Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-18 Thread Aurelien Jarno
On Thu, Jan 15, 2009 at 10:00:04PM +0100, markus schnalke wrote: Hoi, I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. My current guess is between 1/3

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-18 Thread Raphael Geissert
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE- Hash: SHA1 Russ Allbery wrote: [...] what packages on your servers are missing security patches, basically popularity-contest doesn't submit package versions, so it is not *that* easy to know whether security updates have been installed or not. As for what

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-18 Thread Raphael Geissert
Franklin PIAT wrote: [...] * Some system are unproperly configured and can't submit their popcon (missing http proxy ; smtp server is wrong or blocked by their ISP). Especially when people are travelling. Or there's no internet connection when popcon runs and tries to submit via http so it

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-17 Thread Junichi Uekawa
At Thu, 15 Jan 2009 22:00:04 +0100, markus schnalke wrote: [1 text/plain; us-ascii (7bit)] Hoi, I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result.

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-17 Thread Andrei Popescu
On Sat,17.Jan.09, 01:05:47, Kjeldgaard Morten wrote: On 16/01/2009, at 18.27, Johannes Wiedersich wrote: Did you think about thousands of computers having 'private ips' with some nat translation and/or local proxie? (I'm thinking of computer labs, companies, etc. not just the odd home user).

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-17 Thread Simon Josefsson
Bernd Eckenfels e...@lina.inka.de writes: In article 87d4enbfqd@mocca.josefsson.org you wrote: It would establish an upper bound of well-administrated debian machines, I think. It is a lower bound, since I guess there are more cases where more than one machine is updated. The case that

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Petter Reinholdtsen
[Markus Schnalke] I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. A while back, someone with access to the download logs for security.debian.org tried to

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Neil Williams
On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 08:45:12 +0100 Kjeldgaard Morten m...@bioxray.au.dk wrote: Thanks. Unless you setup some experimental method, any argument should reduce to handwaving or extension of various particular examples.. Surely, it must be possible to get an estimate of the number of

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread markus schnalke
[2009-01-16 10:09] Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org The whole thing is a complete unknown. Of course you're right. But it's the best we have. Instead of leaving it with ``we simply don't know'', I prefer to estimate on the (unsure) data sources that are available. For my case, I received

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Romain Beauxis
Le Friday 16 January 2009 11:51:50 markus schnalke, vous avez écrit : [2009-01-16 10:09] Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org The whole thing is a complete unknown. Of course you're right. But it's the best we have. Instead of leaving it with ``we simply don't know'', I prefer to estimate on

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread markus schnalke
[2009-01-16 12:06] Romain Beauxis to...@rastageeks.org Le Friday 16 January 2009 11:51:50 markus schnalke, vous avez écrit : [2009-01-16 10:09] Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org The whole thing is a complete unknown. Of course you're right. But it's the best we have. Instead of

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Simon Josefsson
Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org writes: On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 08:45:12 +0100 Kjeldgaard Morten m...@bioxray.au.dk wrote: Thanks. Unless you setup some experimental method, any argument should reduce to handwaving or extension of various particular examples.. Surely, it must be

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Franklin PIAT
Hi Noah Slater wrote: On Thu, Jan 15, 2009 at 10:00:04PM +0100, markus schnalke wrote: I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. [..] is like

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Simon Josefsson
James Vega james...@debian.org writes: On Thu, Jan 15, 2009 at 4:55 PM, markus schnalke mei...@marmaro.de wrote: [2009-01-15 22:37] Michael Goetze mgoe...@mgoetze.net before wild speculations ensues, you might want to specify what you really want to know: the percentage of people installing

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Neil Williams
On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 13:24:58 +0100 Simon Josefsson si...@josefsson.org wrote: Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org writes: Surely, it must be possible to get an estimate of the number of downloads of important packages and security updates? I know these downloads also are requested from

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Neil Williams
On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 13:21:29 + Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org wrote: In that case, I'm probably responsible to thousands of 'installations' OK, that's an exaggeration but it's certainly hundreds since Etch. -- Neil Williams = http://www.data-freedom.org/

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Luciano Bello
El Vie 16 Ene 2009, Simon Josefsson escribió: How about numbers for security.debian.org downloads?  That will measure the number of well-administrated debian machines (except those well-administrated machines that use other mirrors). well-administrated *etch* machines. luciano -- To

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Adeodato Simó
* Luciano Bello [Fri, 16 Jan 2009 11:37:39 -0200]: El Vie 16 Ene 2009, Simon Josefsson escribió: How about numbers for security.debian.org downloads?  That will measure the number of well-administrated debian machines (except those well-administrated machines that use other mirrors).

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Simon Josefsson
Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org writes: On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 13:24:58 +0100 Simon Josefsson si...@josefsson.org wrote: Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org writes: Surely, it must be possible to get an estimate of the number of downloads of important packages and security updates? I

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread George Danchev
On Friday 16 January 2009 15:42:38 Neil Williams wrote: On Fri, 16 Jan 2009 13:21:29 + Neil Williams codeh...@debian.org wrote: In that case, I'm probably responsible to thousands of 'installations' OK, that's an exaggeration but it's certainly hundreds since Etch. This is true, but I

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Johannes Wiedersich
-BEGIN PGP SIGNED MESSAGE- Hash: SHA1 Simon Josefsson wrote: Merely the number of distinct IP addresses downloading a particular popular update from security.debian.org at least once would be interesting. Did you think about thousands of computers having 'private ips' with some nat

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Russ Allbery
Petter Reinholdtsen p...@hungry.com writes: A while back, someone with access to the download logs for security.debian.org tried to estimate the number of machines downloading security fixes for Debian, based on the assumption that no-one is using a mirror for security fixes. I am unable to

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Kjeldgaard Morten
On 16/01/2009, at 11.09, Neil Williams wrote: How do you map the number of downloads to the number of users or machines? I have dozens of chroots that I use for multiple reasons. Now, maybe I should use an apt proxy but most of these are cross-building chroots so that doesn't help as the proxy

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread The Fungi
On Fri, Jan 16, 2009 at 11:18:14AM -0800, Russ Allbery wrote: It's worth bearing in mind that that's a bad assumption, too. We use a local security mirror in full knowledge that it's not recommended, but we watch it closely and will manually sync if need be. We do this because we have systems

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Simon Josefsson
Johannes Wiedersich johan...@physik.blm.tu-muenchen.de writes: Simon Josefsson wrote: Merely the number of distinct IP addresses downloading a particular popular update from security.debian.org at least once would be interesting. Did you think about thousands of computers having 'private

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Kjeldgaard Morten
On 16/01/2009, at 23.25, The Fungi wrote: Same here, though with a caching Debian package proxy instead of an actual mirror. Nonetheless, s.d.o only sees one download of a given security update even though it's actually being retrieved by hundreds of machines. On 16/01/2009, at 18.27,

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Bernd Eckenfels
In article 200901161206.13302.to...@rastageeks.org you wrote: If the answer is we don't know, then we don't know. Problem is that you don't give any ground to your claims, hence it is far worse to give any estimation. But if you say we see security donloads from x unique IPs for every new

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread Bernd Eckenfels
In article 87d4enbfqd@mocca.josefsson.org you wrote: It would establish an upper bound of well-administrated debian machines, I think. It is a lower bound, since I guess there are more cases where more than one machine is updated. The case that you download without need or as a duplicate

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-16 Thread The Fungi
On Sat, Jan 17, 2009 at 01:05:47AM +0100, Kjeldgaard Morten wrote: Hundreds of machines accessing proxies, and thousands having private IPs. Are these numbers something you know or are you just throwing them around? Otherwise they can of course be accounted for in the total estimate ;-) I

percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread markus schnalke
Hoi, I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. What do you think? meillo signature.asc Description:

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Michael Goetze
Hi, I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. What do you think? before wild speculations ensues, you

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread markus schnalke
[2009-01-15 22:37] Michael Goetze mgoe...@mgoetze.net before wild speculations ensues, you might want to specify what you really want to know: the percentage of people installing debian systems who use popcon (always/sometimes), or the percentage of installed machines that submit popcon

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread James Vega
On Thu, Jan 15, 2009 at 4:55 PM, markus schnalke mei...@marmaro.de wrote: [2009-01-15 22:37] Michael Goetze mgoe...@mgoetze.net before wild speculations ensues, you might want to specify what you really want to know: the percentage of people installing debian systems who use popcon

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Michael Goetze
in the past on this list, is difficult to determine. And even then it might not help answer your question, for instance if you have a desktop application the percentage of popcon submitters might be higher than average among your users, whereas if you have some software mainly useful on classified

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Patrick Matthäi
Michael Goetze schrieb: Hi, I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. What do you think? before

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Luciano Bello
El Jue 15 Ene 2009, markus schnalke escribió: My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. that means that there is between 78055/(1/3)=234165 and 78055/(2/3)=117,082 of Debian installations. It doesn't look like a big number... I think that we are more. Maybe your estimation is too high.

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Bernd Eckenfels
In article 20090115210004.gv21...@serveme.schnalke.local you wrote: My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. Machines or Users? According to Linuxcounter there are estimated 29,000,000 users and debian has 18.36% which equals in 5m debian users. Popcon lists 78k submissions, which is less than

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Russ Allbery
markus schnalke mei...@marmaro.de writes: I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. What do you think?

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Romain Beauxis
Le Thursday 15 January 2009 23:25:02 Bernd Eckenfels, vous avez écrit : In article 20090115210004.gv21...@serveme.schnalke.local you wrote: My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. Machines or Users? According to Linuxcounter there are estimated 29,000,000 users and debian has 18.36% which

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Noah Slater
On Thu, Jan 15, 2009 at 10:00:04PM +0100, markus schnalke wrote: I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely improve the result. This question of trying to figure

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread markus schnalke
[2009-01-16 05:59] Noah Slater nsla...@tumbolia.org On Thu, Jan 15, 2009 at 10:00:04PM +0100, markus schnalke wrote: I know it is not possible to _know_ the real percentage of uses which submit popcon stats of all users. But I want to ask for guesses, because more oppinions do likely

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread markus schnalke
[2009-01-15 23:25] Bernd Eckenfels e...@lina.inka.de In article 20090115210004.gv21...@serveme.schnalke.local you wrote: My current guess is between 1/3 and 2/3. Machines or Users? Popcon focuses on machines. In the end I want users. But any number would be good. According to

Re: percentage of popcon submitters

2009-01-15 Thread Kjeldgaard Morten
Thanks. Unless you setup some experimental method, any argument should reduce to handwaving or extension of various particular examples.. Surely, it must be possible to get an estimate of the number of downloads of important packages and security updates? I know these downloads also are