http://www.alternet.org/story.html?StoryID=17333

A Tale of Two Countries

By David Morris, AlterNet
December 8, 2003

The most telling similarity between Japan and the United States is 
not our shared addiction to baseball, but our shared dependency on 
imported oil for our survival.

Roused to action by the first Gulf War and memories of the 
destructive impacts of the oil shocks of 1973 and 1979, both the 
Japanese and American governments made a major reduction in oil 
imports a matter of national security and national urgency. Both 
launched major initiatives to accomplish this goal. Both focused on 
the transportation sector, by far the largest consumer of petroleum.

And there the similarities end. For although the public sectors in 
both countries formulated similar strategies and supported them with 
comparable levels of funding, the private sectors responded in 
starkly different fashion to their respective governments' challenge.

In Japan, the private sector willingly agreed to carry out the public 
directive. Their corporations publicly - and perhaps more importantly 
- privately assumed responsibility for achieving the public goal. 
U.S. corporations willingly accepting almost $1 billion in public 
money; but privately, upper management never embraced the public 
goals and spent much of their time successfully opposing efforts by 
the government to mandate higher efficiency standards.

This tale of two countries is instructive.

In the U.S., the centerpiece of its effort to improve automotive 
efficiency was the Partnership for a New Generation of Vehicles 
(PNGV), a $120 million a year, seven-year program launched in 1993.

In Japan, the centerpiece was the Popularization Plan, launched in 
1994. Both programs focused on developing and commercializing a new 
type of automobile, the hybrid car. A hybrid car is propelled by both 
an electric motor and an internal combustion engine. Such a 
configuration promised to improve fuel efficiencies by 50-150 percent.

PNGV funds were available only to American companies. Recipients 
agreed to unveil a concept car by 2000, a preproduction prototype by 
2004 and be in full production by 2010. All three, Ford, GM and 
DaimlerChrysler introduced concept cars in early 2000. And there 
development stopped. Why? Because the American car companies refused 
to commercialize a car they would initially lose money on, even if 
the losses would be temporary.

Daimler/Chrysler, for example, announced in 2000 that it would not 
commercialize its diesel hybrid (ESX3) because it cost $7,500 more to 
make than their comparable gasoline powered car, a Dodge Intrepid. As 
late as April 2002 General Motors' CEO and President G. Richard 
Wagoner Jr. told Business Week, "How will the economics of hybrids 
ever match that of the internal combustion engine? We can't afford to 
subsidize them."

Japanese corporations adopted a different mindset that encouraged a 
more farsighted strategy. The Honda Insight, Honda's first hybrid 
car, sold for about $6,500 below cost when first introduced. Toyota 
initially was losing as much as $16,000 per car on its 
first-generation Prius. But as Hisao Suzuki, president of Honda's 
European R&D Division answered when asked why they would sell a car 
at a loss, "We are investing in the future."

In 1997 Toyota launched its money-losing hybrid with a production 
capacity of 1,000 per month. In December 1997 Business Week 
sorrowfully surveyed the entries in a recent car show. "While Toyota 
launched the world's first production hybrid gasoline and electric 
car, General Motors countered with a big new Cadillac and Chrysler 
showed off its gas-guzzling Dodge Viper muscle car." Detroit 
pooh-poohed the Japanese companies' achievements. "I don't see six 
months difference in anything that's being done," harrumphed GM 
Chairman John F. Smith Jr. As Business Week reported, "the only 
difference, say the Big Three, is that Japanese manufacturers are 
willing to accept huge losses."

Despite its losses, in 1999 Toyota announced it would introduce the 
Prius to the North American market in mid-2000, "shocking the 
domestic auto industry" according to industry observer David Chao.

More than 35,000 Honda and Toyota hybrids were sold in 2002. Customer 
satisfaction was high. In September 2003 Toyota introduced the 
second-generation Prius. The sales price is the same as the previous 
Prius. Yet the new Prius boasts 15 percent more interior space 
(making it comparable to a Camry rather than a Corolla). It also gets 
better mileage, achieving a remarkable 50 miles per gallon. That is 
about 50 percent more than a comparable American model.

This year Toyota announced that it is making a profit on each Prius. 
A few weeks after making that announcement, the Prius was declared 
Car of the Year by Motor Trend magazine, one of the industry's most 
coveted awards.

First month sales of the new Prius in Japan were 17,000 and in the 
United States there were 10,000 pre-orders. Toyota expects to sell 
100,000 hybrid vehicles this year and perhaps 350,000 by 2006.

American car manufacturers are scrambling to catch up with the 
Japanese. They've discovered they are years, not months behind. In 
late 2002 Ford announced it would be introducing a hybrid in the fall 
of 2003. In late 2003 Ford announced it was postponing introduction 
until late 2004. GM declared it would introduce a hybrid pickup in 
2004. In late 2003 it announced it was delaying introduction of a 
full hybrid until 2007. Dodge had said it would introduce a hybrid 
Ram Contractor in 2005. In late 2003 Daimler/Chrysler canceled its 
plans to build a hybrid SUV.

This is all very embarrassing to this native-born American. I'm 
convinced that American engineers are the equals of their Japanese 
counterparts. It is American CEOs who are not the equal of their 
Japanese equivalents.

Regrettably, we not only let these CEOs get away with their 
negligence, we reward them for it. In a remarkable reward for 
irresponsible behavior, the White House and Congress enacted tax 
incentives such that the owner of a Hummer, which gets less than 10 
miles per gallon, receives a tax deduction of $34,000. The deduction 
for an efficient hybrid car that gets over 50 miles per gallon is 
$4,000.

For every 100,000 SUVs sold this year, American taxpayers will be 
paying a subsidy of some $1 billion. Revealingly, that's about the 
same amount of money the federal government spent in the 1990s to 
encourage American car companies to build hybrid cars. It's also 
about the same amount we are spending each week to keep our troops in 
oil-rich Iraq.

Next fall Toyota will introduce its first hybrid SUV. It will get 
about 40 miles per gallon, maybe twice that of a comparably sized 
SUV. Meanwhile the American car companies successfully convinced 
Congress not to raise the fuel efficiency standard for SUVs by two 
miles per gallon.

This year Toyota is the most profitable car manufacturer in the 
world. In contrast, in November Standard & Poor's downgraded Ford 
Motor Company's credit rating to BBB-, one notch above a junk rating. 
The month before, it had downgraded Daimler/Chrysler to BBB.

Today imports supply over half our oil, up from a third in 1973. 
Secretary of Energy Spencer Abraham recently informed Congress that 
by 2020 almost two-thirds of our oil could be imported.

In the 1990s we had a chance to break this deadly downward spiral. 
The governments of both Japan and the United States embraced policies 
to do so. But only in Japan did the private sector assume that 
responsibility and accept that commitment. Years from now will we 
remember the 1990s as our Decade of Infamy?

Editor's Note: This is Part I of a two-part series. Next week the 
author compares the dramatically different ways in which private 
sectors in Japan and the U.S. have responded to the public's desires 
and needs for solar power.


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