Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-27 Thread Jack Cole
Eric, My understanding is that +.25W is the 95th percentile for the EU cells and +.5W is the 95th percentile for the US cells. They are using two sided confidence intervals (+/-.25W) so this would be +/- 1.96 standard deviations at .25W. They don't present the actual SD here:

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-27 Thread Jack Cole
I would also like to add that they should calculate confidence intervals on the active runs so we would know the 95th percentile lower bounds for those runs. The standard deviation for the active runs could be different from the calibration runs. On Thu, Jun 27, 2013 at 5:44 AM, Jack Cole

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-27 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, Jun 27, 2013 at 3:44 AM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote: They don't present the actual SD here: http://www.quantumheat.org/index.php/en/follow/follow-2/285-us-eu-cell-calibration-results . We can get it by working backwards. (.25/1.96=.13) I was working backwards from 2.5 W at

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-27 Thread Jack Cole
Eric, I can see where you would think that, but I think they are saying that +.25W is at the 95% CI. They wrote: Both the EU Cells and the US Cells were switched on and BOTH indicated excess energy as the cells came to equilibrium at higher temperatures than during the calibration tests. The EU

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-27 Thread Eric Walker
On Thu, Jun 27, 2013 at 8:46 AM, Jack Cole jcol...@gmail.com wrote: I can see where you would think that, but I think they are saying that +.25W is at the 95% CI. Personally, I find it hard to see how they could obtain 2.5 W at 19 sigma from a 30 W baseline using the Stefan-Boltzmann equation,

[Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread H Veeder
Today (June 26, 2013)... http://www.quantumheat.org/index.php/en/follow/follow-2/295-simultaneous-test-runs-eu-us Update 18:15 UTC - Both the EU Cells and the US Cells were switched on and BOTH indicated excess energy as the cells came to equilibrium at higher temperatures than during the

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread H Veeder
A live audio/video discussion is happening now on google hangout: https://plus.google.com/u/0/112746934321590853702/posts/15RhcoJk6de Harry On Wed, Jun 26, 2013 at 3:05 PM, H Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote: Today (June 26, 2013)...

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jones Beene
From: H Veeder * The US Cell was indicating approximately 1.4 watts excess, again, well above the ~0.5W confidence interval. Very exciting to see something positive and especially simultaneous. Harry, If you are in contact with them - please ask if they are still using

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread H Veeder
Jones, Yes they are using nichrome and are aware of the issues but they are not using H in control cells. Harry On Wed, Jun 26, 2013 at 4:37 PM, Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net wrote: ** ** ** ** *From:* H Veeder ** ** **Ø **The US Cell was indicating approximately 1.4 watts

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net wrote: If Quantum is serious about showing excess heat – then they must move away from using a control which is also active ! Or use an absolute method such as flow calorimetry, rather than a comparative method. The problem of blanks that are not blank goes

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread James Bowery
Wire Dimensions: 220micron diameter 20micron active layer 100cm 1m*pi*220um*20um?mm^3 ([{1 * meter} * pi] * [220 * {micro*meter}]) * (20 * [micro*meter]) ? (milli*met er)^3 = 13.823007 mm^3 Excess power: 2.5W 1m*pi*220um*20um;2.5W?W/cm^3 ([{(1 * meter) * pi} * {220 * (micro*meter)}] * [20 *

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread MarkI-ZeroPoint
Jones, I was listening to the google chat and their control cells are run under *vacuum* conditions, so the only chance of any H being present is if some water (liquid or vapor) was present after evacuating the cell. I did not catch what kind of vacuum they pulled, but I think it is safe to say

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jones Beene
Well, that is good - but they should probably use neon instead of helium in control cells and absolutely fresh nichrome (never exposed to hydrogen), As mentioned earlier, the first proton in any nickel alloy will bury itself in the FCC crystal and cannot be removed without actually melting the

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net wrote: Well, that is good - but they should probably use neon instead of helium in control cells and absolutely fresh nichrome (never exposed to hydrogen), Yes. Better a gas than a vacuum. Heat transfer in a vacuum is a whole different animal. - Jed

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread MarkI-ZeroPoint
Jones, you wrote, but they should probably use neon instead of helium in control cells What makes you think they used helium??? They said, and I restated, that they operate their control cells in a *VACUUM*, so I take that to mean that they assemble the cell, and then attach it to a vacuum pump

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jones Beene
Mark - I did not see your message ahead of posting mine. However, the point stands that no amount of vacuum pumping will ever remove the alloyed proton from nickel. That proton remains until the nickel is melted. Whether or not nickel-hydride with 7% by atomic volume hydrogen will give much net

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Akira Shirakawa
On 2013-06-27 00:42, Jones Beene wrote: Whether or not nickel-hydride with 7% by atomic volume hydrogen will give much net gain is debatable - but the lack of hydrogen gas in the cell after vacuum purge may not be enough for a good control (if the nichrome was previously alloyed with

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread MarkI-ZeroPoint
Jones' point about ANY exposure to H is acknowledged... That being said, does anyone know the exact procedure by which the material in the control cell was prepared and the cell assembled??? Obviously, the nichrome wire was shipped to them, but was it exposed to air (humid air will supply plenty

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Akira Shirakawa
On 2013-06-27 00:55, MarkI-ZeroPoint wrote: Jones' point about ANY exposure to H is acknowledged... That being said, does anyone know the exact procedure by which the material in the control cell was prepared and the cell assembled??? Obviously, the nichrome wire was shipped to them, but was it

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jones Beene
-Original Message- From: Akira Shirakawa Whether or not nickel-hydride with 7% by atomic volume hydrogen will give much net gain is debatable - but the lack of hydrogen gas in the cell after vacuum purge may not be enough for a good control (if the nichrome was previously alloyed

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Akira Shirakawa
On 2013-06-27 01:09, Jones Beene wrote: No - I was suggesting that in previous experiments to this one - the same nichrome wire could have been used. Did they start out with a virgin wire for this experiment or not? Often experimenters cut corners and reuse items from previous runs. I haven't

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Mark Gibbs
Am I missing something here? Surely if the control cell is producing some small amount of energy from an LENR process due to contamination but it's less than that being produced by the experimental cell then while a baseline might be hard or even impossible to establish wouldn't a significant

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Akira Shirakawa
On 2013-06-26 22:37, Jones Beene wrote: If you are in contact with them – please ask if they are still using nichrome as a control. Both cells (Activated [A] and Control [B] - there is one of each both in EU and in the US, so four in total) have a NiCr wire (for passive/indirect heating

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread MarkI-ZeroPoint
Hi MarkG, No, you're not missing anything. a control cell producing some small amount of heat would result in a *conservative* (i.e., lower) estimate of power generated in the test cell. assuming that the test cell is at least several sigma above the control cell so experimental uncertainty was

RE: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jones Beene
-Original Message- From: Akira Shirakawa I haven't asked but as far as I have seen I'm fairly certain that for the control cells they used completely fresh materials. Well, let's face it - like everyone else in LENR they are severely underfunded. Therefore it is not a given that

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Terry Blanton
On Wed, Jun 26, 2013 at 7:43 PM, Jones Beene jone...@pacbell.net wrote: Thus - if there is residual hydrogen in the nichrome wire as well, it is very likely to be gainful as a control, possibly strongly gainful - even when run at a vacuum... not to mention the possibility of so-called

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Mark Gibbs
So, as I understand from the data [1] over the test runs the US cell saw a gain of about 4.9% (1.49W/30.25W) and the EU Cell saw about 6.1% (1.82W/30.05W). [mg] [1] http://data.hugnetlab.com/ On Wed, Jun 26, 2013 at 4:43 PM, MarkI-ZeroPoint zeropo...@charter.netwrote: Hi MarkG, No,

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Akira Shirakawa
On 2013-06-27 02:33, Mark Gibbs wrote: So, as I understand from the data [1] over the test runs the US cell saw a gain of about 4.9% (1.49W/30.25W) and the EU Cell saw about 6.1% (1.82W/30.05W). That's about what they've written in the 18:15 UTC update here:

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread James Bowery
More to the point, what is important to note is that the amount is less important than the reproducibility. The experimental protocol here is open -- unlike Rossi -- and the simultaneous appearance of two successes by two separate teams points to the possibility that they have, indeed, found an

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Jed Rothwell
Akira Shirakawa shirakawa.ak...@gmail.com wrote: I think it's important to note that this is still preliminary data and that unexpected measurement artifacts might lurk somewhere. Yes. I don't like to be a wet blanket, but over the years I have seen dozens of results like this come and go.

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Eric Walker
On Wed, Jun 26, 2013 at 12:05 PM, H Veeder hveeder...@gmail.com wrote: Both the EU Cells and the US Cells were switched on and BOTH indicated excess energy as the cells came to equilibrium at higher temperatures than during the calibration tests. The EU cell with the active wire was

Re: [Vo]:MFMP cells in Europe and US now showing signs of excess heat

2013-06-26 Thread Eric Walker
On Wed, Jun 26, 2013 at 7:28 PM, Eric Walker eric.wal...@gmail.com wrote: For the MFMP calorimeters currently being used, with the glass and the SB equation, I suspect it will not be that convincing for people until they see 10-20 W excess heat (integrated excess power, including periods of