Please, I am enjoying and learning from the discussion, so I would prefer
that it continue where I may read it.  Many thanks.

On Fri, Nov 25, 2016 at 3:22 PM, Frank King <f...@cl.cam.ac.uk> wrote:

> Dear Doug,
>
> It is probably time to conclude this
> fascinating discussion so this will
> be my final public offering (for a
> while).
>
> > A significant part of my note is
> > reporting the work of others...
>
> Indeed so.  I am familiar with most
> of your citations, especially, the
> report by the Cambridge Engineers.
> The methodology used was an utter
> disgrace in my view.
>
> It is exceptionally difficult to
> find a way of comparing like with
> like without getting biased results.
> Also, making predictions, especially
> economic predictions, is notoriously
> subject to error.
>
> My proposal to compare two adjacent
> U.S. towns in different time zones
> is a better approach but I am the
> first to admit that the two sets
> of results would not be truly
> independent (in the statistical
> sense) and the results would be
> biased.  For example, there will
> be people who live in one time
> zone and work in the other.
>
> In terms of energy use, I don't
> believe a word of the analysis.
> The energy used when driving
> five miles to work is the same
> whether you drive in the dark
> or in the light.
>
> I suggest you study the experience
> of Portugal:
>
>   https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_in_Portugal
>
> They have switched time zones
> several times and are forever
> being persuaded to use CEST.
>
> Sometimes they try it and then
> find how unsatisfactory it is...
>
>   when school classes started,
>   the sun was still rising,
>   which eventually had
>   repercussions on students'
>   school performance and their
>   safety during morning trips
>   from home to school.
>
>   A company hired by European
>   Commission conducted a study
>   which concluded that, in fact,
>   there were no energy savings
>   because in the early morning,
>   due to the dark, workers turned
>   on lights in their offices,
>   and they forgot to turn them
>   off, leaving them switched on
>   for the rest of the morning,
>   which increased energy
>   consumption.
>
>   ...insurance companies reported
>   a rise in the number of accidents.
>
> Look, I don't believe all of this
> either!  Lighting uses a minuscule
> amount of energy compared with
> heating and transport though, of
> course, it shouldn't be wasted.
>
> Portugal is now back on GMT and
> GMT+1 just like the U.K.
>
> Remember, the U.K. DID experiment
> with year-round summer time and
> then gave it up.
>
> You may say that this was because
> of grumbles from Scottish herdsman.
>
> I have always wondered just how
> Scottish herdsmen can be such a
> forceful political lobby!  That
> doesn't stop them being right!
>
> > ...the middle of the effective
> > day has moved to something
> > like 3pm.
>
> Given your wish to fiddle with
> our clocks, this is ill-defined.
> I assume you mean three hours
> after solar transit?
>
> This is a case of generalising
> from yourself and those you
> associate with.  Certainly
> count me out!
>
> In the 1980s I worked for a spell
> in Magdeburg University, then in
> the DDR.  My hosting professor
> asked me if my lectures could be
> the first of the day.
>
> "Yes," I said eagerly.  "Fine,"
> he replied, "our first lecture
> is at 7am so I'll meet you in
> my office at 06:30 tomorrow."
>
> This suited me very well but I
> had to check with my landlady
> about breakfast.
>
> I explained that I would be
> leaving about 6am and I asked
> whether she could set out my
> breakfast the night before.
>
> "No need," she said, "I leave
> for work myself at 4am, so I
> shall set out your breakfast
> before I depart."
>
> As it turned out, I was the
> last person in the household
> to leave for work when I left
> at 6am.
>
> I had had some misgivings
> about the East German regime
> but this aspect seemed truly
> excellent to me!
>
> I now see that it wouldn't
> work in Portugal!
>
> By all means reply but I
> suggest "off-list".
>
> Very best wishes
>
> Frank
>
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