robots??
Chris I agree with you about the equality under law. It is a joke. OJ Simpson etc. The poll you showed I am less impressed with. Too many of the questions are based on the government and how it is done. That type of question will probably make people vote along party lines. It does not say how many of each group is polled so the significance of the numbers are questionable. In any case the richest 1% is a sad split and in this case they have very little impact. Jed's idea that 13% of the 'elite' is better than nothing is disturbing as there is no value in waiting for the government to take action. I do not know Nick Hanauer. I think he is right. Going back 100 plus years there were revolutions because government did not react in time. Seldom have such revolutions created a new better world. However, the intention was to do so. In this day and age with so good communication this type of reaction is around the corner any day. If the government is a king or a class by themselves, which have more privileges than people in general coupled with a very uneven spread of wealth, then the prerequisite for revolution is there. Many people think that a distribution of the wealth via the government will be effective. (Why now, when they never did anything effective.) No, it is a question of adopting new technology, new law etc so people have a feeling of autonomy. That is a very important factor often translated as freedom. Alain has a good argument for a base income for all, in a parallel tread. It is obviously not time yet. It will take one of three routes as I can see. 1. People can see the advantages and it will change the attitude and politicians will no longer be a class by themselves. 2. A revolution. (Not desired as it creates instability.) 3. The government implement a watered down form to keep the revolution at bay. Most likely but with no long term value. There are of course many ways it might not happen in addition. Best Regards , Lennart Thornros lenn...@thornros.com +1 916 436 1899 Whatever you vividly imagine, ardently desire, sincerely believe and enthusiastically act upon, must inevitably come to pass. (PJM) On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 11:49 AM, Jed Rothwellwrote: > Chris Zell wrote: > > Attitudes of the rich? >> >> >> >> >> https://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/05/29/1302820/-Someone-finally-polled-the-1-And-it-s-not-pretty?detail=emailclassic >> >> >> >> There you go. Yes, they have a tendency to be SOB’s. >> > > Ugh. Well . . . On the other hand, 13% of them say it is "the > responsibility of the government to reduce the differences in income > between people with high incomes and those with low incomes." > > 13% is better than nothing. > > 46% of other people said this. They are Democrats, I am guessing. > > Other wealthy people throughout history have said this sort of thing. > Theodore Roosevelt, for example. This is called enlightened self interest. > Here is a modern example I posted before: > > "The Pitchforks Are Coming… For Us Plutocrats" > > > http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014#ixzz3hr7nlghY > > - Jed > >
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent Robots??
Here is a piece by Paul Graham, beloved of the startup crowd for his involvement in Y Combinator: http://www.paulgraham.com/ineq.html In this piece, Graham advances the depressing thesis that the post-WWII period of middle-class prosperity was a historical moment, and that what we are seeing now is a reversion to the historical norm of big disparities in wealth. One fascinating thing about his essay is that he seems to be arguing that this is as it should be, and that we should just limit our efforts to eliminating dire poverty. Graham believes that if he is successful in what he is doing with promoting startups, it will have the effect of increasing the gap between the wealthy and everyone else. Here is Bill O'Reilly's rebuttal, which I haven't fully read, but include for anyone who is interested: https://medium.com/the-wtf-economy/what-paul-graham-is-missing-about-inequality-a9f7e1613059 Eric
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent Robots??
Chris Zellwrote: Attitudes of the rich? > > > > > https://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/05/29/1302820/-Someone-finally-polled-the-1-And-it-s-not-pretty?detail=emailclassic > > > > There you go. Yes, they have a tendency to be SOB’s. > Ugh. Well . . . On the other hand, 13% of them say it is "the responsibility of the government to reduce the differences in income between people with high incomes and those with low incomes." 13% is better than nothing. 46% of other people said this. They are Democrats, I am guessing. Other wealthy people throughout history have said this sort of thing. Theodore Roosevelt, for example. This is called enlightened self interest. Here is a modern example I posted before: "The Pitchforks Are Coming… For Us Plutocrats" http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014#ixzz3hr7nlghY - Jed
[Vo]:Intelligent Robots??
Attitudes of the rich? https://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/05/29/1302820/-Someone-finally-polled-the-1-And-it-s-not-pretty?detail=emailclassic There you go. Yes, they have a tendency to be SOB's.
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs
2016-02-19 18:00 GMT+01:00 H LV: > However, basic > income > should be high enough so that paid work does not need to be incentivized > by money. Paid work > Someone in france, Gaspard Koenig support an interesting view on liberalism. the system should support autonomy, meaning that people should be secure enough to dare to behave autonomously and not to depend on anybody. the problem with basic income is that it should be paid anyway by someone who is paid for his activity. Basic income is good not because it shares, but because it allows people to be free enough to dare to produce better, and thus to increase the total value, or reduce the total required effort or resource . This is the same reason why "social security" (health, retirement, education saving/insurance) if good for economics (people feel safer thus produce better, invest riskier and consume more) real efficient behavior for the poor is not to share your wealth but allow them to produce it. economic growth and international commerce have done more for Chinese extreme poverty, and even African poverty (just beginning, mostly by Chinese immigrant influence - joke), than all charity programs. best solution to save people from cataclysm is to make them richer
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs
H LVwrote: > A similar judgement can be made about slavery: it is bad for the economy > because it is inefficient. > Yes. That was true even in the 19th century, which is one the reasons the U.S. north was wealthier than the south. Coerced labor is inherently inefficient. Nowadays, even enthusiastic slave labor could not compete. For example, even when people volunteer and work enthusiastically for free, they cannot bake goods as cheaply as machinery can. > However, the rich do not want to be viewed as selfish, so > paid work must be portrayed as morally superior to any other > notion > of work. > > Let us be careful not to generalize about rich people. There are all kinds. There are Democratic ones in Republican ones, although they do tend to gravitate to the Republican Party. What I hope is that most rich people will be pragmatic. Even the amoral ones mainly want more money. They do not care what happens to other people, but they don't wish them harm. I hope that we can convince the wealthy class that a guaranteed income will increase overall wealth and give them more business opportunities. In that case they will support it. People can change their minds quickly about social policy. I was surprised to see how quickly support for same-sex marriage spread through the U.S. Here in Georgia, some conservatives are still fighting it, but it has support from corporations such as Coca-Cola that do not want to rock the boat. Mainly, they want to sell soft drinks to gay people, I assume. I can well imagine that Coca-Cola would be thrilled to see a moderate guaranteed income, given the mass market they serve. Frankly, I do not see why you would care that other people are getting a guaranteed income as long as you yourself are doing well. Money is not a zero-sum resource. Why should anyone care whether other people work as long as you get the goods and services you want? Back when we needed people to do all jobs it made sense to get angry at people who shirked. When I go to the Post Office and see people loafing around not working, it upsets me because I am standing in line, and because I want them to deliver my mail quickly. When I send an email, machines do all the work. There are no human workers involved. No one shirks. Suppose I go to a hardware store to buy a gadget. The employees are standing around talking instead of helping me. That bothers me. So I go to Amazon.com and buy the gadget instead. I eliminate human interaction. Yeah, that's cold. It is unfeeling. It reduces overall employment. But I just want the gadget. I am not there to make a social statement. (Actually, the people at Lowe's are friendly & helpful. But the other day they did not have a plastic toilet paper rod of the right size, so I got it on Amazon instead. Question: why are there two different standards for toilet paper rods?!) - Jed
[Vo]:the nascent discipline of LENR Engineering
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2016/02/feb-19-2016-toward-new-discipline-of.html The results of the 350 days Test- a 30 days mystery? Positive or negative but NOT imaginary peter -- Dr. Peter Gluck Cluj, Romania http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs
On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 3:18 AM, Alain Sepedawrote: > > > the good way to judge policy is not through morality, but through > incentive network. > > >> A similar judgement can be made about slavery: it is bad for the economy because it is inefficient. The argument sounds good, but slave owners are more concerned about their personal loss of status in the new order. On the other hand they don't want to be viewed as selfish, so they make arguments about the moral inferiority of black people. Making sure basic income remains low enough to incentivise paid work is about reassuring the rich they can still have broad social control over those on the basic income. However, the rich do not want to be viewed as selfish, so paid work must be portrayed as morally superior to any other notion of work. (For example being in school is not considered work. It is only considered preparation for work. No wonder why so many young people hate school.) However, basic income should be high enough so that paid work does not need to be incentivized by money. Paid work occurs in the marketplace according the values of the marketplace. A desire to work in the marketplace should be incentive enough. The extra income one receives is just a pleasant side effect of working in the marketplace. It should not be the rai·son d'ê·tre for participati on in the marketplace. Harry Harry
Fwd: [Vo]:Intelligent robots make millions of jobs
The books are soft. The apps are soft. The board will have a value added software injection. We are making nothing at all, just vaporware; but there they are products. Welcome to a strange new land.. -Original Message- From: Frank ZnidarsicTo: vortex-l ; rvargo1062 Sent: Fri, Feb 19, 2016 10:59 am Subject: Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots make millions of jobs Again I am using new technology to take products to market. I could never do this with 1990 technology. I am working with a friend Ron A. on the next generation of Monitoring. A board will blue tooth into a tablet. The tablet will send alarm messages upon a contact closure on the board. We are not building a board, just programming an existing one. Audrino I believe. I was inspired by the words of Robert Vargo, "Capitalism Rewards thous who take a product to market!" Google to carry my products next. At this point I may have overdone at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3Ddigital-text=Znidarsic+Science+Books=n%3A133140011%2Ck%3AZnidarsic+Science+Books Barns and Noble below: http://www.barnesandnoble.com/s/%22Frank%20Znidarsic%22/_/N-8q8?Ntk=P_key_Contributor_List=mode%20matchall=SEM=BNB_DRS_Winter+15+Author+LT+ZN_&2sid=Google_p=SEGoS8230958_clickid=402x8230958 Frank Znidarsic
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots make millions of jobs
Again I am using new technology to take products to market. I could never do this with 1990 technology. I am working with a friend Ron A. on the next generation of Monitoring. A board will blue tooth into a tablet. The tablet will send alarm messages upon a contact closure on the board. We are not building a board, just programming an existing one. Audrino I believe. I was inspired by the words of Robert Vargo, "Capitalism Rewards thous who take a product to market!" Google to carry my products next. At this point I may have overdone at Amazon http://www.amazon.com/s/ref=nb_sb_noss?url=search-alias%3Ddigital-text=Znidarsic+Science+Books=n%3A133140011%2Ck%3AZnidarsic+Science+Books Barns and Noble below: http://www.barnesandnoble.com/s/%22Frank%20Znidarsic%22/_/N-8q8?Ntk=P_key_Contributor_List=mode%20matchall=SEM=BNB_DRS_Winter+15+Author+LT+ZN_&2sid=Google_p=SEGoS8230958_clickid=402x8230958 Frank Znidarsic
[Vo]:Intelligent Robots??
I know this is a bit off topics but we have drifted off into utopian (or dystopian?) scenarios. In the US, there is a severe problem with the lack of equality under law. Whether it's a lack of public defenders or Federal agencies that thuggishly pursue small companies instead of big ones, the problem is there. We have Too Big To Jail banks and actual defense arguments in court shielding wealthy individuals in sentencing - because 'they would not do well in prison'. There is a recent controversy about a Silicon Valley type publically protesting that he should not be offended by the sight or presence of homeless people in his city. Adding new technology to this unjust state may make it worse - unless that tech can decentralize things. Go LENR.
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs
Alain Sepedawrote: if you have an income that is not removed if you work and get paid, > whatever it is, then you have no incentive not to work, and much incentive > to work, even for cheap, but never if it is not productive. > That is true, and important. Many wealthy people work hard even though they do not need the money, but they seldom do useless busy-work. Except for playing golf. > if you subsidize obsolete industry, or industry done by less trained > people in poorer countries, you multiply obsolete industry, deter modern > industry, deter trained workers in rich countries, and promote low > competence workers in rich countries . . . > Good point. > people always forget that conditional subsidizes is a punishing tax on not > deserving the subsidies. > Well, for people who don't get the subsidies. "Deserving" is not the issue. The U.S. tax system subsidizes home owners. That is unfair to people who rent apartments and houses. In other words, for every economic action there is an equal and opposite reaction. That is not the so-called "law of unintended consequences." In most cases we see the consequences, including deleterious ones, but we decide it is worth the cost. - Jed
Re: [Vo]:Intelligent robots threaten millions of jobs
to explain more simply the interest of UNCONDITIONAL basic income. if you have an income that is not removed if you work and get paid, whatever it is, then you have no incentive not to work, and much incentive to work, even for cheap, but never if it is not productive. In this way basic income, unlike charity, promote work, but not absurd work, only productive work. This answer the catholic fear that people get lasy. People are mostly rational, for local decision. take from another perspective, if you subsidize poor, you multiply poor, and reduce rich. if you subsidized unemployed, you multiply unemployed, and deter workers, in a relative way (you motivate less). if you subsidize obsolete industry, or industry done by less trained people in poorer countries, you multiply obsolete industry, deter modern industry, deter trained workers in rich countries, and promote low competence workers in rich countries, while detering induistry in place where it is the cheapest and people are not trained enough... the good way to judge policy is not through morality, but through incentive network. this way of analysing situation is valuable too for cold fusion, as it clear explains the groupthink that emerged rationally around LENR evidences. there was big subsidize for hotfusion, that were bigger because it was more expensive. matching subsidies with cost motivate people to propose higher costs. this is why you should not subsidize relative to the cost (the need of the poor, the need of big science), but fixed, unconditional, or at best to the opportunities. science is also subsidized if consensual, and if you integarte that publishing an article have much value for a scientist, then peer review process, and high impact journal decide of a network of subsidies. Current peer review by consensu tha promote high impact journal promote that money get to money, I mean citation index goes to citation index. people always forget that conditional subsidizes is a punishing tax on not deserving the subsidies. 2016-02-18 20:12 GMT+01:00 H LV: > > from > > > http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/welfare/2016/02/how-i-learnt-stop-worrying-and-love-basic-income > > > How I learnt to stop worrying and love Basic Income > > John McDonnell's decision to consider moving to the benefit is the right > one, says Jonathan Reynolds. > > The > first time Basic Income was pitched to me I have to admit I thought it > sounded completely unrealistic. An unconditional payment to each > individual, to support their full lives, whether working, studying, caring > or being cared for? I remember sitting in Stalybridge Labour Club with a > beer after a meeting, when my friend Gordon introduced me to the concept. > “How else,” asked Gordon, “will we ensure sufficient support for people as > they have to retrain throughout their working lives - not just for several > different jobs, but for several different careers?”. > > Gordon’s question is the right one, and it stuck with me. My outlook on > politics is fundamentally shaped by my experience of growing up in the > North East in the 1980s. The closure of entire industries, like coal and > shipbuilding, had dramatic and fundamental consequences for the areas built > around them. The same is true of the tragic situation in the steel industry > today. I still believe the Thatcher Government’s abject response to > deindustrialisation lies at the heart of many of the problems the UK faces > today, such as low skills, worklessness, poor public health and so on. The > UK spent a fraction of what a country like Sweden spent on education and > retraining as traditional industries declined, and we have suffered the > consequences. > > But what should the left’s response be to this sort of seismic economic > change? The traditional response, calling for the nationalisation of > failing industries, doesn’t solve the problem. Running an industry at a > loss because it is subsidised by the taxpayer is not a long-term answer. > Globalisation means it was inevitable that the UK would have to exit some > traditional industries – I wouldn’t fancy bringing back the cotton mills to > Stalybridge, for instance – and education and retraining to take part in > new economic opportunities is the only solution. But as technology and the > growth of the MINT countries brings ever more economic disruption, as well > as opportunity, we must have a mechanism to provide people with both > security and a platform from which to be able to access these new > opportunities. Basic Income would do just that. This is the first of my > three justifications for backing it – as a policy to cope with inevitable > but fundamental economic change. > > The second justification concerns our existing welfare state. I have > always been taken aback by the bewildering complexity of our welfare > system. The Child Poverty Action Group Benefits Handbook, which like many > MPs I use to help constituents, is