Re: UT1 confidence

2007-01-18 Thread Rob Seaman
Steve Allen wrote: The plots by Arias indicate how well UT1 could have been predicted over two and three year intervals for the 40 year interval starting around 1960. It is based on those plots that I have voiced no concerns for the pointing of our telescopes if leap seconds were published

Re: UT1 confidence

2007-01-18 Thread Steve Allen
On Thu 2007-01-18T00:40:56 -0700, M. Warner Losh hath writ: Thus UT1 is not, strictly speaking, a form of solar time This was the point made by Aoki et al. in 1982 http://adsabs.harvard.edu/cgi-bin/nph-bib_query?bibcode=1982A%26A...105..359A when they replaced Newcomb's expressions (which had

Re: UT1 confidence

2007-01-18 Thread Zefram
Steve Allen wrote: http://www.ucolick.org/~sla/leapsecs/torino/arias_3.pdf This is the really interesting one. They present the accuracy of simulated predictions of UT1, and that accuracy is much poorer than the figures we've been discussing so far. But they make it clear that the prediction is

Re: UT1 confidence

2007-01-18 Thread M. Warner Losh
In message: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Zefram [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: : Steve Allen wrote: : http://www.ucolick.org/~sla/leapsecs/torino/arias_3.pdf : : This is the really interesting one. They present the accuracy of : simulated predictions of UT1, and that accuracy is much poorer than :

Re: UT1 confidence

2007-01-18 Thread Steve Allen
On Wed 2007-01-17T21:47:50 -, Robert Jones hath writ: Does anyone know where I can find what the predicted effects of global warming on rotation due to weight redistribution are likely to be and the potential rate of change over the next few decades or centuries, perhaps till all the ice