Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-30 Thread Doug Henwood
Davies, Daniel wrote: We've been through this before, but much of the profits that, say, Ford and GM earn from their finance subsidiaries come from financing cars and trucks. So it's not speculative profit - they're making the money the bankers used to make. Yeh, but it got bigger by an

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-28 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
Rakesh Bhandari wrote: Why should capitalism be more vulnerable to recessions and stagnation simply because the profit rate is falling or low? Low profits mean low investment, which means a slower rate of growth and reduced technical innovation. Profits are the main source of investment

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-28 Thread Doug Henwood
Well, empirically speaking - which I know is embarrassingly vulgar - the best explanation for changes in investment is the change in profits. Marx's argument in this excerpt just doesn't sound right. Doug Rakesh Bhandari wrote: Rakesh Bhandari wrote: Why should capitalism be more vulnerable

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-28 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
Well, empirically speaking - which I know is embarrassingly vulgar - the best explanation for changes in investment is the change in profits. Marx's argument in this excerpt just doesn't sound right. Doug, I am not necessarily disagreeing. I am saying that as long as a falling rate of profit

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-28 Thread Ken Hanly
support this? Cheers, Ken Hanly - Original Message - From: Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED] To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Monday, January 28, 2002 12:33 PM Subject: [PEN-L:22009] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession Well, empirically speaking - which I know is embarrassingly

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-28 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
How you measuring accumulation? If you're measuring profitability in relative rather than absolute terms, shouldn't you measure accumulation relatively as well? Doug, I meant by accumulation what Jim D is (I believe) referring to as net investment. I think I agree with Jim that the

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-28 Thread Michael Perelman
Really it should be expected future profits, but the current profit rate is as good an indicator of expectations as we have. Robert Chirinko has probably done the most on investment as a function of profit. On Mon, Jan 28, 2002 at 01:33:48PM -0500, Doug Henwood wrote: Well, empirically

Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Devine, James wrote: Hasn't he also said that consumer spending is what's been holding up the U.S. economy? My point -- and that of Godley Izureta, who also go beyond surface appearances to think about the determinants of private-sector spending -- is that this prop can't last. Similarly,

Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
Jim D attempts to assure us: actually, it's not an argument in the sense of a quarrel (and definitely not a contradiction à la Monty Python). It's a discussion. (In this thread, I had a argument with someone else. Or was it a contradiction? Whatever, it was a waste of time.) But Jim D had

Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Michael Perelman
Rakesh, please don't try to classify others on the list. Let Jim speak for himself as to whether he is a social democrat or not, if he chooses to do so. As to untangling causes, it is hard to say. I recall that the CEO of Ford wondered how the industry could deal with overcapacity -- this was

Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
Rakesh, please don't try to classify others on the list. Let Jim speak for himself as to whether he is a social democrat or not, if he chooses to do so. michael, i quoted jim d saying that social democracy is best for the capitalists and thus can thus presumably be imposed on them for their

Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Michael Perelman
I don't consider myself a social democrat, but I agree with Jim -- if I understand him correctly. SD is good for the capitalists. That does not make it the Valhalla for others. It is merely a social form that reduces conflict and thus improves efficiency. On Tue, Jan 15, 2002 at 10:03:26AM

Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Carrol Cox
Michael Perelman wrote: Fred's approach of looking at profits makes a great deal of sense when looking at long swings, but in the short run -- as to what causes a particular downturn -- identification is still a problem. What is the political importance of understanding the

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Michael Perelman
Doug, that I think that the big capitalists do understand their interest. The small ones to whom the Wall Street Journal appeals on their editorial page do not. We were just discussing yesterday how major businesspeople appreciate Marxist analysis. On Tue, Jan 15, 2002 at 02:15:22PM -0500, Doug

Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Rakesh Bhandari
Michael Perelman wrote: Fred's approach of looking at profits makes a great deal of sense when looking at long swings, but in the short run -- as to what causes a particular downturn -- identification is still a problem. What is the political importance of understanding the economics

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Re: Re: the profit rate recession

2002-01-15 Thread Carrol Cox
Doug Henwood wrote: And when are those contradictions of capitalism that Rakesh is talking about really going to bite? I mean something more than a nibble. The phrase has been around for what, like a century? They've been biting every second of every day for several hundred years.