Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-29 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 8/28/02 11:18:09 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Another MVT deviation: Personal bankrupcy law. I bet most voters would prefer more lenient laws. Fabio Ironically, Todd J. Zywicki is presenting a paper at GMU Friday in which he argues that people make less use of the

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
But I do have a naive question: Is there a median voter for each issue, so that if there n issues, there can be up to n median voters? Or, is there only one median voter who satisfies the vector median as I described above? Can such a person be proven to exist, sort of like a voter

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread Bryan Caplan
fabio guillermo rojas wrote: I think that applications of MVT are very, very sloppy. Four criticisms: 1. You seem to assume that policy responds quite well to public opinion. You assume that if opinion shifts, policy will quickly follow. I believe that policy is very sticky with respect

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread Fred Foldvary
there's nothing rational about being ignorant towards a political system that benefit others at the expence of oneself (or indeed benefit noone at the expense of everyone). It is rational to avoid doing something when the material cost to oneself is greater than the material benefit,

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread fabio guillermo rojas
Another MVT deviation: Marijuana decriminalization Fabio

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 8/28/02 2:02:10 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Sure, there is a little of this. But again, I doubt this matters much. The Supreme Court held off New Deal legislation a little bit for a couple of years, but after 4 years it caved in completely. This must be one of the most

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread Bryan D Caplan
fabio guillermo rojas wrote: Another MVT deviation: Marijuana decriminalization The failure to decriminalize? 75-80% against according to Gallup. And it hasn't really happened anywhere in the U.S. as far as I know, the medical marijuana loophole aside. Which is incidentally a popular

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread Bryan D Caplan
fabio guillermo rojas wrote: Another MVT deviation: Personal bankrupcy law. I bet most voters would prefer more lenient laws. They are already very lenient. There has been a lot of populist resistance to creditors' tentative efforts to lobby to mildly tighten them. --

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-28 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 8/28/02 3:35:39 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Uh, how about the first income tax ever passed? It had super-majority support in amendment form! Congress passed the first federal income tax in 1861, without supermajority support. If you'd asked the average Northern voter

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-27 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 8/27/02 12:19:39 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: 4. Cognitive limitations: I'm no expert, but my hunch is that many people are only willing to get worked up over a small # of issues - taxes, abortion, immigration, defense... and the dedicated might add their favorites like

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-27 Thread Jacob W Braestrup
I may be mistaken here, but don't public choice economists talk about the concept of rational ignorance to explain how small, concentrated groups can gain large focused benefits while spreading the costs in tiny pieces across the broader population? They do - but it doesn't make

RE: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-27 Thread Brian Moore
Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of fabio guillermo rojas Sent: Monday, August 26, 2002 9:03 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: Median Voter and Sampling So what are you getting at? Since there is a series of elections, each with a different median voter

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-27 Thread john hull
--- fabio guillermo rojas [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: 4. Cognitive limitations: I'm no expert, but my hunch is that many people are only willing to get worked up over a small # of issues - taxes, abortion, immigration, defense... and the dedicated might add their favorites like gun control or

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-26 Thread Bryan Caplan
fabio guillermo rojas wrote: Any decent treatment of the MV states that it is the median *actual* voter who matters, not the median *potential* voter. It's the Median VOTER theorem, not the Median CITIZEN theorem, or the Median SENTIENT BEING theorem. I still think this is true but

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-26 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 8/26/02 6:33:51 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: There are several levels of puzzlement. Puzzle #1: The median voter disapproves of existing policy. Puzzle #2: The median voter, primary voters, and party activists ALL disapprove of existing policy. I don't think there are

Re: Median Voter and Sampling

2002-08-24 Thread john hull
--- fabio guillermo rojas [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: There are other sources of non-median-voterness in policy Like the Supreme Court? Brown v. Board of Education might be a good example. Of course it's not a legislative body, so I'm out on a limb here. Maybe there's also a cultural bias